' T-
V./ Bo/kin
UlE/TEftfl
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WESTERN
Progress Publishers Moscow
Translated from the Russian by Galina Sdobnikova Designed by Alexei Ostfomentsky
B. C. EacKMH
Sanafla: MMCJJ H
CONTENTS
Author's Note.................................. 5
© H3A3Te/ibCTBo ``HayKa'', 1982 English translation © Progress Publishers 1985 Printed in the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics E0604010000-246 40 85 014(01)-85
Chapter One. Aid as a New Form of Economic Relations Between
the West and the Developing World .................... 7
Aid and Development Problems Facing Newly Independent Countries ..................................... 7
Aid as a Peculiar Form of Capital Export................ 13
Tied Aid................................... 24
The Economic Impact of Tied Aid on the Creditor and Recipient Countries.................................. 30
Chapter Two. The Structure and Real Volume of External Resources .......................................
39
Capital Export to the Developing Countries. Hierarchy of Credit
Sources...................................
46
Policy of Aid to Africa by the Leading Creditor States........
63
Multilateral Financing...........................
72
Main Categories of Recipient Countries.................
76
Funds on Market Terms..........................
80
Chapter Three. Economic Aid........................ 85
Aid Mechanism............................... 87
Economic Appraisal of Aid-Financed Projects............. 94
Chapter Four. Food and Agricultural Aid................107
The Food Problem in the Developing Countries............107
Food Aid.................................109
Assistance to Agricultural Development.................116
Chapter Five. Technical Assistance.....................
122
The DCs' Need for Technical Assistance.................
122
Assistance to General and Technical Education ............
126
Foreign Experts in the DCs........................
132
Chapter Six. Aid and the External Debt Problem ...........
145
Two Approaches to the External Debt Problem............
145
The Present State of the DCs' Indebtedness...............
148
Real Flow of Resources to the DCs...................
159
The Problem of Debt Relief........................
169
Conclusion....................................175
Author's Note
The problems of further ways of political, economic and social development facing the states that freed themselves from colonial dependence no more than two or three decades ago are among the key problems of our day. In their quest for true economic independence, these states should overcome their socio-economic backwardness and develop a modern industry and agriculture so as to bring about a radical improvement in the living standards of the masses. But their efforts to attain economic equality and change the unjust economic relations with the West run into fierce resistance of the imperialist forces. These seek to preserve the present relations, which enable them to make immense profits by exploiting the natural and manpower resources of the young states. They would also like to gear the latter's socioeconomic development to these purposes. Since the newly independent countries need a massive influx of external financial resources, modern technology andknowhow, Western countries have been urging them to adopt development models based on intensive investments of foreign private capital.
``Development aid" has a major place in the system of such neocolonialist measures. Over the past 25-30 years, Western countries have given the developing world tens of billions of dollars worth of such ``aid'' in the form of easy credits or even free of charge.
Why such generosity? Could it be that imperialism has changed its substance and that, according to Western claims, the relations of oppression and exploitation have given way to "equal partnership" and "mutual concern for development''?
In this book, I analyse the mechanism, the concrete
forms and methods of the ``aid'' given by the major capitalist donors and international credit institutions, seeking to show its substance and impact on the socio-economic processes in the recipient countries. In contrast to Western studies on this topic, I try to bring out the true substance of ``aid'' from a new and fundamentally different angle, to show the ways and forms of the recipients' struggle for easier terms and more efficient use of ``aid'' in the national interests of the young states.
V. Baskin
Chapter One
AID AS A NEW FORM
OF ECONOMIC RELATIONS BETWEEN
THE WEST AND THE DEVELOPING WORLD
Aid and Development Problems Facing Newly Independent Countries
After the Second World War, especially in the latter 1950s, and early 1960s, the national liberation movement of colonial and dependent peoples gained unprecedented scope. As a result the colonial system of imperialism collapsed and dozens of politically independent states sprang up from the ruins.
The Great October Socialist Revolution in Russia and the formation of the world's first socialist state had a powerful influence on the development of the national liberation movement. The rise and strengthening of the world socialist system marked a new stage in the historical crisis of the capitalist mode of production. As a number of countries fell away from capitalism, it lost some important spheres of capital investment, commodity markets and sources of raw materials, and the sphere of exploitation narrowed down. Politically, the losses suffered by imperialism were perhaps even greater. The profound social and economic transformations in the" socialist countries had a powerful revolutionising impact on the proletariat of capitalist states and on the masses in the economically backward and exploited countries of the capitalist outskirts.
Imperialism's loss of its direct political control over the peoples of dozens of countries is a new and major factor in world politics and economics. As the years go by, the newly independent states defend their sovereignty with ever greater resolve. Having started out in the political sphere, they take an ever more determined stand in the economic sphere as well.
In accordance with the logic of struggle against imperialism and for economic independence, the young states have come to realise the need to limit and then to eliminate the sway of foreign capital in their countries. Having first start-
ed in the sphere of circulation, they have been putting pressure on foreign capital in the production sphere as well. With the nationalisation of property belonging to big foreign monopolies, the latter's positions in the developing countries (DCs) have been seriously undermined, and the young states' efforts to strengthen their sovereignty over their natural resources have filled their successes in the anti-- imperialist struggle with real content.
Economic and technical cooperation with countries of the world socialist system is of great importance for the developing states not only as a major material factor of socioeconomic transformations in these states, but also as a powerful instrument in the struggle to restructure the whole system of their economic relations with the West.
The successful development of the socialist states is a weighty argument for the newly independent countries in exposing the political, economic and ideological views being thrust upon them by imperialism. There is a growing conviction in many DCs that the capitalist way holds no prospects. Some of them have been following a firm line to build a socialist society. Their policy, aimed at eliminating exploitive relations and social inequality, developing the state sector and expanding economic, technical and cultural cooperation with the socialist countries, has a serious positive effect on other developing countries.
What is specific about the position of the young states in the present-day world is that while they have turned into an independent political force, they remain dependent on the world capitalist economy. The external economic ties of most of them are largely oriented towards industrially developed capitalist countries, and foreign monopoly capital is still powerful in the domestic economy of many of them.
All these factors are conducive to the strategy of neo-- colonialism, whose point is to impose on the developing countries a system of economic, political, military, ideological and other relations which would enable imperialism to preserve and expand the conditions for their exploitation on the basis of their inequitable, dependent position in the world capitalist economy. In our day, however, the DCs are putting up ever stronger resistance to that strategy, going over from the separate anti-imperialist moves of the past decades to coordinated collective action. Their demands have assumed a global character and are aimed at a serious
reconstruction of the whole system of their economic relations with the West and the establishment of an international order which would rule out domination and exploitation.
The socialist states play an important role in the struggle to restructure international economic relations on a just, democratic basis. Throughout their history, they have followed a steady policy of all-round assistance to and cooperation with oppressed countries and peoples. It was Lenin who formulated the basic principles of that policy. He pointed out that socialism creates "completely different international relations which make it possible for all oppressed peoples to rid themselves of the imperialist yoke".^^1^^
The need to accelerate economic development in the newly independent countries raises the imperative question of accumulation sources. The idea that internal accumulation sources should play the main role in overcoming economic backwardness has been gaining recognition in the DCs. Many of them have realised the need to form and develop a state sector and stimulate government investments in production and the infrastructure. In their struggle against imperialist exploitation, the young states have proclaimed a policy of collective self-sufficiency, which envisages efficient use of national resources and all-out efforts to develop mutually advantageous division of labour in various regions of the developing world.
But most DCs still lack the internal accumulations to ensure the necessary rate of economic development. The material form of accumulation is also important. The national production of most young states cannot meet their demand for modern industrial technology necessary to transform their backward economy. Hence the importance of external sources of material assets, which can in many instances also raise the level of consumption among the poorest sections of the people.
The developing countries' need for wider external financing is seen by the imperialist powers as an opportunity to preserve and strengthen their dependence on the world capitalist economy. The West has been using such financing to expand and consolidate the positions of its transnational
!y. I. Lenin, Collected Works,Vo\. 31, Progress Publishers, Moscow, 1982, p. 477.
corporations in the developing countries. In view of the economic crisis in the leading imperialist countries, the USA above all, the chaos in international monetary relations in the capitalist world, and the spiralling inflation, the West has been trying to solve its problems, at least in part, at the expense of the developing countries.
The ever more pronounced ``overaccumulation'' of capital in the main imperialist countries, as it cannot be invested profitably enough in their domestic economy, has led to a sharp increase in the volume of international lending. Over the past two decades, the export of capital in the form of loans and credits from the industrial capitalist countries to the developing world has reached a vast scale. The evolution of state-monopoly capitalism and the deepening crisis in its relations with the former colonial outskirts have largely contributed to the emergence of a peculiar form of capital export, known as aid to the DCs by industrialised capitalist
countries.
In their policy of exporting capital to the newly independent countries, the imperialist powers now seek not only to make big profits, but also to solve a number of long-term strategic problems. Particular importance is attached to integration between young states and industrial Western countries. Since they cannot thwart the newly independent countries' striving for economic development, the Western powers have been trying to exploit that striving, to create and strengthen new facets of dependence on a higher material and technical level while retaining access to the developing countries' natural and manpower resources.
The need for large volumes of external financing in the developing countries is mostly due to their inequitable position in the world capitalist economy. At the same time, the world capitalist economy does not create conditions which would help them expand and stabilise their export earnings to make it easier for them to repay loans and credits, so that over the past few years their foreign debt has reached an astronomical figure. The grave foreign-debt problem facing many developing states is seen by imperialism as a new and most effective instrument in tightening their dependence on the world capitalist market and creating conditions for siphoning off more of their national wealth into the vaults of
Western monopolies.
That is why it is very important for the developing coun-
10tries thoroughly to assess the degree of acceptability of each type of financial resources offered them by the West, taking due account of the terms on which these can be obtained, and also of the economic and social consequences of their use.
The negative attitude of many developing countries to using foreign private capital is well-grounded. As a result, a tide of nationalisation of foreign property has swept across dozens of developing countries. At the same time, however, many of them are still very much in need of foreign resources. The main point here is to ensure that the terms of their use and spheres of application are in line with the country's national development strategy and do not jeopardise its independent development.
Bearing in mind many adverse consequences of private foreign investments, the developing countries attach paramount importance to state (government) aid from the Western countries. That form of international economic relations began to spread in the late 1950s and the 1960s as the former colonies and dependent countries gained political independence. Under "official development assistance" programmes, capitalist states began providing the DCs with various resources (in the form of commodities, money or services) on easy terms or even without repayment, whereas in the past such relations were an exception.
The concept of ``aid'' should be seen as a dialectical unity of the two aspects of that phenomenon. For the capitalist donor state, ``aid'' is an instrument of expansion, whose purpose is to achieve various political and economic goals with new means, primarily to help their industrial and trade monopolies to penetrate into the developing countries. So, with regard to countries exporting state capital, the concept of aid can be used only tentatively, as a purely working term.^^1^^ At the same time, where a developing country follows a line towards independent socio-economic development,
1 Some liberally minded Western researchers often take a negative view of the very concept of aid. Thus, David Wightman writes in a publication sponsored by the United Nations: "If public policy could be prosecuted for misleading advertising, the label 'foreign aid' would be an obvious case for the courts." (David Wightman, The Economic Interest of Industrial Countries in the Development of the Third World, United Nations, New York, 1971, p. 30.)
11Western aid, obtained on the most advantageous terms, could help to increase the production assets, the volume of consumer goods, and the scientific and technical potential of the recipient country. Here is what New Africa wrote in this context: "Paradoxical as it may seem, Africa wants to make itself free from the West mainly at the expense of Western aid. And the latter seeks to use this aid with the diametrically opposed purpose: to preserve and consolidate its positions. Aid represents a kind of pronged lever on which the two antagonistic forces are bearing down.''^^1^^
There are also conceptual distinctions in the approach to the problem of aid between the West and the developing countries. In the theoretical works and practical activity of agencies that shape the capitalist countries' aid policy and in reports by international commissions that claim to be unbiased in their opinions, the quantitative approach is usually seen as the main yardstick in assessing aid and other financial resources. Such an approach is meant to create an illusion that the developing countries can solve their gravest socioeconomic problems solely by expanding the use of foreign funds, without any deep-going progressive socio-economic transformations in these countries and without a fundamental reconstruction of the whole system of their external economic ties with the West. In effect, that approach is meant to maintain and develop socio-economic processes in the recipient countries that would promote capitalist relation, reproduce and entrench their inequitable and subordinate position with respect to the capitalist centres.
The developing countries have recently been paying more attention to the qualitative aspect of foreign aid, while urging an increase in its volume. More and more people in these countries are beginning to realise that fundamental and progressive socio-economic transformations are the only way to achieve real progress and eliminate backwardness. Hence, the yardstick for assessing the importance and effectiveness of foreign aid is how well it corresponds to these goals.
In the approach to the problem of aid, in our opinion, one should bring out two groups of questions. On the one hand, one should analyse the instruments of aid and, on the other, its orientation and influence on the economy of the recipient country. So, this book can be subdivided into two
~^^1^^ New Africa, London, Vol. 6, No. 7, July 1964, p. 11.
parts: the first deals with the substance of aid, its role in the economic expansion of the capitalist powers, its main types and financial terms, and the policies of the principal donor countries, and the second, with the economic consequences of its use and the shortcomings of various types of aid. Such an analysis makes it possible to substantiate the legitimate demands of the developing countries for an improvement in the terms of Western aid.
The USSR and the other socialist countries believe that it is objectively possible to use that aid in the interests of the newly independent states and their development, and so support their demands for more aid on better financial and other terms.
The socialist countries maintain that aid by the capitalist powers should at least to some extent compensate the DCs for the colossal damage inflicted on them by the colonial exploitation and oppression of the past and the economic crises, monetary instability and inflation in the present-day capitalist world.
Aid as a Peculiar Form of Capital Export
Since the Second World War, a number of new phenomena have emerged in the economies and policies of the imperialist powers. At the present stage in the development of the productive forces, which are becoming ever more international, there has been a marked deepening of the international division of labour. Export of capital and international trade have reached an unprecedented scale. New types of international socio-economic relations have emerged: export of state and state-guaranteed private capital, tourism, trade in patents, licenses and knowhow, the "brain drain", technical assistance, international migration of manpower, and so on.
As the role of external economic factors in the socio-- economic processes of the capitalist countries increases, the inter-imperialist contradictions and struggle inevitably intensify. There is a struggle both among individual imperialist competitors, within integrated sections of the capitalist economy, and among groups of capitalist states constituting economic blocs. The emergence of dozens of sovereign states seeking to end their dependence gave rise to a new
12 13set of contradictions in the system of the world capitalist economy.
The formation and development of the socialist community considerably limited the possibilities for the imperialist exploitation of the developing countries.
Such was the general background to the emergence in the 1950s of imperialist aid to developing countries as a peculiar form of international economic relations. All the leading industrial capitalist states gradually joined the ranks of the creditor countries. At first glance, the relatively favourable, low-interest and long-term credits and sizable free grarits do not fit into the conventional practice of the capitalist market. Hence the imperative need to get to the root of Western politico-economic aid, analyse its goals and methods, its interconnections with other forms of capital export, and its role in imperialism's political and economic expansion in the developing countries.
The substance of the aid phenomenon can be brought out with due regard to Lenin's doctrine of imperialism and his idea that the export of capital is one of the most essential features of imperialism. Capital export is a historical phenomenon, and its forms and concrete mechanism keep modifying, reflecting the historical changes both within the imperialist system itself and in the external conditions of its existence.
But whatever these changes, capital export remains the main form of international economic relations under imperialism. The special importance of capital export to the developing countries is due to the fact that in our epoch that form of imperialist expansion makes it possible to exploit the peoples of the economically less developed countries in a flexible and covert way. Now that the latter are politically independent, capital export is the main foundation, the economic basis for all the other relations of the imperialist powers with the developing countries.
The conclusion that aid is a new and peculiar form of capital export, its modification in our day, is important in several respects. It helps to understand the role of aid in the present strategy of imperialism, its place among the other forms of capital export, and its significance in providing material and non-material external conditions for capitalist reproduction both on a global scale and within the framework of individual capitalist countries. The material conditions of
14reproduction can be ensured by helping imperialist monopolies to market their products in the developing countries or to obtain valuable raw materials from these. Non-material conditions are a set of measures aimed at developing the social base of capitalist relations in these countries and create conditions for perpetuating and increasing their dependence on the imperialist powers.
That conclusion can also help the young states to take a principled stand on Western aid policy. Such a stand is of particular importance in our day, when imperialism has stepped up its expansion in the developing countries, and when US-led imperialist circles have been urging them to adopt the principles of private capitalist enterprise.
The specifics of aid as a peculiar form of capital export is that it is largely motivated by non-economic considerations, while the profit motive is often secondary. A considerable part of the aid consists of subsidies and free grants, that is, types of resources which, far from yielding any profit, are not meant to be repayed at all. Another part consists of lowinterest or interest-free loans. Hence the question: can resources which do not constitute a self-expanding value be described as capital?
To answer that question, one should turn to Marx's doctrine of productive and nonproductive labour under capitalist relations of production. According to Marx, productive labour is that "labour which produces surplus-value or serves capital as agency for the creation of surplus-value, and hence for manifesting itself as capital, as self-expanding value". 1 Here and elsewhere, Marx emphasises that one should distinguish two aspects in the category of capital, one of which expresses its ability to manifest itself as a selfexpanding value, and the other, its ability to create conditions necessary for its own functioning. That is why labour which does not directly create surplus value, but which is conducive to its extraction is productive, and the outlays on its remuneration should be seen as capital. So, all the nonproductive costs of capitalist production, like outlays on the formation of an industrial and social infrastructure necessary to ensure general conditions for exploitation and to protect the capitalist system a sizable part of which is financed
Karl Marx, Theories of Surplus-Value (Volume IV of Capital ), Part I, Progress Publishers, Moscow, 1975, p. 393.
15from aid funds, are capital. These are just as necessary for the existence of capitalism as the outlays on the purchase of means of production and labour-power.
All of that directly applies to the export of capital, where the two functions noted above are in dialectical unity. The first of these is the self-expansion of value, which is expressed in the form of profits from entrepreneurial capital invested abroad or interest on credits. In aid-giving, that function is of subordinate importance, while the second function---creation of conditions for such self-- expansionis the main goal of capitalist aid policy. The latter function is not necessarily constructive, that is, intended to develop the productive forces of the recipient country, but can also be destructive, raising obstacles in the way of such development, if foreign private capital finds this desirable. Thus, capitalist aid often hinders the development of the productive branches of the national industry in the young states, especially in the state sector of the economy, fearing its competition with the industry of imperialist states and monopoly affiliates in the DCs.
The export of capital in the form of subsidies mostly consists of food deliveries to the developing countries and services in the framework of technical assistance. Subsidies for the marketing of foodstuffs help to boost the profits of their producers in the industrialised capitalist countries, and technical assistance plays a dual role: on the one hand, it creates general conditions favouring subsequent exports of goods and capital, and on the other, helps to raise the labour productivity of the work force, enabling them to acquire certain knowledge and master new skills. In this instance, the outlays are productive, for a worker's educational expenses "are productive, for education produces labour-power",^^1^^ and "a schoolmaster is a productive labour-
of the state into a single mechanism whose purpose is to enrich the monopolies, suppress the working-class movement and the national-liberation struggle, save the capitalist system, and launch aggressive wars",^^1^^ the bourgeois state has come to play a much more important role in regulating economic and social processes both at home and on an international scale.
In the epoch of state-monopoly capitalism, productive and relatively nonproductive investments are largely separated from each other depending on who owns the capital. A sizable part of the latter is concentrated in the state sector. In other words, the capitalist state takes upon itself a part of the cost of creating and maintaining the necessary social conditions for extended reproduction.
That is possible owing to the sources of formation of state capital. Since a part of state resources is used as industrial capital, the surplus-value created by the labour of workers at public enterprises is one of the sources of state assets in the developed capitalist countries. A characteristic feature of the state sector in industry is its relative independence from the profit factor, attained through the state's redistributive function. The share of the nation's aggregate product redistributed through the budget is another source of state capital. By taxing the corporations, the state accumulates a share of the surplus-value created in the private sector. But the bulk of state capital comes from the working people's direct and indirect taxation.
The capitalist state's activity on the whole meets the class interests of the bourgeoisie (although the degree of correspondence differs from one of its groups to another). As Lenin put it, the fears of various groups of capitalists caused by state activities are "no more than an expression of the rivalry, so to speak, between two department managers in the same office... State monopoly in capitalist society is merely a means of increasing and guaranteeing the income of millionaires in some branch of industry who are on the verge of bankruptcy.''^^2^^ In our day, the role of state measures, whose purpose now is to protect the whole system of capitalist
1 The Road to Communism, Foreign Languages Publishing House, Moscow, 1961, p. 471.
~^^2^^ V. I. Lenin, Collected Works, Vol. 22, Progress Publishers, Moscow, 1964, p. 218.
er
» 2
A specific feature of resources in the form of aid is that these are provided by the state and thus constitute state capital.
With the development of state-monopoly capitalism which "combines the strength of the monopolies and that
1 Karl Marx, Theories of Surplus- Value, p. 210.
2 Karl Marx, Capital, Vol. I, Progress Publishers, Moscow, 1974, p. 477.
162-404
17relations from social upheavals, is ever more important.
Over the past three decades, the external economic functions of the capitalist state have expanded to unprecedented proportions. The state vigorously regulates such traditional forms of international economic ties as foreign trade, movement of private capital, and monetary-financial relations, and promotes new forms like the export of state capital, including "official development assistance''.
In the conditions of the contest between the two opposite socio-economic systems, the bourgeois state's "rescue functions" have reached out well beyond the national borders.
Aid in the strategy of present-day imperialism combines ``traditional'' and new tasks in its global efforts to preserve and consolidate capitalism as a system. Until recently, such a ``traditional'' task of imperialism as that of creating and maintaining conditions for the exploitation of the colonial and dependent outskirts was adequately ensured (apart from numerous instances of non-economic coercion or even armed force) within the framework of purely market relations. At that time, the international movement of private capital and foreign trade were the main instruments in maintaining external conditions for the functioning of the market machinery of capitalist reproduction. Now that the former colonies have won political independence, imperialism can no longer achieve these ends solely through a "free play of market forces". In the external sphere as well, private capital is in ever greater need of state backing. Hence a major function of aid: to stimulate the export of private capital from the imperialist countries, to supplement and sometimes replace it, whenever a sphere of investment is insufficiently profitable.
These tasks are being solved by creating in a developing country a favourable "investment climate" for foreign monopolies. The attractiveness of foreign investment for exporters of capital can be increased by ensuring a division of labour, under which (as in the domestic economy of imperialist states) the creditor state takes upon itself the expenditures connected with unprofitable or insufficiently profitable investments in the target country's economic and social infrastructure.
Such a ``climate'' can also be created with the help of indirect measures. By giving easy credits or free grants to the target country so as to enable the latter to cover its budget
18deficit, the capitalist state puts at its disposal instruments of payment that can be used to pay out profits to foreign private capital operating in that country. Such ``aid'' goes straight into the pockets of the monopolies. Finally, aid credits or grants can be used to put political pressure on the target country, inducing it to introduce state legislation encouraging foreign investments.
Another crucial function of Western aid is to ensure markets for the products of the creditor countries. In order to promote the export expansion of the monopolies, government agencies may simply purchase their products and deliver these to developing countries by way of state aid. Tied aid has a similar effect. A country receiving such aid must spend the funds it gets solely to buy products in the creditor country. This often enables the latter's monopolies to sell off uncompetitive products which otherwise could not have been sold on the foreign market at such a price.
Under the new political balance of forces in the world, the export of state capital has developed specific functions reflecting imperialism's economic and political tasks in our day. As in the past, its main task with respect to the economically weaker countries of the capitalist outskirts is to perpetuate their unequal position under the international capitalist division of labour. Such a position is largely due to their continued dependence on the industrial capitalist states in marketing their products (mostly raw materials) and importing the main elements of the production process: capital equipment, technical knowhow and experience.
In these conditions, the imperialist states pursue a subtle neocolonialist policy, seeking to impose development ways and methods which cannot help the target countries to reconstruct their backward socio-economic structure, bring about a meaningful increase in social labour productivity, or boost the overall technical level of production.
Imperialism's cardinal task in our day is to create and consolidate a social base for capitalist relations of production in the developing countries. What makes that task particularly imperative for imperialism is that the young states now have an opportunity to choose the way of their socio-economic development. As an alternative to the development of an antagonistic class society, they now face a real prospect of bypassing capitalism and, with the help of cooperation with the socialist countries,
2*
19going over to socialist construction.
In the past, imperialism was not interested in promoting capitalist relations in the colonies and dependent countries, fearing competition on the part of the local bourgeoisie in exploiting their national resources. Today, it seeks to prevent the young states from going over to a socialist-oriented way by promoting the development in these states of a stratum of private entrepreneurs akin to it in class terms with the help of private capital and state aid. The main purpose of imperialism's social policy, however, is still to keep the young states within its sphere of influence as objects of exploitation. That is why it promotes the development of a dependent brand of capitalism, primarily stimulating the formation of a class of small-commodity producers, traders, etc., who cannot jeopardise the positions of foreign private capital, or compradore elements closely connected with it and serving its interests.
Now as in the past, the dependent countries are being exploited in an atmosphere of inter-imperialist contradictions and rivalry. Since the Second World War, the struggle among imperialist states to retain their ``traditional'' spheres of influence or to recarve these (as Lenin put it, "in proportion to capital", "in proportion to strength") has further intensified as a result of the deepening general crisis of capitalism, the shrinking territorial base of imperialist exploitation, and also the strengthening economic positions of the FRG, Japan and some other capitalist states, which have been gaining ground against the old colonial powers, and the USA in regions once seen by the latter as their own preserves for undivided exploitation.
Now as never before, the imperialist states regard their economic relations with the developing countries as an instrument for solving many of their own domestic social and economic problems. The extremely low rates of economic growth in the main capitalist countries, protracted crises, mass unemployment and inflation---all of these grave problems they would have liked, at least in part, to solve at the expense of the developing countries. In their competitive struggle among themselves, it is important for each imperialist state to ensure a stable and guaranteed supply of raw materials, primarily oil, from the developing countries.
The importance of the new channels along which imperialism has been trying to tighten the developing countries'
20dependence on the world capitalist economy is now quite obvious. Their striving for rapid economic development makes them resort to large loans from the leading capitalist countries, plunging them deep into foreign debt. And their need for technical and managerial knowhow and experience entails dependence on the imperialist powers through technical aid, and big outlays on the purchase of patents, licenses and technology in the industrial capitalist countries.
All these functions of aid could have been expected to entail its virtually unlimited use as an instrument of imperialism's economic and political expansion in the developing countries. But that is not so. On the whole, aid in real terms has been growing slowly and makes up only a small percentage of government expenditures. At present, aid amounts to no more than 10 per cent of the budget expenditures of the leading capitalist states.
The fairly limited volume of resources set aside by the capitalist states as "official aid" is primarily due to their urge to give unconditional priority to the market mechanism in the field of international economic relations. Western states provide aid only insofar as it meets the interests of private capital. Its volume does not reflect the developing countries' actual need for foreign financing. Here is what an official OECD review has to say on the correlation between the functions of state and private capital in financing the economic development of young states: "Official development assistance is directed to countries---and for needs---where normal market incentives and risk-taking in the movement of capital and trade cannot be expected to respond.''^^1^^ The creditor countries always assume that any transfer of resources to another state on concessional, rather than market terms in principle violates the ``sacred'' principles of the market economy and is admissible only where and when it promotes the development of such an economy and does not in any way threaten to narrow down its sphere of action. Although the volume of Western aid has, on the whole, been growing, "concessional transfers are small relative to the financial and trade markets of capital-exporting countries". Moreover, "procurement and delivery of aid goods and ser-
1 Development Co-operation. Efforts and Policies of the Members of the Development Assistance Committee, 1976 Review, OECD, Paris, p. 29.
21vices is through normal commercial channels". Hence the blurring effect of development aid on the operation of the market forces is negligible. "...Relative 'market efficiency' is preserved.''^^1^^
The volume of aid to this or that country is determined in an atmosphere of sharp contradictions within the donor country. State credits to the developing countries stimulate only those branches of the donor country's economy and ensure big profits for those companies which are awarded contracts for supplying goods under these credits. That is why it is not the whole capitalist class of the donor country that is directly interested in expanding aid and ensuring its certain structure, but only those of its strata which stand to gain from such a policy. Among the various social strata in the capitalist states, there are many opponents of aid to the developing countries in its present forms and areas.
The extreme reactionary circles, which criticise aid from the right, want it to be closely tied in with the aggressive aspirations of the monopolies, its direct subordination to imperialism's military-strategic and anti-communist tasks.
Other circles call for a cutback or even complete cessation of aid, pointing to the multitude of grave social and economic problems that need solving in the donor country itself: unemployment, widespread poverty, social security problems, and so on, and saying that these, rather than aid, should be the main concern of the donor countries' ruling circles. Bourgeois parliamentarians try to use such sentiments for their own purposes. When aid funds are being allocated in the legislative organs of the capitalist countries, there is a constant struggle among various bourgeois groupings, making wide use of social demagogy.
As for the actual volume of aid, in the past few years it has tended to decline. An influential British magazine noted the sharp decline in US outlays on aid: in 1979, "Americans spent more on potted plants and flowers (over $5 billion) than they did on aid to the third world ($4.6 billion)".~^^2^^
In the early 1960s, the United Nations passed a resolution urging the capitalist countries to increase by the mid1970s the proportion of government assistance to the DCs
~^^1^^ Ibid.
2 The Economist, London, Vol. 276, No. 7150, September 13, 1980, p. 26.
to 0.7 per cent of their gross domestic product (GDP). Over the 1960s, per head GDP in the leading capitalist countries went up by 41 per cent, while the share of aid resources declined from 0.5 to 0.3 per cent of their GDP.
Cessation of the arms race would be a real source of greater assistance to the developing countries. If the leading capitalist states had supported the Soviet proposal put forward at the 28th session of the UN General Assembly in September 1973---to cut the military budgets of the Security Council's permanent member states by 10 per cent and use a part of the funds so released as aid to the developing countries---the latter could have received billions of dollars worth of additional aid.
It would be wrong to conclude, however, that the recipient countries have nothing to gain from aid policy. Capitalist aid is a deeply contradictory phenomenon. While being, even if indirectly, a vehicle of exploitive relations in the international sphere, it also reflects the fundamental changes in the international position of the former colonies and dependent countries and the weakening positions of the imperialist powers. In that sense, aid is a concession wrested from the capitalist states.
That makes it possible to consider the question of using aid in the interests of the developing countries. For that reason, the USSR and the other socialist countries support the demands of Asian, African and Latin American developing states for more aid on better terms, which do not cut across their line for independent development.
Together with the developing countries, the socialist states regard capitalist aid as far from adequate compensation for the damage that was done and is still being done to these countries by the long years of colonial and neocolonial exploitation, the activities of the transnationals, and the monetary system in which the developing countries have inferior status. At the same time, the socialist states resolutely reject the attempts by some circles to divide the world into a "rich North" and a "poor South" and so to equate the socialist and the capitalist countries, to blot out the fundamental difference between the sources of their national wealth.
The socialist states regard with deep sympathy the economic and monetary-financial difficulties experienced by most developing countries and share their demands for a reconstruction of the system of international economic relations
23 22on a just and democratic basis. But the socialist states cannot share the responsibility and material costs of eliminating the consequences of colonialism and neocolonialism, of the trade and monetary crises in the capitalist economy, for which they are not to blame.
suit of tying policies. Experts being sent to a developing country under an agreement on technical assistance have usually been educated in the creditor country and are used to work with definite technology and standards of equipment accepted at home. That is why they will instinctively recommend machinery and technology to which they are accustomed. As a result, the recipient will order these from the country that has been giving it technical assistance even when the credits are not formally tied.
In the 1960s, the channels for the free movement of state capital from the industrial capitalist states to the DCs markedly narrowed down as ever greater volumes of state resources were subjected to various limitations in the course of their use by the recipient states.
In spite of repeated negotiations among the DAC^^1^^ countries on ways to untie aid, 48.6 per cent of the total resources given as aid under bilateral agreements in 1981 were fully tied to the donor country, and 9.7 per cent were partially tied. So, only 41.7 per cent of the total aid was formally not tied.^^2^^
The main reason for the emergence of tied aid lies in the urge of the major imperialist powers to channel their commodity exports to markets in the developing countries. Estimates show that $1 million of untied aid given by the US government creates opportunities for the marketing of roughly $360,000 worth of goods, and when strings are attached the figure goes up to $760,000.
But the ruling circles of capitalist countries do not want to admit, especially in documents meant for the general public, that aid-giving serves the interests of the monopolies. That is why creditor states, the USA above all, usually try to present conditioning as a measure primarily designed to support their balance of payments and, consequently, as a forced measure.
The tying of credits to imports from the lending country undoubtedly reduces the outflow of monetary resources,
~^^1^^ DAC---Development Assistance Committee under the OECD. Deals with matters of aid to the developing countries, compiles, and puts out statistical reviews on the export of resources to these countries.
2 Author's estimates from Development Co-operation..., 1982 Review, p. 227.
Tied Aid
One of the most essential features of present-day capitalist ``aid'' to the developing countries is that it is usually conditioned, or ``tied''. This means that the recipient country undertakes to buy from the creditor country a certain volume of goods or services, or to use the credits for specified purposes. So, in some instances aid is tied to the lending source, and in others to specific uses. Sometimes, both types of strings are attached.
Agreements on credits usually stipulate how the funds are to be used. The recipient is not necessarily pledged to spend the whole amount in the creditor country but may sometimes spend a part of it in third countries. Still, the amounts and the range of countries are stipulated in advance.
Virtually all technical assistance is tied. As a rule, it is given to developing countries for definite purposes, if the creditor has the required specialists. Its resources are sometimes used to pay for the services of specialists from the creditor country engaged in building or operating projects within the framework of the creditor country's economic aid. Credit agreements often specify that specialists from third countries cannot be hired.
Aid can be conditioned by the donor even without any formal limitations on its use. Such conditioning, ensured by the recipient's lasting and durable economic dependence on the creditor, is often just as effective. The creditor country's banks and private firms which have been supplying the recipient with equipment and spare parts over a long period create such steady channels for the movement of goods and services that no official limitations are necessary as regards the use of the funds obtained, for these are bound to be spent on imports from the donor country.
Technical assistance is also most instrumental in the pur-
24 25which are made up for by a corresponding increase in the export of goods. Through wide use of tying, the USA has not only been able to stop the drain of its currency to other countries under aid programmes, but, with due account for the fairly large funds it receives from the developing states in repayment of earlier credits, even to run up a balance-of-payments surplus on its aid items. At the same time, tying has a wider purpose than just an improvement of the balance of payments, and this is reaffirmed by the fact that it is being widely used by countries with a steady balance-of-payments surplus, like the FRG and Japan.
A major function of aid-tying is to help load the production capacities in those sectors of the economy in the capitalist states which are hardest hit by the crisis and are on the whole insufficiently competitive in the inter-imperialist struggle. All of that explains why, in spite of repeated attempts to negotiate a cessation or a more or less tangible curtailment of tied aid, it is still being actively used by the leading imperialist states.
The USA has been making the widest use of conditioned aid. Since 1959, it has been tying its aid ever closer to the export of its own goods. Moreover, AID^ missions in other countries were instructed to urge the recipients of US aid to undertake ``voluntary'' commitments to spend the aid funds in the USA even when no official strings were attached. As a result, the share of aid used to buy American products has rapidly increased. In 1976, for instance, only $25 million of the $671 million distributed through AID channels (or 3.7 per cent of the total) went to buy goods or services outside the USA.^^2^^
Then there are also the food supplies under Public Law 480, which are fully tied.
At the same time, the US government seeks to create the impression that tying does not infringe upon the interests of the developing countries. With that aim in view, legislation was passed in September 1970 allowing the use of AID-sup-
1 Agency for International Development---US agency in charge of
aid programmes.
2 Foreign Assistance and Related Agencies Appropriations for 1978. Hearings before a Subcommittee of the Committee on Appropriations. House of Representatives. 95th Congress, 1st Session, Part 2, US Government Printing Office, Washington, 1977, p. 233.
plied funds to buy goods in some developing countries. That permission, however, was also hedged with reservations: cars and some types of equipment were excluded from the list of goods; the import content of the total value of the products supplied by these developing countries was not to exceed 50 per cent. That was done to prevent the USA's industrial competitor states from using that concession to expand their own exports to these countries. Moreover, the list of these developing countries was confined to those with per head incomes of under $1,000 and the goods supplied by these countries had to be lower-priced than similar goods on the US market. In 1976, for instance, only $23 million worth of goods met these requirements, and only a few relatively developed recipient countries (South Korea, Taiwan, the Philippines and Brazil) were able to import these.
Before the Second World War and in the early postwar years, Britain's insignificant financial aid to its colonies and dependent territories was largely used to buy goods in the metropolitan country. The credits were not formally conditioned, but in actual fact the use of aid funds outside the metropolitan country was virtually ruled out as a result of the recipient countries' political dependence on Britain.
When most British colonies won their independence and joined the Commonwealth as independent members, Britain was obliged to resort to formal tying of credits.
In 1963, the British government took steps to minimise the outflow of currency under aid programmes. When a developing country wanted to spend the aid funds on imports from third countries, it had to apply to the Foreign and Commonwealth Office, which allowed such imports only when they made sure that the required goods and services could not be obtained from Britain on "reasonable competitive terms". But since the expression is so vague and includes, alongside prices, such factors as delivery deadlines, subsequent servicing, etc., Britain has been able to manoeuvre and make it most difficult for the developing countries to refuse to buy goods or services from the former metropolitan country.
Another widespread measure is the tying of aid to concrete projects. In giving credits, Britain sought to ensure that these primarily went to finance the building of projects in the developing countries which would help to load industrial capacities in Britain. As a result, the proportion of ac-
26 27tually tied British aid has in recent years markedly increased. Today, loans extended by Britain's Department of Trade under the export guarantees act are fully tied, just as most of the loans and grants handled by the ministry of Overseas Development. When repayment of loans and credits by the developing countries is deferred, refunding is seen as tied non-project aid, for the new funds are used exclusively to repay British credits. All technical assistance is also conditioned. In 1981, 78 per cent of Britain's bilateral aid was fully tied.^^1^^ Credits and subsidies to numerous small dependent territories in the Pacific, Atlantic and Indian oceans, and also to the "less developed countries" of the Commonwealth (Malawi, Botswana, Lesotho) are partially conditioned. Estimates show that even when aid is not formally tied, 60 per cent of the funds return to Britain to buy British goods. The figure is roughly similar for loans extended to other countries by the Commonwealth Development Corporation, and also for its investments in private share capital. Pensions and other types of compensation paid to former British officials of the colonial administration living in developing countries are formally not tied but, beyond any doubt, a share of these resources is also transferred to Britain.
The Federal Republic of Germany has increasingly resorted to tied aid. Up to 1962, only about 9 per cent of its aid to the developing countries had any formal strings, and most of the aid was given in the form of loans from the Kreditanstalt fur Wiederaufbau bank. Since 1963, in spite of its favourable economic and financial situation, the FRG has been active in tying its foreign credits.
The urge to strengthen its positions in the competitive struggle for markets in the DCs induced the FRG to tie more and more of its credits. Only under pressure from other industrial capitalist states, which began to face additional difficulties as a result of the FRG's moves, it somewhat backed down. According to the Development Assistance Committee, officially tied credits in 1981 made up only 25.7 per cent of the FRG's total bilateral aid.^^2^^ That figure, however, does not in the least reflect the actual scale of aidtying, for the use of many credits is subjected to indirect lim-
1 Calculated from Development Co-operation..., 1982 Review, p. 227.
2 Ibid.
28itations, notably, through a careful choice of projects.
West German politicians have repeatedly pointed out that 80 per cent of bilateral aid is in effect repatriated in the form of orders to West German firms. Thus, speaking in the Bundestag in 1975, the then Economic Cooperation Minister Egon Bahr tried to persuade the opposition that West German aid was not just a waste of money. He said: "Roughly 80 per cent of the aid funds are repatriated in the form of orders to West German firms, and with respect to funds provided on a multilateral basis, the figure is 200 per cent or more" (that is, the volume of orders is two or more times higher than the total amount of credits).^^1^^ So, the aid-tying phenomenon goes beyond ``concern'' for the balance of payments of individual donor states, but is an integral part of the inter-imperialist struggle.
Nominally, the proportion of fully^tied French aid (47.9 per cent in 1981) is lower than that of other leading capitalist creditors except the FRG. In actual fact, however, the peculiarities of France's economic and political links with its former colonies enable it to tie its aid on a scale which possibly matches that of the USA. Subsidies make up more than 85 per cent of French bilateral aid to the developing countries, the rest being loans. Many subsidies are provided in the form of financial support for the state budgets of recipient countries and for covering local expenses. Under the mechanism of the Franc Area, the budget of each of its countries is connected with funds in hard currency (French francs) deposited on that country's account at the State Bank of France. That is why support for the budget of a developing country amounts to a transfer of a certain sum in French francs to that country's account. Such an operation does not entail an outflow of currency from France or have ari adverse effect an its balance of payments.
Formally not tied subsidies for covering local expenses and meeting other needs of the developing countries have a similar effect. The bulk of France's aid goes to its former colonies, which still depend on it in foreign trade and in general economic terms. On average, the countries of the Franc Area get more than two-thirds of their commodity imports from
1 Manager-Magazin, Hamburg, No. 9, 1975, p. 12.
2 Calculated from Development Co-operation..., 1982 Review, p. 227.
29France. Most of them have a trade deficit with France, and a large part of French aid goes to cover this deficit.
For states outside the Franc Area, the use of aid funds to buy goods in third countries is strictly limited. In giving preferential loans to such states, France obliges them to sign contracts for the import of French goods and services, while those from other countries outside the Franc Area can be imported only when the deal has been approved by the French Commission for Export Credit Guarantees. Exceptions can be made only when it is officially recognised that French firms cannot supply the financed project with the necessary equipment, but these exceptions should not exceed 10 per cent of the credit.
or from third countries, or else to increase its foreign-- exchange reserves. So, even when 100 per cent of the aid is tied, the recipient country has some room for manoeuvre. For the donor country, this means that even total tying does not lead to a 100 per cent positive influence on its balance of payments.
The extent to which commercial imports are replaced with aid-financed imports primarily depends on the scale of the trade links between the two countries. The more extensive these are and the greater the role of the donor state in those of the recipient country's imports which meet its most essential requirements, the more opportunities the latter has to choose those goods from the overall flow of imports which it finds most convenient to receive through aid channels. The composition of the imported commodity supply and the economic significance of its various items for the consumer country is naturally very important, enabling it to obtain on concessional terms those it needs most of all.
So, the volume and extent of the replacement of commercial exports with deliveries under aid programmes depend on the specifics of trade links between the two countries and are characterised by a "substitution coefficient", or the portion of the total volume of aid-financed deliveries which represents the replacement of commercial exports to the recipient country.
But the goal of capitalist ``aid'' is not to supply the developing countries with material values on terms that are most acceptable to them, but to ensure markets for the donor's own goods. That is why the higher the "substitution coefficient", the less instrumental is aid in expanding the creditor country's foreign market and the greater its adverse influence on the balance of payments owing to a loss of exchange earnings.
At the same time, the policy of tying credits entails phenomena with an opposite effect. Close and large-scale economic ties between the donor and recipient, which result in a high "substitution coefficient", simultaneously mean that a significant part of the foreign currency saved will be spent anyway on additional imports from the industrially developed creditor country. Assuming that a developing country will not use the currency saved to increase its foreignexchange reserves, but will use it to expand its imports,
31The Economic Impact of Tied Aid on the Creditor and Recipient Countries
The purpose of tying is to ensure that the flow of currency from the donor country is compensated to the utmost through the export of goods. So, tying has a beneficial influence on the creditor country's balance of payments, and that is usually one of the main arguments in defence of tied aid. Here is how one-time Secretary of State Dean Rusk formulated that function of aid-tying: "...AID is in the business of exporting US goods and services, not US dollars.''^^1^^
Since other capitalist creditor states have also adopted similar policies with respect to the developing countries, most foreign aid now amounts to deliveries of goods and services rather than a transfer of monetary resources. That is naturally bound to have a considerable influence on the balance of payments of both the creditors and the recipients.
One of the advantages of concessional foreign credits and subsidies is that the recipient country can use these to buy some of its traditional import goods (usually bought through commercial channels from the existing foreign-exchange reserves) in the creditor country. Such a switch enables the recipient to save some of its foreign currency, which it can use either to import more goods from the creditor country
1 Foreign Assistance, 1966. Hearings before the Committee on F0- reign Relations, US Senate, 89th Congress, 2nd Session, US Government Printing Office, Washington, 1966, p. 97.
30these additional imports will usually come from the countries which traditionally supply its imports in proportion to the importance of these countries in the trade of the recipient country. So, the greater the importance of an industrial country in a DC's imports, the greater will be the proportion of the currency saved by the recipient country that goes back to the industrial donor.
In order to increase the effect from tying and reduce the developing countries' opportunities to manoeuvre with aid deliveries, in the mid-1960s the USA began to make active use of a clause on the need to make such deliveries `` supplementary'' with regard to commercial imports. On its insistence, many credit agreements included a clause demanding that aid funds should be used solely to import goods over and above the country's usual requirements, and the Treasury and the Department of Commerce of the USA strictly monitored its observance. That clause was often decisive in the choice of aid-funded projects in the developing countries. It was specially noted that the construction and running of such projects entailed subsequent deliveries of spare parts and other materials from the USA, and also depended on the services of US specialists. As for deliveries of goods other than complete plant and equipment, in 1967 the USA introduced ``positive'' and ``negative'' lists. The former listed goods which could be obtained within the framework of aid, and the latter ruled out the possibility of obtaining some categories of goods.
The close links of aid-tying with the need to market relatively uncompetitive US products in the developing countries and with the selfish interests of the monopolies have been repeatedly emphasised at meetings of various congressional committees. Thus, AID Administrator William S. Gaud told Congress: "For the most part ... positive lists are made up of commodities in which the United States is relatively less competitive, and which we would otherwise be unlikely to export in any great volume...''^^1^^
Clarence D. Long, who was later to become Chairman of the Subcommittee on Foreign Operations and Related Agencies, was even more outspoken. He said: "There are a lot of business firms in the country who make a lot of money out
1 Quoted in Judith Tendler, Inside Foreign Aid, The Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore, 1975, p. 46.
of selling this stuff abroad. They can't sell it in this country at the prices they want. They can sell it abroad at the American taxpayer's expense.
``There are a lot of elite types in this country who have made vast sums of money out of foreign aid. It hasn't gone to the poor people but it has enriched the well-to-do.''^^1^^
The limiting clause is also meant to help US exporters in their struggle against foreign competitors. "If AID credits are to be covered fully by additional US exports, part of a host country's imports must be diverted from foreign sources of supply to the United States ... through import and exchange controls," said William S. Gaud.^^2^^ So, while posing as champions of free trade and a free play of market forces, the US ruling circles simultaneously pursue a line of unabashed protectionism, pressing the weaker partner into buying useless or overpriced goods. "In several instances AID positive lists have been so limited that countries could not draw down available funds at a reasonable pace, and put them to use for development. Importers were simply reluctant to use AID funds to purchase goods subject to our procedures and at higher prices.''^^3^^ It often took months of negotiations, Gaud said, to induce the developing countries to make concessions and ensure conditions benefitting the USA.
Similar rules are applied in food aid, the need for which in African and other developing countries has recently become most acute. A special clause [401(a)] of Public Law 480 says that food can be given as aid only if this will not lead to a decline of commercial food exports to the recipient country. In other words, unless a developing country imports a US-specified minimum of food through commercial channels, it is not entitled to receive US food aid.
Here is an example. In the late 1970s, Egypt's economic situation became very diffucult. The balance of payments was permanently in the red, and the country's foreign debt as of September 30,1976, amounted to $5,700 million (apart from the debt related to foreign deliveries). Its overdue pay-
1 Foreign Assistance and Related Agencies Appropriations for 1977. Hearings before a Subcommittee of the Committee on Appropriations. House of Representatives, 94th Congress, 2nd Session, Part 2, US Government Printing Office, Washington, 1976, p. 570.
2 Judith Tendler, Op. cit, p. 119.
3 Ibid., pp. 119-120.
323-404
33ments alone totalled $257 million. In 1977, the country was due to pay out $1,600 million in debt service. In spite of all that, the USA and the Common Market countries raised Egypt's obligatory quota of commercial wheat imports for 1976-1977 form 2.2 to 2.6 million tons, although the Egyptian government tried to persuade its ``donors'' to reduce that quota to 1.6 million tons.^
Another way to make aid deliveries supplementary is to tie credits to the building of a certain project.
Most developing countries, especially in Africa, have never before built many types of industrial projects. They do not have sufficient funds to buy the required capital equipment in third countries and are consequently obliged to turn to foreign aid, even if such aid can be obtained only to finance a definite project, whose building will primarily go to benefit the donor country. For the latter, such an application by s developing country almost always means the opening of a new export market protected against competition from other suppliers and so extremely profitable. For the recipient, such aid sharply aggravates the problem of financing internal expenditures, which often reach one-half or even a greater share of the project's total cost. The possibility for a developing country to use local materials and the availability of sufficient funds for hiring manpower are important factors in reducing construction costs and are sometimes crucial for the future of the whole project. But the capitalist creditor, in his urge to maximise the import component of the building costs, usually refuses to finance the recipient's local expenses, while an independent increase of the internal component in the total construction outlays is often beyond the power of many developing countries. Most of them, especially in Africa, have very limited opportunities for mobilising internal resources for such financing. So, in some instances, host governments are obliged to give up such projects altogether, and in others, they have to choose designs with the greatest import expenditures or even deliberately to increase the import component of the expenditures by planning cutbacks in the use of local materials and manpower. Such a
1 Egypt's Capacity to Absorb and Use Economic Assistance Effectively. Report of the Comptroller General of the United States, US General Accounting Office, Washington, 1977, pp. 32, 20.
decision not only leads to big increases in the construction costs, but also has an adverse effect on the national economy, aggravating the employment problem, obstructing the development of local industry, and so on.
Many DCs have objective possibilities for meeting the internal share of the outlays on the construction of this or that project, but a shortage of capital makes it difficult for them to muster the necessary resources. Thus, operations like the building of access routes, installation of equipment, and haulage are often hindered by a shortage of machinery, equipment and transport facilities, on the one hand, and of consumer goods in the country, on the other. The growing demand for such goods is connected with a recruitment of additional manpower for work in production.
For many developing countries, imports are the only sources of both capital goods and consumer goods. But the tying of foreign credits to specific projects, and also the creditors' apprehension that aid-financed purchases of general means of production and consumer goods could reduce the opportunities for marketing these through conventional commercial channels may hinder the use of credits already obtained. In looking for a way out, some developing countries are obliged to buy the goods they need at the expense of their scanty foreign-exchange reserves or short-term loans. As a result, their balance of payments and overall financial situation continue to worsen.
The creditor states' policy of offering financial assistance for projects which particularly suit their own industrial firms often violates the proportions of industrial development in the host countries. Projects are often built which at that moment they need least of all. When the list of priorities is disregarded and projects of secondary importance are built, this always entails losses for the recipient country.
For the capitalist creditors aid-tying brings considerable advantages, whereas the developing countries lose a great deal. Some of these losses can be pinpointed and assessed more or less accurately, while others become evident only much later.
For the buyer country, limits on its freedom to choose its foreign suppliers inevitably result in monopoly price hikes and other factors which inflate the prices of goods bought from aid funds. That is primarily because the suppliers (the USA above all) sell such goods at prices prevailing on the
34 35domestic market. These prices, often propped up by high protectionist duties, are usually far above the corresponding world prices. In dealing on the foreign market, US industrial corporations always have to reckon with competition from foreign suppliers, but when goods are sold under tied-aid programmes, there is no such competition, and prices are bound to go up.
The recipient countries often suffer additional losses from irrational transportation of goods tied to sources of financing. Thus, freightage to Africa from the USA is much more expensive than from Western Europe, especially for bulk and low-priced goods. For instance, in importing reinforcing bars under a US aid programme, Tunisia had to pay almost $17 more per 1 ton of freightage as compared with imports from Western Europe (or 10-13 per cent of the c.i.f. price).^^1^^
High prices of the goods and services provided under tied credits are a typical feature of that type of aid. British authors I.M.D. Little and J.M. Clifford write: "...It should be remembered that the whole point of aid-tying is precisely that the recipients should not buy in the cheapest market."*
The overpricing of goods and services markedly reduces the real economic effect from capitalist aid for the developing countries and increases the burden of its use. According to a commission chaired by Lester B. Pearson, in 1967, when only 16 per cent of capitalist aid had no strings attached, its true effectiveness was at least 20 per cent below the official figures.^^3^^
The gap between the prices of goods sold under tied-aid programmes and world prices makes it impossible to compare such credits with conventional commercial credits. Estimates show that when a 20-year tied-aid credit is extended to a developing country at an annual interest rate
1 Proceedings of the United Nations Conference on Trade find Development. Second Session. New Delhi, 1 February-29 March 1968,
Vol. IV, United Nations, New York, 1968, p. 101.
2 I.M.D. Little and J. M. Clifford, International Aid. A Discussion of the Flow of Public Resources from Rich to Poor Countries with Particular Reference to British Policy, George Allen and Unwin Ltd., London, 1965, p. 165.
3 Partners in Development. Report of the Commission on International Development. Chairman: Lester B. Pearson, Pall Mall Press, London, 1970, p. 77.
of 3 per cent for the purchase of certain goods, and when these goods are overpriced by 30 per cent as compared with those offered by suppliers from other countries (and such price gaps are usual in tied aid), the interest rate is in effect doubled. In other words, such overpricing virtually nullifies the widely advertised ``liberalisation'' of state aid claimed by the capitalist countries. Where the actual interest on aid credits runs to 6 per cent a year, such credits are nearly as onerous as commercial ones.
A comparison of direct value indicators relating to deliveries under tied-aid programmes and through other channels does not show all the losses for the recipient, because conditioned deliveries often have various side-effects further reducing the advantages of such deliveries or putting up their price in various indirect ways. One of the factors whose impact may at first be hidden from the consumer is the high cost of spare parts and high operation costs.
A work analysing tied economic aid to Tunisia in 1965 contains examples of how additional expenses can be incurred in the running of a project or equipment. Thus, 85 US buses bought under an AID credit were not only 30 per cent more expensive than similar European buses but had numerous design faults and had to be repaired more often, while the price of spare parts, which also had to be imported from the USA, was 30-50 per cent above the European price. What makes it worse is the long delays in the delivery of spare parts, for the suppliers of goods bought under aid programmes usually devote much less attention to subsequent servicing of these goods than in conventional commercial deals',' realising that the recipient of aid is not free to choose his supplier.
Under pressure from the developing countries, the UN General Assembly and its Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) passed a number of resolutions urging some relaxation of the restrictions on the use of credits extended to the developing countries. Some attempts have been made along these lines. Back in 1965, the DAC recommended its member countries to make joint and individual efforts to reduce the amount of tied aid on an increasing scale. Talks to elaborate an agreement abolishing tied aid were carried on in 1970, in early and late 1971, in the autumn of 1973, and in mid-1974, but the only result was an agreement to exempt from tying financial contributions
36 37to international credit agencies. But that was merely a recognition of existing practices. Ten of the DAC's 17 members decided to allow the developing countries to use a part of bilateral-aid credits to buy goods in other developing states. But such major creditor countries as France and Britain did not support that decision. Britain agreed to do so only with regard to the 'least developed countries", whose gross domestic product does not exceed $200 per head of population. But the production potentialities of such countries are extremely limited, so the concession is virtually meaningless.
The main reason for continued aid-tying is that the imperialist monopolies have a stake in it, making vast superprofits in conditions that protect them against mutual competition, while the burdens of that wasteful policy of boosting exports are borne, on the one hand, by the taxpayers of the creditor countries and, on the other, by the peoples of the developing states, whose debts have been mounting while the effectiveness of the aid they receive is markedly reduced as a result of tying.
Chapter Two
THE STRUCTURE AND REAL VOLUME OF EXTERNAL RESOURCES
The structure of these resources and the terms on which they are given are most diverse, ranging from grants and longterm low-interest loans to export and bank credits repayable over 3 to 5 years at an annual interest rate of more than 17 per cent, and also the export of private entrepreneurial capital, whose terms and economic consequences for the developing countries are even graver.
The role and effectiveness of foreign resources from the standpoint of the recipient's interests largely depend on their constituent elements, primarily on the correlation between the volume of resources obtained on concessional terms and those received on market or near-market terms. It is also extremely important to distinguish between the nominal and the real volume of resources. Meanwhile, it may be very difficult to determine the volume of aid. Each industrialised capitalist state seeks to present its aid to the newly independent countries in as favourable a light as possible, often counting in the export of private capital, commercial credits along private and state lines, and also state-monopoly assistance to private capital exports expressed in value terms (like various state guarantees against financial losses resulting from nationalisation or social conflicts in the recipient countries).
Attempts by the capitalist countries to identify aid with the export of private capital raise essential objections.
Resolutions adopted by the First and Second UN Conferences on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) urging the industrial capitalist countries to allocate to the DCs financial resources amounting to at least 1 per cent of their GDP played a certain role in this identification.
39Although one of the resolutions subsequently specified that 0.7 per cent of the aid should be provided through state channels, the fact that state and private resources were put under a single head enabled some industrial capitalist countries, which have been stepping up their economic expansion to the DCs through a sharp increase in the export of private capital, to declare that their aid is very close to the UN target.
The OECD Observer and other statistical publications by the OECD often include state and private capitals under one head. But that is not justified: thus, a part of state aid representing grants of material values and services cannot be compared with credits whose financial and other terms largely correspond to those prevailing on the private capital market.
Only a very small part of the aid goes to the developing countries in the form of currency or other international means of payment, while the bulk of it is made up of deliveries of goods in kind and non-material types of aid (services and technical assistance). Hence the problem of expressing these resources in value terms. The conversion of national currencies into US dollars on the strength of official exchange rates and current prices, as accepted in DAC statistics, eventually leads to a considerable gap between the nominal dollar value of aid resources and their real material content as a result of changes in exchange rates and price increases.
In its fullest and most detailed form, DAC statistics shows the flow of resources from 17 capitalist member states (state by state) to all the developing countries. All these resources are divided into four categories: official development assistance (ODA), other official flows (OOF), private flows on market terms, and grants by private voluntary agencies.
As we see, the first and second categories relate to state sources, and the third and fourth, to private sources. The last category has been taken into account by DAC statistics only since 1970. Each of the two types of state resources is subdivided into two groups: resources transferred under bilateral interstate agreements, and contributions to international credit agencies. Official military aid and other expenditures by capitalist states directly related to the military needs of developing countries are
not taken into account, except where such aid, in the opinion of the creditor countries, promotes economic development.
The section on private flows on market terms includes direct and portfolio investments, long-term private loans, and various export credits. So, it covers the main items of the balance of payments under the "capital account" section. Assessments of the flow of private resources, the DAC itself admits, are far from full.
The principle of assessing the net flow of resources from the creditor countries is a major specific feature of DAC statistics, which shows all types of financial resources as net resources. With regard to state funds, for instance, this means that the sums going to repay the principal of earlier credits (amortisation payments) are subtracted from the total volume of aid resources, and with regard to private resources on market terms, this applies to repatriation of capital. So-called factor cost payments (interest, profit and dividends) are not taken into account in any direct way. Receipt of interest on state credits is shown only in footnotes to the main tables. That is being done on the pretext of ensuring the greatest degree of correspondence between DAC statistics and the principles of drawing up balances of payments adopted in the capitalist countries, which clearly distinguish between "balance on capital account" and "balance on current account". Payments for goods and services are included in the latter, and in accordance with the principles of bourgeois political economy, payment of interest by the debtor on the credit he obtained and receipt of income by the investor on the capital he invested are but different forms of payment for the ``service'' of using capital as a "factor of production''.
So, the net flow of resources from the industrialised Western countries to the developing countries, as shown by DAC statistics, considerably overstates the actual volume of resources that reach the latter. This volume can be determined only when the annual interest payments on earlier credits are subtracted from the net figures.
At the same time, net flow figures do not show the total, gross volume of resources provided by each donor country, notably, the annual budget appropriations by their legislative bodies. The gross volume of resources can be estimated if repayment of principal to the creditor
40 41countries is added to the net flow figures.
Similarly, DAC statistics exaggerates the export of private capital, for it does not take into account the profits on direct investments and the interest on invested portfolio capital (entrepreneurial and loan).
In 1969, DAC statistics singled out so-called official (state) development assistance (ODA) from the general official flow of resources. At first cautiously, in a footnote, and then in the context of a general explanation of terms and concepts, the publishers of the official review of DAC activities in the field of cooperation with the developing countries had to point out that only ODA could be regarded as aid.
ODA includes resources channelled to the developing countries or international credit agencies by official state institutions of the creditor countries and meeting two conditions. They should:
a) promote the recipient country's economic development and prosperity, and
b) be concessional (include a "grant element"^^1^^ of no less than 25 per cent).
ODA includes grants or subsidies, the part of state resources which does not have to be repayed or compensated by the recipient. Under bilateral state aid, these may take the form of free money grants for economic development or for covering budget deficits, free deliveries of manufactures or consumer goods to promote economic and social development or by way of emergency aid ( natural disasters, consequences of wars, and so on), and also remuneration paid by the creditor countries for the services of specialists under technical assistance programmes. Developing countries' debts written off by the creditors are also regarded as a subsidy.
A part of the free aid is channelled through international agencies, largely in the form of contributions to UN agencies and some financial institutions (like the European Development Fund) which extend subsidies to the developing countries.
``Grant-like contributions" are a specific form of resources given on easy terms. These include loans to developing countries which can be repaid in local currency, and a
1 This concept is considered below.
part of the funds in local currency (equivalent funds) accumulated in the DCs from the domestic marketing of goods received as aid. Such funds are equated to grants because they do not entail a debt obliging the recipient to transfer foreign hard currency to the donor country. Resources equivalent to grants usually take the form of consumer goods in kind (mostly food).
Some food deliveries can be seen as grants in their own right, notably, when equivalent assets pass into the full possession of the recipient government. But that is not always so. Much of the food aid (like US aid under section one of Public Law 480) is being given on terms according to which the funds in local currency from the sale of goods should belong to the creditor state, which can use them as it sees fit. A part of the equivalent assets could be used to meet some of the donor country's local needs (to pay local personnel working at the embassies and aid missions, to rent or build premises for these, meet local transport expenses and postage, etc.). In this way, the creditor country saves some of its own currency. In other words, such operations are, in effect, conventional business deals rather than aid. That is why, strictly speaking, such funds in local currency should be excluded from the volume of aid.
Loans with a "grant element" of more than 25 per cent are the second major type of resources in the category of official assistance. This applies, for instance, to 15-year loans at an annual interest rate of 5 per cent, which is far from easy from the standpoint of the interests and potentialities of many developing countries.
Under that head, DAC statistics includes loans from governments, central financial agencies and other state institutions of the creditor countries repayable over a term of more than one year in the currency of the creditor country or some other convertible currency.
Another specific form of aid is the extension of longterm state loans to help out debtor countries which are unable to meet their external debts and are obliged to default. In some instances, when the two sides reach an agreement to consolidate the debt, that is, to prolong its repayment, the agreed amount (even without any additional loan) is seen by the DAC as a corresponding amount of financial resources extended to the debtor,
42 43and is reflected in aid statistics. Resources given in commodity form (food and consumer goods) and repayable in hard currency are a special form of concessional loans (used mostly by the USA).
Multilateral aid is defined by the DAC as payments by the industrial capitalist countries to international organisations in the form of contributions to their authorised capital, purchase of their securities, and joint loans to third countries. Contributions by the DAC countries to the authorised capital of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD or World Bank), the International Development Association (IDA) and regional development banks (like the Asian Development Bank) are listed by DAC statistics in the category of aid, although all those institutions, except the IDA, usually give out credits on market terms.
Resources which do not fit into ODA are included in "other official flows" (OOF). Among these are official bilateral deals on market or near-market terms, primarily loans by official credit institutions of the capitalist countries (the export-import banks of the USA and Japan, the KfW bank in the FRG, etc.), whose official purpose is to stimulate commodity exports (export credits). This category also includes purchases by the creditor-countries' state agencies of securities issued by international credit institutions, and also shares of companies operating in the developing countries.
As it was pointed out above, most foreign resources reach the developing countries through private channels. The dynamics of capital investment in entrepreneurial form is primarily characterised by figures on the export of capital in the form of direct investments.
Direct investments are those where control over an enterprise is in a foreign investor' s hands, and other such investments are regarded as portfolio.^^1^^ In DAC statistics, however, exports of loan capital are also seen as portfolio investments, without distinction between these two
~^^1^^ The principle of dividing investments into direct and portfolio is most tentative. In the USA, shareholdings of less than 10 per cent are seen as portfolio investments. But even with such a portfolio held by a single investor it is in effect quite possible to control the activity of the enterprise in question.
markedly differing types of investments.
A major element of present-day investment by foreign companies in the DCs is re-investment from retained profit produced in the host country. DAC statistics takes re-investment into account as increasing the assets of foreign companies operating in the developing countries, although it does not involve an influx of new capital from abroad.
Private loans and export credits to government bodies, private and state enterprises in the developing countries are one of the channels of portfolio investment in loan form. Over the past few years, the large foreignexchange accumulations of the OPEC countries have led to a flood of so-called petrodollar bank credits. These are extended both by OPEC's own credit bodies and by West European and US banks, because OPEC countries usually keep their petroleum earnings in the banks of these countries.
As the developing countries' requirements for imported means of production have increased, the competition among the industrial capitalist countries over markets in the DCs has intensified, with a considerable increase in the scale and importance of export crediting. DAC statistics takes into account only medium- and long-term export credits, that is, credits repayable over periods of more than a year. There is no ample reflection of private export credits, except for state-guaranteed credits, which are reflected relatively fully. Attempts were made in the past to determine the nonguaranteed part as well, but today there are no such publications, although this type of crediting has of late markedly increased.
Private loan capital can be exported in the form of bonds and other securities floated on the money markets both by international financial institutions and the governments of developing states.
Application of the principle of the net flow of resources to private export and bank credits considerably distorts their true volume: the actual sums are 2-2.5 times larger than the net figures presented by DAC statistics.
44Capital Export to the Developing Countries. Hierarchy of Credit Sources
The multiplicity of financial resources flowing from the West to the developing countries does not at all mean that these countries are free to choose any one they like. In the evolution of imperialist policy towards the former colonies and the fierce competition among the capitalist powers for influence in the young states, a finely spun network of international lending has gradually taken shape. The wide range of credit and financial bodies offering credits on the most diverse terms has two main aims in view: first, to tie in as closely as possible the process of accumulation in the developing countries (especially in the state sector) with the system of international capitalist lending so as to make it dependent on the similar process in the industrial capitalist countries; and second, to ensure unconditional priority of private sources of credit and production investments from Western countries in financing the economic development of newly independent states.
Back in the early period of US aid programme, the then US Secretary of State Dean Acheson spelled out the principle behind aid, which applies not only to the USA, but to all other capitalist states: "In providing assistance for economic development, it would be contrary to our traditions to place our government's public funds in direct and wasteful competition with private funds. Therefore, it will be our policy, in general, not to extend loans of public funds for projects for which private capital is
available.''^^1^^
The present US Administration is faithfully following that principle. Speaking before the Committee on Foreign Affairs of the US Congress on March 19, 1981, AID Administrator M. Peter McPherson formulated the task of his administration as follows: "We must be careful here to facilitate business involvement [in financing---Ed. ] and not to substitute for private capital."2
~^^1^^ Politics and Society, Los Altos, Vol. 10, No. 1, 1980, p. 11.
2 Foreign Assistance Legislation for Fiscal Year 1982 (Part 1). Hearings before the Committee on Foreign Affairs, House of Representatives, Ninety-Seventh Congress, First Session, US Government Printing Office, Washington, 1981, p. 251.
So, aid agencies refuse to extend credits if, in the opinion of their administration, a project can be financed by private capital. If the latter is not interested in such an investment, the donor country can use this refusal as a means of putting pressure on the developing country's government so as to make it change its policy towards investments from abroad and create a more favourable climate for these.
In pursuance of these principles, a specific mechanism has gradually taken shape in the Western countries, pivoted on a hierarchy of credit .sources, whose lower rungs mean the greatest concessions to the borrower countries, with an increasing toughening of financial terms towards the upper end (see Table 1).
The table shows that private national sources of capital in entrepreneurial and loan forms are at the top of the hierarchy. The activities of the International Finance Corporation (IFC), which operates within the IBRD framework, also fall within this category.
Lower down, there are the state credit institutions which directly promote commodity exports from the Western donor countries, and still lower down, we find international credit agencies distributing state and private resources on near-commercial terms (IBRD). Agencies offering resources on soft terms under bilateral agreements, through collective bodies (IDA) or in the form of grants are at the lower rungs of the ladder.
Table 1: External Financing Institutions of the Capitalist Countries and Their Financial Terms
Type of external resources
Financial terms
Institutional examples
Equity investment, private bank credits
Maximum possible profit; guaranteed profit repatriation; market interest rates
International Finance Corporation (IFC), international banks, bond flotations by DC governments
-d S
46 47•
Export credits
Near-market interest rates; credit tied to lending source
US Export-Import Bank and similar institutions in France, FRG, Japan and other capitalist countries
involvement in international credit agencies, hoping to obtain an additional channel for penetrating into the economy of countries that are still within the sphere of influence of the ``old'' imperialist powers.
These powers (France, Britain, to some extent Belgium) in principle prefer their own national sources of capital to international sources. At the same time, they seek to make active use of international agencies catering for various regions of the developing world within their own sphere of influence. France, for instance, has been trying to use its involvement in the EEC's credit bodies---the European Investment Bank (EIB) and the European Development Fund (EDF), whose main target is Africa--- to gain additional economic advantages through the capital of other member states.
The list of priorities in foreign financing reflected in the table also shows the contradictions between the interests of the borrowers and the creditors. A developing country seeking foreign aid is naturally inclined to apply to sources with the softest terms of credit, while the creditor countries' policy is to make it climb the ladder towards tougher sources of credit. Thus, the US Agency for International Development and its Export-Import Bank (Eximbank) have set up an interdepartment development loan committee and a staff liaison group to ensure that AID "does not extend a loan which Eximbank might be willing to finance". So, the aim of these organs is to put the potential borrower in a situation where it has virtually no choice in the matter of credit sources, and where the possibility of obtaining easier credits depends on a decision by upper-rung bodies. The interdepartment committee and liaison group also "ensure that Eximbank has first refusal on any loan application to the United States Government".^^1^^
Financing bodies in the upper echelon also coordinate their activities to ensure the priority of private sources of credit on the hardest terms. Thus, the IFC declares that it will not finance an enterprise if it believes that sufficient capital on reasonable terms can be obtained from other sources.
~^^1^^ Resources for the Developing World. The Flow of Financial Resources to Less-Developed Countries 1962-1968, OECD. Paris, 1970, p. 199.
Medium-interest loans
Intermediate interest rates; untied; grace period
IBRD (World Bank), regional development banks
Low-interest loans
Low interest, but usually tied; grace period; as a rule, loan politically motivated
Service charge only (e.g., 0.25 per cent); untied; long maturity
US AID and other Western bilateral aid agencies
o
c/3
Interest free loans
International Development Association (IDA)
Subsidies or grants No repayment
Bilateral aid agencies, multilateral technical assistance
Source: Politics and Society, Vol. 10, No. 1, 1980, p. 13 (with author's additions).
Such a list of priorities in the credit field most accurately reflects US policy. An official OECD manual on capitalist aid sources says that the Agency for International Development (AID) can only lend when the possibilities of other sources of finance "have been taken into consideration". A potential borrower must therefore consult in succession:
---a private bank;
---the Export-Import Bank, Washington;
---the International Finance Corporation;
---the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development.^^1^^
But the private capital of some capitalist states, like the FRG amd Japan, does not have such strong economic positions in the DCs. These states attach much importance to
1 Manual of Industrial Project Analysis in Developing Countries. Methodology and Case Studies, OECD Development Centre, Paris, 1972, p. 230.
484-404
49Then comes the second stage in the workings of external financing: the credit-seeking DC is enabled to descend the resources ladder, that is, to turn to sources of softer credit, but only as creditors offering harder terms "show no interest" in the given project.
Under such a mechanism, the terms and forms of external financing heavily depend on the nature of the proposed investment, and also on the borrower country's creditworthiness. The mechanism is meant to ensure a "division of labour" under which all lucrative, highly profitable investments go to private capital while lowprofit investments are made by aid institutions (naturally, within the limits of state appropriations). The reason here is not only private capital's profit-seeking urge, but also the striving of Western ruling circles to make the process of capital accumulation in the developing countries as dependent as possible on foreign private capital.
In the late 1950s and early 1960s, when most of the former colonies and dependent countries had won political independence, the imbalance in social reproduction in the two zones of the world capitalist economy---the industrial and the developing countries---became more pronounced, taking a particularly sharp turn in the mid-1970s. In view of the lasting deficit of the US balance of payments and the flood of petrodollars on the money market which followed the rise in oil prices, the overaccumulation of capital in the leading capitalist countries sharply aggravated. The difficulty of high-profit investment in the domestic economy of most industrial capitalist countries due to slow economic growth and cyclical and structural crises stimulated the export of capital, primarily and on the largest scale within the zone of the industrial countries themselves, while export of capital to the developing countries increased to a lesser extent and mainly in loan form (loans and credits), for the export of private capital in entrepreneurial form (mostly through direct investments) was held back for fear of nationalisation and various restrictions on its use and repatriation of profits.
But the shaky state of the capitalist monetary system and the inexorable inflation induced capitalists to invest in material values and government securities which guarantee a steady income. This promotes an export of capital to the developing countries.
Table 2: Net Flow of Resources to the Developing Countries, $ million
1960 1970 1975 1980 1981 1982I Official development assistance 4
,686
7,120
18,600
34,630
33,820
31,490
including:
bilateral 4
,138
6,050
14,760
26,840
25,890
24,040
milti lateral
548 1,070
3,840
7,790
7,930
7,450
II
Grants by private
voluntary
agencies
• ..
860 1,340
2,310'
2,020
2,310
III Resources on
market terms 3
,389
10,950
34,310
56,410
69,270
56,630
including:
bilateral 3
,184
10,240
31,780
51,560
63,590
49,950
of these:
---direct invest-
ments 1
,969
3,690
11,360
10,540
16,130
1 1 ,000
---bank loans
...
3,000
12,000
22,000
29,000
21,000
---portfolio in-
vestments
437 300 420 1,380
2,000
2,000
---private export
credits
537 2,090
4,420
11,120
11,330
9,000
---state export
credits
241 590 1,220
2,460
2,010
2,450
---other types
of resources
...
4502,100
4,060
3,120
4,500
multilateral
205 6902,580
4,850
5,680
6,680
Total
8,075 18,930 54,960 93,350 105,110 90,430
Sources: Partners in Development..., p. 378; Development Co-- operation..., 1983 Review, p. 51
The latter's rapidly growing requirements for foreign financing were another major reason behind the growth of investments in their economies. These were primarily due to the need to finance faster economic development and provide resources for original accumulations necessary to build up a national industry and an economic and social infrastructure. The instability and relative depreciation of the developing countries' export earnings, fluctuations in the prices of their export products on the
50 51world capitalist market, and the protectionist policy of the industrial Western countries constantly jeopardised the financing of national development plans and necessitated an urgent influx of resources from abroad. Add to that the recent decline in agricultural production and the need to allocate large sums for repayment of foreign debts.
That is why in the 1960s and 1970s capital exports to the developing countries from the main capitalist centres and also from some oil-producing countries markedly increased. Thus, in 1960, the export of capital (both state and private) to the developing countries was $8,100 million in net terms, and by 1970 it had more than doubled, to $18,900 million. In the following decade, the increase was even greater, to the record figure of $105,100 million in 1981.!
Table 2 shows that over the past two decades qualitative changes have also taken place in capital export to the developing countries. In the 1960s, the export of state capital prevailed over that of private capital. The unstable economic and political position of many young developing states and the threat of nationalisation of foreign property reduced the flow of foreign private investments to these countries in entrepreneurial form. In these conditions, the economic and political importance of aid markedly increased.
To make aid more effective from the standpoint of the interests of the industrial capitalist countries, most aid resources at that time were transferred in the form of free subsidies. Thus, technical assistance was fully subsidised, its only initial purpose being to preserve in the once-dependent countries the colonial bureaucracy and teaching personnel who were the vehicles of the political and ideological influence of the former metropolitan countries.
Another major function of aid in that period was to
stimulate investments of monopoly capital in those fields of the developing countries' economy which such capital saw as insufficiently profitable or threatened with nationalisation.
In the mid-1960s, for instance, more than 26 per cent of all aid under bilateral agreements between capitalist and developing countries meant to finance concrete projects (capital project assistance) was earmarked for investment in the mining industry and to a lesser extent in manufacturing. * This aid was mostly used to finance the infrastructural part of the investment in the export branches of industry (access routes, ports, etc. ), often together with private capital. Aid had a very important part to play (44 per cent of the appropriations) in the development of the economic infrastructure, being used to finance capital-intensive projects in power engineering and transport.^^2^^
In contrast to that, assistance to agriculture (10 per cent), which foreign private capital saw as a low-profit area, was at a low level (except for export branches).^^3^^
In the 1970s, the situation markedly changed as the gap between the need of most developing countries for capital necessary to accelerate their socio-economic development and the limited resources at their disposal steadily widened and the role of foreign sources of financing considerably increased.
The nationalisation of the property of foreign monopolies by many African and other developing states in the early 1970s and their ever more pronouced urge to use foreign capital in the interests of national development led to a slowdown in the growth of private capital exports in the form of direct investments. Although nominally the export of entrepreneurial capital increased from $3,690 million in 1970 to 11,000 million in 1982, reaching a peak of $16,130 million in 1981,4 in real terms (i. e., in constant prices) it was only marginally higher at the end of the .1970s than at the beginning. The monopolies preferred states with
~^^1^^ Calculated form Development Assistance. Efforts and Policies of the Members of the Development Assistance Committee, 1969 Review, OECD, Paris, 1969, p. 313.
2 Ibid.
~^^3^^ Ibid.
4 Development Co-operation..., 1983 Review, p. 51.
1 Partners in Development..., p. 378; Development Co-operation.. 1983 Review, p. 51.
52 53``stable political regimes" and also a group of rapidly industrialising countries like Taiwan, South Korea, etc., while the flow of foreign capital to some branches of industry (like mining) in a number of African countries virtually ceased.
The past decade saw a substantial increase in the export of private capital in loan form. In 1980, the latter's share was $35,300 million, or 40.5 per cent of the total export of capital from the West.^^1^^
Since the mid-1970s, there has been greater differentiation among the developing countries by level and rate of economic development and foreign-exchange reserves. A group of petroleum-exporting countries, which set up OPEC, accumulated immense foreign-exchange reserves, some of which they used for economic development, and some for capital investments in industrial and developing countries.
At the other pole there emerged groups of countries "most seriously affected" by the increases in import prices and "least developed" in socio-economic terms, countries which find it most difficult to muster domestic resources and which need foreign sources of accumulation on the easiest terms.
In these conditions, the functions of capitalist aid visibly changed. The slow growth of its real volume and changes in its target directions made it less important for most recipient states as a factor in the development of the production sectors of the economy. To meet the bulk of their financial requirements for the purpose of production investments, African and other developing states had to resort to large loans on commercial terms.
In 1981, the role of official assistance in the development of these sectors of the economy dropped to 6.2. per cent for industry and 20.1 per cent for the economic infrastructure. 2
In the 1960s, the main function of capitalist aid was to stimulate current private investments in the developing countries, to make these more profitable, whereas in the 1970s and 1980s it is to finance spheres of the economy and social development which mostly pave the way for
1 Development Co-operation..., 1983 Review, p. 51.
2 Development Co-operation..., 1982 Review, pp. 229, 231.
such investments in the immediate or more distant future.
In the 1970s, in view of the developing countries' intensifying struggle against the imperialist states, the latter tried to review the strategy of influencing the former's socio-economic development. Under that renewed strategy, formulated in the 1970s, the task is to create and strengthen the social base for developing capitalist relations in the newly independent states.
That tendency was reflected in a significant increase in the importance of technical assistance in the policy of the leading capitalist countries, which see that sphere of investment as an important instrument in strengthening their ideological influence in the developing world. Purely economic interests are also significant. By training national technical personnel on the basis of Western technology, the capitalist states are planning to extend the developing states' technological dependence, and also to stimulate the export of their own commodities.
The renewed strategy of neocolonialism is also aimed at moderating some of the most odious manifestations of imperialist exploitation of developing states and their unequal status in the capitalist economic system. Under pressure from these states, the West increased its aid to the social infrastructure: public health, sanitation, education and housing construction. Lt also began giving more help in tackling the problems of food, clothes, drinking water, and so on.
But the flow of financial resources on hard terms---state and private export credits, bank loans, direct and portfolio investments by private capital---increased much faster. As a result, as one will find from Table 2, the volume of official bilateral assistance and easy credits by international financial institutions, and also by UN and OPEC agencies, while increasing in absolute terms, in relative terms steadily declined.
The structural changes were also bound to affect the average financial terms on which the borrower countries obtained foreign resources. Thus, the average interest rate on loans to countries of Tropical Africa went up from 3.1 per cent in 1967 to 7.9 per cent in 1979. The average maturity of loans in 1979 (16.5 years) was much shorter than in 1967 (21.4 years), and the grace period was
55 54down from 5.4 to 4.6 years. In view of these tendencies, the overall "grant element" in the loans dropped from 45 to 17 per cent.i
To estimate the real volume of Western aid, one should take into account the level of inflation in the capitalist world, the overall increase in the price of goods and services, under aid programmes in particular.
The price indicators (deflators) published in DAG reports show the rise in the prices of the main goods and services paid for from official assistance funds. Consequently, to get an idea of the real volume of aid, one should divide the current figures by the price indexes. In 1980, the price index for ODA as a whole was 269.4 (1970-100). So over the 1970s and the early 1980s, the prices of goods and services delivered under aid programmes on the whole increased nearly 2.7 times, that is, real aid in 1982 amounted to just over one-third of the nominal figure.
Table 3 shows that while the nominal volume of aid to the developing countries for 1970-1982 multiplied
Table 3: Nominal and Real Flow of
``Official Development Assistance" to the Developing Countries, $ million
4.7-fold, its actual volume went up by less than 60 per cent. In that period, nominal aid to Africa increased 6.2- fold, whereas the actual increase was less than 2.3-fold.1 Figures for the six years from 1977 to 1982 show very well how inflation nullifies the nominal increase in aid.
The real volume of Western aid to the developing countries cannot be fully assessed without subtracting the large sums they have to pay out to the capitalist countries as interest on earlier credits. In 1982, for instance, they paid out $1,200 million worth of interest to Western countries.^^2^^ DAC statistics shows such payments in foot notes to tables on the export of resources to the developing countries, without breaking up the figures into regions. Such payments from African countries could be estimated at around $200 million.
Western aid policy does not correspond, in particular, to UN recommendations. In 1970, in elaborating measures for the Second Development Decade, the UN invited the creditor countries to increase by the middle of the decade (1975) their official development assistance to 0.7 per cent of their GNP. Thirteen industrial capitalist countries of the 17 DAC member-states approved that proposal, but most of them with various reservations. Only four states---Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden---adopted that proposal in full. Australia, Denmark, Finland, France and New Zealand pledged to reach the target by 1980, but none of them, except Denmark, actually did so; Australia and New Zealand declared that they could not set a precise deadline for its attainment. Canada, the FRG, Japan and Britain approved the proposal only "in principle", while the USA and Switzerland refused to make any pledge at all. None of the leading capitalist creditor countries agreed to increase aid to the target figure either by the middle of the Second Development Decade or even by its end. Later on, Austria, Canada, Italy and Finland promised to meet the UN target only by the late 1980s, and France, by 1988. At present, far from moving closer to the UN target, these
Assistance
1970 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982
Nominal volume
including
assistance to
African
countries Deflator Real volume
including
assistance to
African
countries
6,521 18,981 22,370 29,542 34,610 33,827 30,624
1,682 7,741 8,601 9,344 10,755 10,512 10,408 100.0 189.2 227.2 259.4 284.7 277.8 269.4 6,521 10,032 9,846 11,386 12,156 12,177 11,367
1,682 3,796 3,611 3,602 3,778 3,784 3,863
Source: Development Co-operation..., 1973-1983 Reviews.
~^^1^^ The World Bank Annual Report 1981, The World Bank, Washington, 1981, p. 143.
1 Ibid.
2 Development Co-operation..., 1983 Review, p. 228.
56 57states are just as far from it as at the beginning of the decade, while the USA, France and Canada have even reduced their contribution (see Table 4).
So, the aid of the leading capitalist creditor countries on the whole amounts to just over one-half of the UN target volume. In 1982, only four countries surpassed the UN target: the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden and Denmark, but they contribute less than 13 per cent of the total aid. At the same time, the two leading capitalist creditor countries---the USA and Britain---and the DAG countries as a whole now have lower figures than in the mid1960s.
As it was shown above, the nominal aid figures published in DAG statistics are much higher than the actual figures. But the qualitative side of the matter is just as important. Each dollar given by the West to the developing countries in the form of a loan or subsidy is dif-
Table 4: "Official Development Assistance"
from DAC Countries, per cent of GNP
ferently weighted depending on the terms on which it is extended. These terms can change the whole value of the flow of foreign resources for the economy of the recipient state. They also largely determine the actual extent of the creditor country's outlays on aid.
In the 1960s, Western researchers began to analyse aid policies. Their main aim was not to determine the real contribution of the industrial capitalist countries to the economic development of the newly independent nations, but a striving for a ``fairer'' distribution of the ``burden'' of aid expenditures as inter-- imperialist contradictions took a sharper turn.
All these researchers saw the various types of aid, including subsidies, food deliveries and technical assistance, as forms of investment and capital export, the only difference among which was their profitability for the donor country.
In time, the DAC countries adopted a method for assessing the costs and benefits of aid suggested by the US economist John. A. Pincus,^^1^^ according to which the profit on each aid dollar is compared with the profit on the investment of one dollar at home. So, dollars given away in grants represent the greatest ``sacrifice'' made by the capitalist country for the sake of the economic development of the "less fortunate countries". Interest-free loans are somewhat less costly for the creditor, and loans on commercial terms are the least cumbersome.
To compare various types of aid, Pincus borrowed a method used in banking to calculate annuities (yearly payments). A loan extended to a developing country is equated to a private bank deposit in order to receive an annuity, payable after a fixed period of time for a certain number of years. To get an annual income of $1,000 for 12 years (a total of $12,000) in 20 years after a deposit is made at an interest rate of 5 per cent, the primary deposit should amount to $3, 507.
Pincus suggested applying the private depositor's logic to relations with the developing countries. Since every loan presupposes receipt of fixed annual amounts by the donor country in amortisation and interest payments, the
1 See Proceedings for the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. Second Session..., Vol. IV, pp. 111-140.
Country
Average for 1965- 1967
Average for 1970- 1972
Average for 1973- 1975
Average for 1976- 1978
Average for 1979- 1981
1982Australia
0.56
0.57
0.55
0.46
0.47
0.57
Austria
0.13
0.08
0180.20
0.30
0.53
Britain
0.45
0.38
0.38
0.44
0.43
0.37
Belgium
0.49
0.50
0.54
0.51
0.55
0.60
Denmark
0.18
0.42
0.54
0.64
0.75
0.77
Italy
0.15
0.14
0.13
0.12
0.15
0.24
Canada
0.28
0.44
0.48
0.49
0.45
0.42
Netherlands
0.44
0.62
0.64
0.84
1.03
1.08
New Zealand
0.20
0.24
0.37
0.38
0.32
0.28
Norway
0.17
0.36
0.55
0.81
0.87
0.99
USA
0.45
0.31
0.25
0.26
0.22
0.27
Finland
0.04
0.11
0.17
0.16
0.24
0.30
France
0.72
0.66
0.59
0.60
0.66
0.75
FRG
0.38
0.32
0.36
0.35
0.45
0.48
Sweden
0.23
0.43
0.70
0.90
0.86
1.02
Japan
0.29
0.22
0.24
0.21
0.29
0.29
Average for
DAC countries
0.42
0.34
0.33
0.34
0.36
0.38
Source: Compiled from Development Co-operation..., 1976 Review, p. 207; 1977 Review, p. 201; 1980 Review, p. 179; 1983 Review, p. 190.
58 59cost of the loan can be expressed as the capitalised value of these receipts. The investor (be it a private capitalist or the bourgeois state) thus faces the task of calculating the amount of capital he would have had to deposit at a bank in his own country at the current rate of interest in order to receive an income equalling that obtained from the international loan. The higher the interest rate in the creditor country, the smaller is the amount of capital necessary to ensure a given volume of receipts.
Supposing a capitalist country extends a 20-year loan of $ 1 million at 3 per cent per annum and with a five-year grace period, and supposing that the rate of discount in the creditor country itself is 6 per cent, it would take $702,487 to obtain similar results through domestic investments. The capitalised value of a $1 million loan on these terms should amount to just over 70.2 per cent of its nominal size. The difference between the two sums---$297,513, or 29.8 per cent---will constitute the capitalist creditor's ``loss'' in favour of the developing country. These ``losses'' are due to the smaller returns on aid to the developing countries (3 per cent instead of the possible 6 per cent).
Western analysts of aid describe such ``losses'' as a "grant element" which is expressed as a certain percentage of the nominal size of the loan. Such a "grant element" is present in every loan whose terms are more favourable as compared with the rate of discount in the creditor country. The "grant element" is influenced not only by the interest rate, but also by the length of the repayment period and the existence of a grace period free from repayment of principal and sometimes even from interest.
When the rate of discount in the creditor country goes up, the "grant element" increases. For a loan extended at 4 per cent when the rate of discount in the creditor country is 6 per cent (all other conditions being equal), the "grant element" comes to 27.5 per cent of the nominal size of the loan, and when the rate of discount in the creditor country is 8 per cent, the concessional element goes up to 45 per cent.
A longer repayment period has a similar effect, for the longer that period, the smaller is the primary deposit that would have to be made to obtain a similar amount in the future. Thus, the "grant element" for a 10-year loan at 4 per cent per annum (without a grace period)
60equals 0.324 (or 32.4 per cent), while for a 20-year loan on similar terms it goes up to 54.4 per cent, for a 30-year loan, to 69.2 per cent, and so on.~^^1^^
DAC and IBRD analysts determine the "grant element" on the basis of a 10 per cent alternative rate of yield on investments, that is, the average rate of yield on private investments. Such an approach in the field of interstate economic relations is unwarranted. As a rule, state investments in the Western countries have a much lower yield. Thus, the rate of yield on federal investments in the USA (as in irrigation projects) was less than 3 per cent in the early 1960s, and 4 per cent in 1969.^^2^^
Since only those material and financial resources that are transferred to the developing countries on concessional terms as compared with conventional market terms can be classified as aid, the volume of the concessions should be seen as the qualitative yardstick of such aid. Calculation of the "grant element" in loans helps to get an idea of these concessions. In 1980, for instance, loans extended by DAC countries under aid agreements had a "grant element" of 59.2 per cent.^^3^^ So, since the DAC countries' lending commitments that year totalled $8,329 million, the actual concession in favour of the developing countries was only $4, 931 million.
The "grant element" in free aid naturally equals 100 per cent, so that in this instance the concession in favour of the recipient country coincides with the nominal value of the aid. In effect, however, the donor states use diverse forms of the recipient's direct or indirect dependence and are thus able to derive considerable benefits from nominally gratuitous aid.
1 For a table showing the "grant element" in loans depending on maturity and the rate of discount see, for instance, Harry G. Johnson, Economic Policies Toward Less Developed Countries, The Brookings Institution, Washington, 1967, p. 225.
2 Economic Development and Cultural Change, Chicago, No. 4, July 1972, pp. 632, 633.
3 Development Co-operation..., 1981 Review, p. 197.
61Table 5: Net Flow of Bilateral ODA
to Africa from DAC Countries, $ million
Creditor
annual average
country
1960-
1968-
1971 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1966 1970Australia Austria
0.3 1.3
1.2 1.6
1.3 4.3
7.9 62.9
12.7 81.2
15.7 13.2
22.5 11.5
47.1 98.8
Britain
193.8
139.8
127.6
166.0
233.2
390.3
460.3
455.7
Belgium Denmark
75.8 0.6
72.4 14.1
86.6 18.5
204.9 81.3
246.2 88.3
306.2 117.0
320.7 124.3
259.0 102.9
Italy
38.2
53.6
38.7
14.9
9.8
12.5
35.7
89.2
Canada
5.8
36.1
84.5
151.8
195.8
199.3
218.9
230.4
Netherlands
0.7
8.6
17.0
179.7
203.3
277.8
366.8
330.1
New Zealand
_
_
_
0.6
0.9
9.8
1.3
1.1
Norway
0.6
8.6
9.7
107.2
94.5
112.2
127.8
126.6
Portugal
38.1
46.3
88.4
---
---
---
---
---
USA
444.3
275.7
312.0
765.0
929.0
1,022.0
1,430.0
1,586.0
Finland
_
_
---
20.2
20.2
26.9
35.0
41.4
France
636.1
519.9
560.6
1,012.3
1,185.7
1,329.1
1,736.8
1,875.4
FRG
59.6
117.4
131.6
441.4
651.7
861.4
801.4
705.8
Switzerland
0.9
6.4
4.9
24.7
37.1
34.5
49.8
53.5
Sweden
3.6
24.5
26.1
181.7
180.4
262.5
275.9
255.0
Japan
0.4
20.4
12.8
152.4
283.7
250.2
371.5
314.4
Not grouped by cre-
ditor countries
---
---
---
108.9
381.7
426.8
424.2
276.5
Total
1,500.1
1,346.6
1,524.6
3,683.5
4,835.2
5,758.4
6,814.4
6,857.2
Source: Development Assistance..., 1971 Review, p. 188; Development Co-operation..., 1972 Review, p. 240; author's calculations from Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries 1977-1980, OECD, Paris, 1981.
Policy of Aid to Africa by the Leading Creditor States
Since most African countries won political independence, the role and importance of individual capitalist states from the standpoint of aid have been changing.
In the early 1970s, the FRG began to play a greater role in the field of aid, and in the mid-1970s, Sweden, the Netherlands, Japan and Canada stepped up their aid effort. Denmark, Norway and Australia increased their assistance to individual countries. From 1974 on, there was a noticeable flow of concessional resources from the oilproducing states. But although at first their bilateral aid rapidly increased, later on there was a steady decline.
Apart from that, the developing countries receive aid from various international organisations, like the UN, the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, the European Development Fund, etc., and recently also from interstate credit institutions of the OPEC members. All these resources are known as "multilateral aid". In 1980, African countries received $3,132 million worth of such aid.^^1^^
The aid policy of industrial capitalist states has two closely interrelated aspects: political and economic. The first expresses imperialism's urge to keep the developing countries in a dependent, unequal position within the capitalist system and to continue their exploitation, and the second is connected with the reproduction of the capitalist economic system, whose major elements are export of capital and export of commodities.
Western countries regard aid as a major instrument in keeping up their political influence in the developing countries, bolstering the political regimes that suit them, strengthening their military-strategic positions in the region, and so on. Its volume is often determined by the need to create a "demonstration effect" in the recipient country, so that a large part of the aid funds goes to uphold the ruling elite, to preserve archaic social institutions, and build ``demonstration'' projects. With that aim in view, large resources on concessional terms are used for technical
1 Calculated from Development Co-operation..., 1981 Review, pp. 206, 208.
63assistance, part of which also goes to back up the elite which is closely connected with the creditor country's monopolies.
``Aid" is an important instrument of economic and political expansion. Hence the inevitable contradictions among individual capitalist countries, the struggle for the most profitable credit projects in the DCs. But that does not rule out a striving to coordinate their actions so as to ensure the common interests of Western countries to the detriment of the DCs. For this purpose, the Development Assistance Committee was set up in London within the OECD framework back in 1961. Today, the DAG has 17 capitalist member countries, which make annual reports to the Committee on the volume, substance and lines of aid both under bilateral agreements and through multinational credit agencies. Upon the founding of the Committee, a Resolution on the Common Aid Effort envisaged, in particular, "a system of shared international responsibility", in effect dividing the developing world into spheres of influence among the leading imperialist powers.^^1^^
In 1969-1971, according to DAC estimates, France channelled $712.5 million, or 80 per cent of its total annual aid of $893.2 million to countries of the Franc Area. About $344 million of British aid (totalling $413.8 million) went to Commonwealth states, and only $1.7 million to countries of the Franc Area. More than onehalf of all US aid ($1.825 million of a total of $2,771 million) went to regions beyond the spheres of influence of the former colonial powers, primarily to South-East Asia and Latin America, while the countries of the Franc Area received only $106 million of US aid. In 1971, $ 428.8 million of a total of $432 million of Japanese aid went to Asia.^^2^^
US aid programmes are particularly expansionist, especially under the Reagan Administration. In a statement before the House Foreign Affairs Committee (House of Representatives, US Congress) on March 2, 1982, the then Secretary of State Alexander Haig described earlier US aid policies as "misplaced philanthropy", and said that the new administration had redirected "to-
1 Development Co-operation..., 1976 Review, p. 16.
~^^2^^ Development Co-operation..., 1972 Review, pp. 240-242.
day's foreign assistance programs ... to specific and vitally important strategic objectives".^^1^^ From then on, aid to concrete countries was to be geared to these objectives tighter than ever before. As Haig put it, "the overwhelming proportion of our [i.e., US---Ed. ] 1983 aid program will go to nations which share our strategic concerns or which are situated to improve our own diplomatic and military capabilities". In the policy of the Reagan Administration, the direct links between Washington's militarist ambitions and foreign aid programmes are reflected more openly than ever in the past. "Our nation's security tomorrow," Haig said, "requires an investment in foreign assistance today.''^^2^^
Africa's role in the USA's global strategy has markedly increased. Growing trade between African countries and the USA reflects their increasing importance for the US economy, especially in supplying the USA with oil. Other types of mineral raw materials, many of which are of military-strategic importance, are also vital for the USA. A London magazine wrote: "The US State Department lists 60 primary materials required to keep the [US---Ed.] economy functioning acceptably during war or other international crises. All of these materials are imported from Africa.''^^3^^
The annual increases in US aid to African countries show the USA's growing interest in Africa. Thus, against the background of a general cutback in aid appropriations to all developing countries carried out by the Reagan Administration in its very first year, aid to Africa (without Egypt) for the 1982 fiscal year was increased by one-third.
In that context, Acting Assistant Secretary of State for Africa Lannon Walker openly declared: "Our bilateral assistance will be increasingly concentrated in areas of strategic and political priority to the United States.''^^4^^
1 Department of State Bulletin, Washington, Vol. 82, No 2061, April 1982, p. 35.
2 Ibid.
3 Africa, London, No. 76, December 1977, p. 21.
4 Foreign Assistance and Related Programs Appropriations for 1982. Hearings before a Subcommittee of the Committee on Appropriations, House of Representatives, 97th Congress, 1st Session, Subcommittee on Foreign Operations and Related Agencies, Part 5, US Government Printing Office, Washington, 1981, p. 301.
645-404
65Among these areas he included, in the first place, the countries of Southern and Central Africa, which are rich in mineral resources and where private US investments are largely concentrated.
Aid given by any capitalist country is meant, in particular, to promote its external economic expansion and to back up crisis-stricken or non-competitive branches of the economy.
Whole industries in the USA get substantial support through foreign aid programmes. These include, for instance, ferrous metallurgy, an insufficiently competitive industry with a low rate of profit and largely obsolescent production capacities.
Charles Baker, Vice-President of the giant US Steel Corporation, declared: "...It was largely our foreign aid programme that enabled the steel industry to remain unaffected by the shifting world market patterns. Roughly, 30 per cent of steel exports are now being handled via AID (Agency for International Development)." 1
US shipbuilding and shipping are also in a difficult position. In order to support these industries, Public Law 664 (on preferable cargo) lays down that no less than 50 per cent of AID cargoes should be delivered by US vessels. This entails considerable losses for the recipient country, which has to pay for the freight itself, and US freight rates are sometimes two or more times as high as those of other countries.
Western governments and mass media are usually reluctant to admit that monopoly capital is interested in aid programmes.
In 1971, after the Senate voted down foreign aid legislation (later on, the decision was reversed), the Agency for International Development released data on the importance of aid deliveries for various branches of the US economy. It turned out that funds from the economic assistance portion of the aid programme financed the purchase of commodities from more than 4,000 US firms. In 1971, the US government financed along aid channels 16.4 per cent of all US exports of iron-and-steel-mill products, 25 per cent of its fertiliser exports, 15.7 per cent of railroad equipment exports, 8.5 per cent of basic textile
1 Tribune, Colombo, Vol. 24, No. 50, June 28, 1980, p. 9.
exports, 7.3 per cent of its exports of non-ferrous metals and products thereof, etc. In the second half of the 1960s, the cargo financed under foreign assistance programmes ranged from 22 to 30 per cent of the total cargo moving on US-flag shipping.^^1^^
Apart from that, aid programmes are used to export substantial amounts of farm produce: wheat, corn, rice, soy-beans, fats and oils, etc.
Other Western capitalist states cater to their national business interests.
France's Minister of Cooperation and Development Jean-Pierre Cot urged a significant increase in France's aid to Africa and other developing countries, adding that this is the best way to aid French industry out of the economic crisis.2
Britain's Minister for Overseas Development Harry Neil Marten made a similar statement in the House of Commons. He said: "We believe that it is right at the present time to give greater weight in the allocation of our aid to political, industrial and commercial considerations...''^^3^^
It is usually the big monopolies which benefit from aid to the developing countries. The Nation wrote in July 1981: "Every dollar that US taxpayers pay into the World Bank generates about $10 in procurement contract for US companies. Almost half of the $1 billion-plus AID financial purchases in 1978 went to only twenty-two megacorporations. As one lobbyist for the FMC Corporation, a large international producer of machinery and chemicals, put it, 'We don't see foreign aid as a liberal issue, we see it as part of world trade and we are part of world trade. Clearly, foreign aid is of interest to us.'"^^4^^
``It is reliably estimated," the London West Africa journal writes, "that at least 50 per cent of the CCCE [Caisse Centrale de Co-operation Economique---Ed. ] credits go to the major French companies who have been operating
~^^1^^ Steeve Weissman, The Trojan Horse. A Radical Look at Foreign Aid, Ramparts Press, San Francisco, 1974, pp. 237-239.
2 Africa Confidential, London, Vol. 23, No. 13, June 23, 1982, p. 3.
~^^3^^ New Statesman, London, Vol. 100, December 5, 1980, p. 6.
~^^4^^ The Nation, New York, Vol. 233, No. 2, July 11-18, 1981, p. 43.
66 67in West Africa since the colonial era when they were trading houses.''^^1^^
Having analysed the impact of aid policies on Britain's economy, a team of British economists wrote: "There is thus some evidence to show that the aid programme has been of some support to those industries in Britain which were in relative decline or facing particular difficulties.''~^^2^^ Sometimes, orders under aid programmes have been so large and timely that companies have been able to avoid a crisis.
In 1979, the FRG's development aid of DM 3,200 million enabled German firms to obtain DM 6,200 million worth of orders.
One of the favourite arguments used by Western politicians when they want to convince public opinion in their countries of the need to expand aid appropriations is that such appropriations, through orders to industry, help to create new jobs or prevent redundancies.
The so-called Ventejol Report published in 1982 by France's Ministries of External Relations and Cooperation, shows that between 1973 and 1980, the expansion of France's economic relations with the developing countries, mostly through aid, helped to create on average 37,000 new jobs a year. That is why the report recommended, in the interests of French employment, a " substantial increase in aid".^^4^^
Similar research has shown that aid programmes in 1979 helped Britain to save a total of 54,000 jobs,^^5^^ and the FRG roughly 40,000 jobs.
But in analysing these data one should bear in mind that larger outlays on aid go to benefit not only the working class, but mostly the big bourgeoisie. More jobs at the same time mean exploitation on a larger scale, for capitalists extract additional profit from the labour of every worker involved in production. An important point here is that aid credits primarily support the insufficiently competitive, low-profit branches of the capitalist economy, with underloaded production capacities. An
1 West Africa, London, March 12, 1979, p. 430.
~^^2^^ Intereconomics, Hamburg, No. 1, 1982, p. 23.
~^^3^^ Intereconomics, No. 3, 1981, pp. 123, 124.
4 West Africa, July 5, 1982, p. 1 744.
5 Intereconomics, No. 3, 1981, p. 25.
expansion of these branches usually does not require any new capital investments by their owners and yields additional profit right away.
Credits by the OPEC group of developing countries are a new phenomenon in the field of international lending.
Some oil-producing states (Kuwait, Libya and Saudi Arabia) were helping other developing countries even before the first rise in oil prices in the autumn of 1973, mostly in the form of subsidies to Egypt, Jordan and Syria to help them meet their budget deficits. In 1970-1973, these averaged about $400 million a year. Long-term development aid was fairly small ($40-60 million), exceeding $100 million only in 1973. Apart from Arab countries, small amounts of such aid sometimes went to countries of Tropical Africa.
When oil prices were raised and the foreign-exchange resources of the oil-producing countries sharply increased, most^^1^^ OPEC members (10 out of 13) began to export their capitals, notably on concessional terms. Today, OPEC as a whole is a major supplier of financial resources to the developing countries. In 1978 and 1981, concessional resources alone totalled (net) more than $8,000 million, and in 1980, almost $9,700 million. In 1982, the OPEC countries extended 6,803 million worth of aid.^^1^^ So, that year, the oil-exporting countries supplied 22.2 per cent of the total aid received by the developing nations.
Among the OPEC countries, Saudi Arabia is the biggest exporter of capital, including funds on concessional terms. In 1982, it gave 4,428 million in aid and ranked second among all the creditor countries. That year, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Qatar gave $1,295 million, $563 million and $251 million worth of aid, respectively.2 Some African oil-exporting countries (Lybia, Nigeria and Algeria), while receiving Western aid (technical assistance above all), are also among the creditor countries.
In 1980, 64 developing countries were receiving bilateral aid from OPEC. Arab states are among the main recipients, although their share has been declining: in
~^^1^^ Development Co-operation... 1983 Review, pp. 218-219.
2 Ibid.
68 691980, it was 80 per cent.
Since the members of OPEC are themselves developing states without any sizable commodity resources (except oil), their aid is not pivoted on commercial considerations or intended to increase the marketing of their own products, although in some instances aid can pave the way for this in the future. For the same reason, most of OPEC's aid is not tied. It is also marked by a high share (40 per cent) of credits meant for "general development purposes", that is, for covering balance-of-payments deficits, a form of financing which Western countries are usually reluctant to undertake. A substantial part of the aid is given in the form of easy credits for meeting a share of the developing countries' growing expenditures on oil imports. OPEC's technical assistance is understandably small: as a rule, they are short of highly skilled technical personnel and are themselves in need of technical assistance from more developed states.
In the past few years, the Western powers have increasingly sought to use the foreign-exchange reserves of the oil-exporting countries to fit them tighter into the creditfinancial system of capitalism. In Western states, this tendency takes the form of ``recycling'', that is, inducing oilexporting -countries to re-invest their oil revenues in the credit and, to a lesser extent, the production sphere of the Western countries' economy. As regards the DCs, the Western countries would have liked to use the financial resources of the oil-exporters to step up the marketing of their manufactures in the DCs.
The advantages of ``triangular'' (tripartite) agreements are being vigorously advertised. Under these agreements, Western firms choose the projects to be built, substantiate these in economic terms, provide the technical specifications and, most important of all, deliver the necessary equipment and materials, while the OPEC countries finance the building of a project (in part or in full). In 1978, investments in such triangular projects totalled $7,300 million, with $3,000 million being contributed by the OPEC countries.^^1^^ The OPEC countries are interested in such projects since they are as yet unable to undertake these on their own for lack of specialists and production facilities. OPEC's Special Fund has financed 31 projects.
1 Development Co-operation..., 1978 Review, p. 150.
70Table 6: OPEC's Bilateral Aid
to African States, $ million
Recipient
1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982Egypt Mauritania
859.2 37.0
2072.7 24.7
1022.4 126.2
896.1 105.9
508.1 107.3
166.4 68.7
120.1
4.8 100.0
64.5
Sudan
42.6
174.1
224.7
106.0
95.0
293.2
156.4
163.5
165.6
Morocco
9.0
97.9
43.5
80.0
32.4
392.4
454.1
273.7
224.6
Somalia
42.4
72.9
33.3
180.6
100.3
68.6
140.9
46.0
160.5
Tunisia Niger Uganda Angola Cameroon
7.6 1.0 13.1
68.0 14.1 20.0
17.4
11.2 4.1 5.0 20.8 2.0
12.4 2.8 2.9
9.0
23.8 16.1 3.9
3.2
43.6 0.6 0.9
16.2
50.0 1.7 1.4 0.6 21.8
44.4 27.8 0.1
1.5
36.6 84.8 1.1 0.5 2.4
Mali
9.7
25.5
3.0
11.1
3.6
13.3
17.3
9.2
24.7
Algeria Other countries
7.5 106.1
50.0 52.8
1.0 36.1
-4.3 46.0
-4.5 131.3
-2.3 113.1
44.2 183.3
171.5
141.5
Aid not grouped by countries
6.8
8.0
2.4
2.3
5.3
1.9
-
3.1
7.6
Total 1,
142.0
2,698.1
1,535.6
1,456.8
1,025.8
1,176.6
1,191.8
845.6
914.4
All developing countries 3, Share of Af-
015.2
4,946.8
4,531.5
3,941.4
3,247.1
6,962.3
8,732.4
7,612.2
5,507.0
rican coun-
tries, per cent
37.9
54.5
33.9
37.0
31.6
16.9
13.6
11.1
16.6
Source: Development Co-operation..., 1978 Review, pp. 266-267; 1981 Review, pp. 231-232.
Multilateral Financing
Over the past decades, international lending organisations and specialised UN agencies have been playing an ever greater role in financing the economic and social development of newly independent states. In 1970, multilateral aid made up 13.3 per cent of the total aid, and in 1980, 23.0 per cent.
In 1960-1966, all multilateral financial aid to African countries averaged $169 million a year (10.1 per cent of total aid),^^1^^ in 1969 it was up to $382 million (22.7 per cent), in 1974 to $869 million (32.4 per cent), and in 1980 (including the funds of OPEC's collective credit agencies) to $3,131.5 million (31.5 per cent).
The growing importance of Western collective bodies set up to finance the developing countries is due to diverse and often contradictory tendencies.
Thus, to maintain and strengthen their positions in countries and regions that were once a part of their colonial empires, the former metropolitan countries seek to use the material resources of economically stronger capitalist powers, while the latter have been trying to use their economic potential in order to infiltrate and get a foothold in the former preserves of the colonial powers.
The Western tendency to unification is also fed by the idea prevalent in many developing countries that aid from collective credit bodies is preferable to bilateral aid. Some of these international bodies include representatives of developing countries. That is why some think that these bodies are independent of the imperialist powers.
In actual fact, the leading capitalist countries have been trying to use such illusions to pursue their policies in more camouflaged form.
As collective aid bodies extend their activities, they play an ever more active role in promoting the export of private capital to the developing countries, notably, to their state sector. So, these bodies seek to increase the dependence of the state sector in the developing countries on Western monopolies.
1 Development Assistance..., 1971 Review, p. 188; Development Co-operation..., 1978 and 1981 Reviews, pp. 232 and 172 respectively.
The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development is the main collective lending organ of the capitalist countries. In 1981, the total volume of its lending exceeded $5,000 million.
The Bank obtains its credit funds from three sources: the capital contributions of its member countries, borrowings on the markets of loan capital, and bank profits on its own operations.
As of mid-1981, the Bank's authorised capital was $36,600 million. But only 10 per cent of this sum had been paid in, while the remaining 90 per cent, under the Bank's rules, make up a guarantee fund and are subject to call if required to meet obligations.~^^1^^
The World Bank obtains most of its funds from bond flotations on the money markets of the main capitalist states, and also by selling from its portfolio a part of the financial liabilities of the DCs which have received loans from it. So, the Bank acts as as guarantor and middleman for Western private investors who do not want to take the risk of independent investment in the developing countries. Thus, among other things, the Bank finances projects in the developing countries together with private investors.
In mid-1981, the total volume of funds raised by the Bank on the money markets was $27,800 million.^^2^^ Although the Bank has been advertising its ``universal'' nature, pointing out that its bonds circulate in more than 100 capitalist and developing countries, in actual fact the bulk of its resources (72.6 per cent) has been obtained from only four countries: the FRG---23.3 per cent, USA--- 17.2 per cent, Japan---16.3 per cent and Switzerland--- 14.9 per cent. Apart from that, 14.9 per cent of its funds come from the OPEC countries.^
The Bank finances projects in the developing countries on market terms. In 1981, it extended credits at an annual interest rate of 9.6 per cent.
Its lending activities in Africa have been expanding. Thus, in 1960-1966, it extended to developing African countries on average $52.1 million a year (net amount),
~^^1^^ Calculated from The World Bank Annual Report 1981, p. 88.
2 Ibid., p. 86.
~^^3^^ Ibid.
72 73in 1969-1974-$! 13.3 million, and in 1981, its credit commitments only to countries south of the Sahara came to $858.8 million.
Apart from the World Bank, other collective credit bodies extending resources to African countries on commercial terms include the International Finance Corporation (IFC), which is a part of the IBRD group, and the EEC's European Investment Bank (EIB). The OPEC agencies are another source^
For the developing countries, African countries above all, the activities of multilateral lending bodies which extend concessional resources are very important. The International Development Association (IDA), which is a part of the IBRD group, is the leading soft-loan agency. It usually extends credits for a period of 50 years, with a 10-year grace period, at an annual interest rate of 0.75 per cent as a " service charge", plus 0.5 per cent a year on the unused part of the credit. In 1980, IDA credits exceeded $1,500 million, roughly three-quarters of the total going to developing countries with the lowest per head income ($360 a year or less). In 1981, IDA commitments to African countries lying south of the Sahara came to $953.6 million.
But ever since the IDA was instituted in September I960, it has been facing various difficulties. Its formation by the Western countries was a forced concession to the young states, which had demanded the formation of an international credit body for extending financial resources on easy terms.
It took more than a decade of debate at the United Nations and the legislative organs of the leading Western countries to thrash out a decision on the formation of the IDA. The capitalist powers had agreed to that, in particular, in order to counter the DCs' insistent demands for the formation of a Special Economic Development Fund within the UN framework, where the Western countries and the developing states would have equal representation and which could make a tangible contribution to the development of the newly independent nations.
By setting up the IDA as an affiliate of the World Bank, the Western countries, the USA above all, hoped to increase the Bank's influence on the developing states. That influence was beginning to wane, for many developing
74states could not afford the Bank's credits in view of the hard financial and other terms, and the actual volume of resources being obtained from the Bank was declining in view of the sharp increase in their debt service payments.
Since the IDA's credits are low-interest and long-term, it cannot apply to the private capital market for fresh funds, and its authorised capital is mostly made up of contributions by industrial capitalist countries.
In 1964, the IDA was already running out of resources, and the problem was where to raise new funds. Since its formation, there have been six fund-raising campaigns, each of which involved much foot-dragging (especially by the USA), which jeopardised the IDA's very existence. During the sixth round, the bitter debates had lasted a whole year before the members finally agreed to contribute $12,000 million to the Association over a period of three years, starting in June 1980. The USA's share in financing the IDA has been shrinking: from 42 per cent at the outset to 31 per cent in the fifth round and 27 per cent in the sixth.
In the EEC, the main body specialising in grants and subsidies is the European Development Fund (EOF). In 1980, its aid exceeded $1,000 million ($900 million of these being subsidies), mostly to African countries.
Over the past decade, OPEC agencies have become a major source of aid. The most important of these is OPEC's Special Fund, set up by its 11 members in early 1976. The Fund's initial capital was $800 million, and later it was doubled. Iran, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, Kuwait and Nigeria are its leading members. The Fund mostly extends loans for a period of 25 years, including a five-year grace period, with a service charge of 0.5 per cent a year.
OPEC's Special Fund makes loans in support of payments balances and finances various projects. Facing the problem of duplications in the aid efforts of individual OPEC countries and their agencies, and also a shortage of administrative and technical personnel, the OPEC countries have entrusted the Special Fund with the important function of coordinating their aid policies. It seeks to work out a more rational approach to the choice of projects and main lines of aid, methods for assessing the economic advisability of the projects, lending procedures, and the rules for purchasing goods under its credits.
75Another organisation offering concessional resources to African countries is the Arab Bank for Economic Development in Africa (ABEDA), instituted in January 1975 with an initial capital of $236 million. The Bank makes 25-year loans with a five-year grace period at 2-6 per cent per annum. The Bank's headquarters are in Khartoum, Sudan. Most of its loans go to finance infrastructural projects in rural areas, primarily with a view to increasing production of farm crops. Most projects are financed jointly with the IBRD or with other Arab funds.
In April 1976, the ABEDA joined the Special Arab Assistance Fund for Africa, founded in January 1972 in financing the African countries' growing expenditures on oil imports. The total capital of these two agencies reaches $812 million, with 30 per cent of the funds being contributed by Saudi Arabia.
In August 1974, 27 Arab and other Moslem countries signed an agreement on the formation of an Islamic Development Bank with its seat in Jidda, Saudi Arabia, and a capital of 750 million ``Islamic'' dinars, or about $900 million. Roughly one-half of the funds allocated by the Bank should go to buy shareholdings in the financed projects, and the other half to make loans. The Bank mostly finances projects together with other capitalist lending agencies.
The Arab Fund for Economic and Social Development (AFESD), operant since 1972, usually finances projects on terms that lie midway between concessional and market: 18-25-year credits with grace periods of three to five years at 4-6 per cent per annum. Egypt, Sudan and Morocco are the main recipients of the Fund's credits.
UN agencies and funds play an important role in assisting developing states, especially in critical situations. Their activities are financed by a wide range of states, including socialist ones. UN assistance is always gratuitous. In 1980, it totalled $2,500 million.
socio-economic factors, which determine the interest shown in each of these by the leading capitalist powers. Roughly one-half of all concessional loans and gratuitous aid goes to countries with the lowest per-head income, narrow markets and fairly undeveloped resources, so that they are of little interest to private investors.
Table 7: Flow of Funds to Various Categories of Recipient Countries (1978)
Per head GNP
Total
under of these
from from
over ($1,000
$400 "least
$400 $1,000
$2,500 million)
devel-
to to
oped"
$1,000 $2,500
Official development assistance (per cent)
Bilateral from DAC countries Multilateral OPEC countries
52.2 73.4 56.0
18.5 25.5 14.8
21.6 19.5 31.3
13.6
5.9
10.0
12.6 1.2 2.8
13.1 5.7 2.5
Other types of funds (per cent)
Bilateral from
DAC countries
5.6
0.6
16.1
60.6
16.6
51.7
Multilateral
21.7
2.2
43.6
33.0
1.7
3.4
OPEC countries
38.1
19.3
29.3
31.3
1.0
1.0
Source: Calculated from Development Co-operation..., 1979 Review,
p. 75
The next major category of aid recipients includes states with a medium-level income (from $400 to $1,000 a year). In countries with higher income levels, official assistance is much less important.
The picture is quite different with regard to "other funds", which are a flow of capital on market or nearmarket terms. The poorest countries cannot make wide use of that type of foreign financing.
Let us consider the flow of Western funds to African states. On the whole, these are among the poorest and economically least developed regions of the world. Most of
Main Categories of Recipient Countries
The developing countries receiving Western aid and other types of financial resources are divided into categories, primarily owing to a combination of political and
76 77them, except a few (mainly oil-producing countries), cannot use foreign capital on market terms to any significant extent. In 1980, developing Africa's share in the total flow of resources from the capitalist countries was 24 per cent, and for aid the figure was 38.6 per cent.
From 1960 to 1981, according to our estimates, African countries received a total of $62,200 million worth of economic and technical assistance from industrial capitalist states only through bilateral channels. In addition, from 1974 to 1981, they received $11,100 million worth of bilateral aid from the OPEC countries. Since these are net figures, that is, minus the annual repayments of principal, whose regional volumes are not published, the gross amounts are even larger.
The main recipients of aid in Africa are fairly developed countries with an adequate capacity to absorb foreign capital and offering relatively more opportunities for efficient, that is, profitable investment of state and subsequently private capital. These countries have large and easily accessible resources of mineral and agricultural raw materials and a relatively capacious domestic market for the products of the donor states. Political considerations are also very important.
In 1981, the countries listed in Table 8 received $3,182 million worth of bilateral aid, or 46.4 per cent of total aid to Africa, and from 1960 to 1980, they received (minus repayments) $30,678 million, or 49.3 per cent of the total aid to Africa.
Of special importance for African countries is aid to the so-called "least developed countries", where GDP per head of population is under $100 a year (in 1968 prices), where manufacturing accounts for less than 10 per cent of the GDP, and where adult literacy is under 20 per cent. Today, 36 developing nations, including 26 African countries, fall within this category. All these countries, whose population makes up 12 per cent of the developing world's total population and about one-third of that of independent African countries, face particular difficulties both in their economic and their social development. Hence their special dependence on foreign aid.
The economic development of Africa's "least developed" countries has been particularly slow. In 1970-1980, their GDP increased on average by 3.1 per cent, or 0.5 per cent
Table 8: Main Recipients of Bilateral ODA from the DAC Countries (net amounts, $ million)
Recipient 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 Total for
1960-1981
Egypt
19 106 250 428 617 8601,012
1,187
1,105
10,350
Algeria
86 101 106 129 113 119 898 118 141 3,723
Tanzania
91 140 235 212 257 332 457 523 485 3,331
Zaire
111 153 154 149 171 204 289 317 277 3,180
Morocco
76 82 171 147 159 180 169 188 209 2,778
Tunisia
117 124 114 150 154 253 151 158 162 2,694
Kenya
76 99 104 137 121 187 284 277 363 2,304
Senegal
47 63 83 82 89 122 149 182 2151,828
Cameroon
42 48 65 88 122 117 184 171 134 1,554
Ivory Coast 49
52 72 76 75 86 139 152 91 1,468
Source: Development Co-operation..., 1977 Review.p. 198; Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries 1978-1981, OECD, Paris, 1982, p. 2.
per head of population, which is far below the average growth rate for Africa as a whole (without the oil-- producing countries): 3.8 per cent. In seven of these countries, including some of the most populous, per head GDP in the 1970s even declined.
Under the Lagos Plan of Action, the African countries set themselves the task of doubling their GDP in the 1980s, and the continent's "least developed" countries are planning to increase their economic development rates to an annual average of 6 per cent.
According to their estimates, this will require large investments amounting to $133,000 million (in 1979 prices). Forty per cent of that sum the African countries are planning to obtain from domestic sources, while the remaining 60 per cent, or $80,000 million,, will have to come from abroad. The possibilities of the "least developed states" to use foreign capital on commercial terms are extremely limited (in 1980, these amounted to $868.5 million, or 20.2 per cent of all foreign funds), so that most of the annually required $8,000 million will have to be obtained from concessional aid.
Wider exports could be most beneficial for the "least developed countries". But here they are also faced with con-
78 79siderable difficulties. According to UNCTAD, from onequarter to one-third of their exports are subject to tariff or non-tariff barriers raised by the industrial capitalist
tries. In the past few years, the African countries have been obliged to resort to such credits on a particularly large scale, and their share in the overall amount of such credits went up from an average of 20.3 per cent in 1969- 1971 to 40.5 per cent in 197t>. As regards their financial terms, private credits are close to state credits, but in actual fact they are much more burdensome for the borrower. When the creditor is also the supplier of goods, he is enabled to raise the price of these goods on the pretext of selling these on credit rather than for cash, so in effect raising the interest rate.
The system of state guarantees operating in the leading capitalist countries can also have extremely adverse consequences for the developing countries. With such a guarantee, the private exporter is in effect not liable for the quality of the equipment he supplies and the efficient work of the projects built with his assistance, for in any case he is bound to get compensation from his own government.
The effectiveness of private export credits for the borrower country is extremely low. In 1966-1969, the net flow of credits came to 30-40 per cent of the gross flow, and in 1982, repayments amounted to almost 72 per cent of the credits obtained. Out of the gross volume of Western export credits to the developing countries ($26,000 million), repayment of principal alone amounted to $18, 700 million.
Then there are also the huge interest payments, whose volume in 1980 (including debt service payments on export credits from DAC governments) amounted to roughly $10,800 million.
In recent years, medium-term bank credits in eurocurrencies have been playing an ever more important role in the flow of financial resources to the DCs. The West European countries accumulated vast credit resources, in particular, as large amounts of US dollars streamed to their banks over a number of years as a result of the USA's chronic balance-of-payments deficit. Since 1973, West European banks have been accumulating considerable amounts in petrodollars.
The industrial capitalist countries are the main borrowers of euro-currency resources, but an ever larger proportion of the credits has been going to the developing coun-
states.
Funds on Market Terms
The proportion of the credits extended to the developing countries on market or near-market terms has been steadily growing. Among these are export credits ( government and private), loans by international banks, and private investments in direct and portfolio form. In 1982, market resources made up 62.6 per cent of the net flow of funds to the developing countries, whereas in 1970 the figure was 57.8 per cent of the total flow. In 1982, the developing countries received $56,600 million worth of such funds as compared with $10,900 million in 1970, that is, the nominal increase was 5.2 times, while concessional funds increased 4.2 times.
Government export credits, and also government loans to the developing countries directly serve the foreign trade interests of the donor countries' monopolies, for these loans and credits are usually tied to deliveries of goods from the donor country.
Apart from that, the capitalist state engages in business activity in the developing countries, buying shares and securities issued by firms and banks operating in the developing countries, notably, in order to raise funds for state business companies, like Britain's Commonwealth Development Corporation or the Kreditanstalt fur Wiederaufbau (KfW) in the FRG. This type of financing has been spreading rapidly since the 1970s. Thus, in 1967- 1969, the capitalist countries' net outlays for these purposes averaged $84.4 million a year, and in 1981 these reached $3,700 million.
The use of private (including export) credits could have even more adverse effects for the developing coun-
1 UNCTAD. Special Measures in Favour of the Least Developed among the Developing Countries. Issues for Consideration by the Intergovernmental Group. Note by the UNCTAD Secretariat, TD/B/AC 17/7, July 10, 1978, p. 11.
806-404
81tries. Statistics on deals of that kind are very patchy, being based on officially published data on the agreements signed, which cover roughly one-half of their actual volume.
Net lending to the developing countries (without the oil-exporters) in euro-currencies is estimated to have increased from $4,000 million in 1973 to $20,000 million in 1979 and $22,000 million in 1982. The terms of such lending are very hard. The interest rate is not fixed and is usually adjusted every six months in accordance with the London inter-bank rate (LIBOR) plus an extra charge ; (from 0.5 to 1.5 per cent) depending on the borrower's I creditworthiness. That is why the poorest borrowers, ' including many African countries, receive credits on the hardest terms.
i
The interest rate on euro-currency loans has tended to i grow: from 6.75 per cent in late 1970 to 17.25 per cent i in December 1981. The terms of many deals provide for I a once-off repayment of the whole debt and sometimes ; even allow the lender to recall a loan before it is due. Most ; African countries cannot resort to loans on such hard i terms. Only Algeria, Nigeria, Morocco and the Ivory Coast f have been able to use these on a relatively large scale, and Liberia, Senegal, Egypt and Gabon, on a smaller scale.
The developing countries' attemps to finance long-term investment through euro-currency loans require constant refunding. The borrower is obliged to apply for new loans every year or even every six months to service the earlier debts. Each time, the interest rate is fixed anew, depending on the outlook on the money market. So, the debtor cannot know in advance what sums he will have to pay out in the immediate future.
Only extreme need and the scarcity of sources of concessional credits oblige many developing countries to resort to currency loans. An attractive aspect of these loans for the developing nations is that they are not tied and are fairly easy to obtain, but the dangers are also considerable: when prices on the world market go down and the borrower country's export earnings are reduced, and also when investments from currency loans fail to yield the expected ; result, debt service payments on these loans become much more difficult.
Private capital in entrepreneurial form remains a major source for increasing the accumulation fund in the Af-
82rican countries. Under colonial rule, private foreign investments helped the monopolies to secure key positions in the economy of African countries. Having won political independence, most African countries took the road of eliminating foreign monopoly rule. The early 1970s saw a tide of nationalisations of foreign capitalist property, primarily the biggest companies in the mining industry. From late 1973 through 1974, virtually all foreign enterprises in the field of oil production and transportation in the leading oil-producers (Algeria, Lybia and Nigeria) passed into the hands of the state. In 1975, Mauritania nationalised the property of two big monopolies producing iron and manganese in the country.
In the new conditions, foreign capital has been switching to new methods: setting up joint-stock companies together with the state capital of African host countries, where the foreign investors retain effective control over the activity of the companies; signing long-term contracts for the purchase of raw materials while extending credits to expand their extraction; indirectly financing the mining industry through deposits at local development banks or investment companies, and also through the International Finance Corporation. Traditional methods, like direct and portfolio investments, are also used when there is a favourable "investment climate''.
Table 9: Correlation Between the Flow of Direct Private Investments to the Developing African Countries and Income Outflow, $ million
Average for Average for Average for Average for Total for 1970-1972 1973-1975 1976-1978 1979-1981 1970-1981
Direct private
investments
507.7
765.3
800.0 1,120.3 9,580.0
Outflow
of income
on these
1,477.7
2,010.3
2,535.7
3,951.0 29,924.0
Source: Handbook of International Trade and Development Statistics 1983, United Nations, New York, 1984, pp. 318-319.
83A comparison of these two sets of figures shows that African developing countries still have to put up with a large and uncompensated outlow of resources in the form of profits and dividends on foreign investments. The outflow of investment income, which exceeded $29,900 million in 1970-1981, was 3.1 times greater than the flow of direct private investments from abroad for the period.
Chapter three ECONOMIC AID
``Economic aid" is the main type of Western aid to the developing states. It is important because most of the elements of real capital---machinery, equipment, building materials, raw materials, etc.---are delivered to the developing countries within its framework. Economic aid goes to build industrial, transport, power and other projects, so that it is sometimes known as capital assistance. A part of this aid is extended in the form of foreign-exchange contributions to the recipient country's budget.
Most of the economic aid takes the form of "project aid", which goes to build separate, clearly specified economic projects (production and non-production). In 1982, for instance, this category of aid amounted to 53.1 per cent of total bilateral commitments of the DAC countries ( excluding the USA).
The rest is "non-project aid", which consists of various material supplies and transfers of funds not linked to specific aid projects but, rather, meant to help the recipient country meet its general material needs. Thus, some of these deliveries help the recipient to meet certain import requirements which it cannot finance from its own foreign-- exchange resources. They can consist of commodity and raw-material deliveries in kind (like foodstuffs, fuel, manufactures or spare parts) or an extension of credits for buying such commodities and raw materials.
A certain part of non-project aid consists of direct foreignexchange contributions to the budget of the developing country, .which the latter can use to stabilise its balance of payments, to cover its administrative costs and meet current expenses in running economic projects.
The capitalist countries, however, put the main emphasis
85on project aid, which suits them primarily because it opens up a ready market for the newly produced manufactures. Project aid also enables them to put pressure on the recipient country for various political purposes. In a work on the efficiency of aid, the well-known US economist Hollis B. Chenery writes: "Since project approval involves a complex of technical and economic judgements, it is quite feasible to increase or decrease aid for political reasons without appearing to do so.''^^1^^
The "project approach" also makes it possible to reduce aid on the pretext that the recipient country cannot suggest a sufficient number of investment projects acceptable to the Western countries.
Since the very nature of the project in this kind of aid is primarily meant to help the aid-giving country expand its commodity exports, large capital-intensive installations with a complete production cycle are the most attractive from the creditor's standpoint. Another major factor is the need to create a "demonstration effect": the project should leave the impression of a tangible and manifest contribution to the host country's economic development without any complicated or in-depth study of its efficiency. Large hydro-- engineering installations, railroads, highways, ports and telecommunications are particularly attractive. This also applies to some irrigation systems, urban water-supply networks, and industrial enterprises. Projects with a lower import content are much less attractive to the creditor.
Agricultural projects, in particular, have a low import content. As a rule, a considerable part of the outlays on these projects goes to maintain a staff of specialists who carry out the agrotechnical measures, with regular expenditures in support of the local farmers. As Kenya's experience shows, the import content of such projects is under 25 per cent, while current expenses make up a considerable part of the total cost. Programmes for the development of education, public health, housing construction, tourism, etc., are also unprofitable from the Western creditor's point of view.
As a result of such an approach to the choice of projects, foreign aid often covers only a very small part of their total
~^^1^^ Developing the Third World, The Experience of the Nineteen-- sixties, edited by Ronald Robinson, Cambridge at the University Press, 1971, p. 217.
construction costs under national development plans. Thus, under Kenya's development plan (1964-1970), such projects accounted for only 30 per cent of the total state expenditures. Meanwhile, local resources could cover only 25 per cent of the planned investments. Hence a substantial shortage of investments.
If, however, certain projects meet the demands of the creditor countries, the latter can even impose their aid, although these projects may be of dubious importance for the host countries themselves.
Aid Mechanism
To ensure the choice of the most profitable aid projects, the donor countries have worked out a special mechanism and appropriate methods. Thus, according to French procedures, the application for economic aid should come from the countries which need it. All of these are invited at one and the same time (once a year) to present the project for which they would like to obtain French credits.
The applications are usually drawn up in accordance with the development plans of the recipient countries, while projects not in elude din these plans are usually rejected by France as "insufficiently worked-up". Considering that the development plans of the former French colonies are still being drawn up with the involvement of French specialists, it goes without saying that the projects included in these plans are on the whole acceptable to France. The complicated additional selection system is intended to bring out the projects that suit France best of all.
French aid missions (MAC) located in the developing countries mark the first stage in the selection of possible projects. After that, the projects are dispatched to France's Ministry of Cooperation, whose experts can reject some of the projects or request changes in these. Projects approved at that stage are submitted for consideration to the Aid and Cooperation Fund (FAC), which is in charge of aid to Africa. At that stage, the Ministry of Finance and other departments could intervene, and some of the remianing projects could be rejected or returned for working-up. So, this procedure spares only those projects which are ``viable'' and sufficiently profitable from the French point of view. Projects
87 86approved by the FAC are to be carried out.
The agreements stipulate the financial outlays on the project and the sum to be disbursed in the first year of its implementation. The agreements also specify what has to be done, so as to ensure that the funds are used in full accord with FAC purposes. It is stipulated that the contracts to be signed under the programme will only include firms of the Franc Area countries, that is, primarily the former metropolitan country itself.
The aid missions follow every stage in the realisation of the project and ensure its strict correspondence to the agreement. It is only upon their favourabel report that the Caisse Centrale de Co-operation Economique (CCCE) remits the necessary amounts to the recipient country's bank.
In the mid-1960s, France went over to a more active aid policy in order to gain tighter control of development processes in Africa. It seeks to ``dovetail'' their national plans as closely as possible with FAC programmes. When a target country begins elaborating its national plan, France's Cooperation Ministry sends over to that country four or five of its own experts, who inform the local government what kind of projects France would agree to finance in the first year of the plan and also in subsequent years (in less definite terms). The recipient country is pressured to alter its development plan in the interests of the creditor country.
The volume of financial resources allocated by France to each African country in principle depends on whether the latter has any projects that meet the demands of the aid institutions. In the past, France used a system of quotas, that is, fixed amounts of aid for each recipient country, but soon gave it up, for such quotas meant certain obligations.
France's Cooperation Ministry naturally draws up a rough estimate of aid for the coming year, country by country. But that is a strictly internal document, which is never published.
In the USA, general aid policies are projected by the Agency for International Development (AID) under the State Department. A major role in elaborating the main lines of aid to individual developing countries and in choosing concrete projects belongs to AID missions in these countries.
These missions have three main functions. The first and most important of these is to maintain steady official and unofficial contacts with representatives of government bodies and business circles in the host countries. The aim here
in official language, is to establish a ``partnership'' between the USA and the aid recipient. The second function is to collect information about the country and work out detailed proposals on the US programme to that country. The third function is to extend technical assistance.
AID missions often put pressure on the local government in order to induce it to adopt an aid programme which, in the USA's view, best meets the recipient country's requirements. The mission's task is facilitated by the fact that AID furnishes both economic and technical assistance and that its activities are closely coordinated with aid programmes through other channels: food aid and the Peace Corps.
. US aid strategy and tactics are usually based on the programme approach. The programming is done on the strength of an annual Country Assistance Program (CAP), a document compiled by the staff of the AID mission in the host country. It formulates the goal of US foreign policy with regard to that country and explains how the Administration's aid effort meets that goal. It also gives a detailed account of the socio-economic situation in the host country and its government's policy. On the basis of such an analysis, conclusions are drawn as regards the direction, volume and nature of US aid.
In the CAP, the USA's current aid activities are grouped under "goal plans", which present measures relating to different sectors of the economy. On the CAP's basis, the mission draws up an application for aid to the host country in the given year, specifying its types and volume, and also the number of additional experts. A summary of all these materials, which shape US aid policy in a particular country on the basis of the CAP, are dispatched to the AID headquarters every April and are known as the Spring Preview. A detailed document containing an analysis of current measures and estimating the requirements for aid appropriations is submitted in the autumn, when the heads of the missions go to Washington to report in person and substantiate their applications. The reviews are summed up by the AID and serve as a point of departure in the protracted annual procedure in which the US Congress drafts and approves the foreign aid bill.
The specifics of West German aid stem from the official standpoint of the FRG government, which maintains that the FRG should not offer its assistance to the developing
89 88states of its own accord. Economic planning, it believes, should also remain a prerogative of the developing countries themselves. While giving priority in its aid to projects closely connected with national development plans, the Federal Government refuses, as a matter of principle, to take part in their elaboration.
The FRG's policy towards the developing countries has several reasons. On the one hand, there is an obvious desire to rebut the charge of neocolonialism or interference in the internal affairs of other states, and an attempt to take advantage of the fact that the FRG has no manifest "spheres of interest". On the other hand, the FRG's links with most developing countries beyond conventional commercial relations and capital export are fairly weak, and it is short of technical specialists well versed in the problems of the developing countries.
The initial request for aid is submitted to the FRG embassy in the requesting country, which looks into it and usually gives its tentative approval before passing it on to the West German Foreign Ministry. The latter directs the request to the appropriate interdepartmental committee, whose task is to elaborate a coordinated aid policy. If the committee approves it, the Federal Government concludes an agreement with the applicant country, stipulating the maximum credit which the Federal Government is prepared to extend and outlining the financed projects and the terms of the credit. Subsequent transactions under the agreement are carried on by the KfW Bank.
The KfW staff studies the economic aspect of the future project, and the techno-economic specifications (TES) of the project are drawn up on its insistence. Additional funds can sometimes be allocated for these purposes by way of technical assistance, but usually these expenses are covered by the recipient country itself.
If the TES meet the demands of the West German side, the KfW sends a mission to the developing country for an indepth study of the question and subsequent negotiations with the local government on the conclusion of a credit
agreement.
Once the credit is extended, the building of the project can be done by West German contractors who tendered for the job or under an individual contract. Nominally, the KfW should exercise constant control over the construction works.
90It pays out the necessary amounts either straight to the supplier firm or to the local government as it receives the necessary documents. One flaw of that system is that the supervision is largely done by correspondence, with the KfW demanding regular written reports (usually twice a year), while its own representatives are sent to the construction site only in exceptional cases. Since the KfW has few highly skilled experts on its staff, it has to send over specialists recruited under individual contracts. But such specialists usually have a poor knowledge of the socio-economic specifics of the developing countries and are often unable to correct design mistakes or prevent misuse of resources.
The much-too-close ties of the FRG's aid institutions with German monopoly capital could not go unnoticed by public opinion both in the developing countries and in the FRG itself. The press has been citing instances of unwarranted aid-giving to some countries and the inefficient work of some projects owing to the suppliers' urge to export more of their products and build projects without adequate economic grounds. The Federal Government's frequent refusal to finance projects which the developing countries need, its inflexibility and reluctance to make a positive contribution to their economic development also meet with an unfavourable political response in these countries.
Extension of aid through the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development and the International Development Association should meet a number of conditions. In particular, it has to stimulate foreign private investments. If the potential borrower can obtain a loan "on reasonable terms" on the private capital market, he should not apply to the Bank.
Another major condition is the borrower's "adequate creditworthiness" from the standpoint of the IBRD and IDA. The World Bank extends loans in one of the hard currencies and demands their repayment in the same currency. So, the borrower country's creditworthiness is assessed on the strengh of its reserves of that currency and its overall foreign debt. The Bank attaches much importance to the share of the developing country's debt service payments in its export earnings, and also to the prospects of new foreign investments and aid. Countries with large resources of high-priced exportable raw-materials or with a "demonstrated aptitude
91for producing manufactured exports"^^1^^ have the best chance of obtaining loans from the Bank.
The Bank assesses a country's creditworthiness on the strength of its internal accumulations and its government's striving to convert a part of these accumulations into foreign currency, provided that this currency will be used, first and foremost, to repay foreign debts and import only the most vital products. In extending loans, the World Bank gives priority to countries with a higher level of the gross domestic product per head of population, especially where that indicator has shown a steady tendency to increase.
Where all these conditions are met, a country may nevertheless be refused a credit if, in the opinion of the Bank's administration, it has followed an economic policy which can "affect adversely its creditworthiness or its domestic contributions to development".2 The question that arises in such a contingency concerns the nature of the country's economic policy, and any departure from the development patterns advocated by the World Bank could lead to sanctions: refusal or suspension of a loan, or even a demand for advance repayment of a loan.
One of the main aims of periodic IBRD missions being sent to the developing countries is to bring out the main features of the borrower country's economic policy, the "nature of its implementation". In addition to the official materials on various aspects of the potential borrower's economy, the World Bank has arrogated the right to make an independent study of the latter's major social and economic problems. The aim of its economic missions is "to obtain a comprehensive picture of the structure and development prospects of the economy by assessing its agricultural, mineral, industrial, and human resources, its basic facilities, such as transport and electric power, the quality of its public administration and education, its external trade and payments, and its internal finances".^^3^^
On the basis of these data, the Bank's representatives an-
1 Escott Reid, Strengthening the World Bank, The Adlai Stevenson Institute, Chicago, 1973, p. 58.
2 Edward S. Mason, Robert E. Asher, The World Bank since Bretton Woods, The Brookings Institution, Washington, 1973, p. 233.
~^^3^^ Policies and Operations, The World Bank Group, Washington, September, 1974, p. 42.
92nounce their opinions on the feasibility and the possible economic efficiency of the recipient country's long-term development plans.
The materials and reports of the World Bank missions enable its administration to formulate conclusions and take decisions on the volume and direction of the lending and to set the priorities in financing concrete projects. So, the Bank's credits are closely tied in with its pre-investment activities.
In deciding whether it is economically advisable to finance a specific project, the Bank follows a three-stage procedure.
The first stage of the analysis is meant to decide whether the branch of the economy in which the investment is to be made is particularly important from the standpoint of the country's overall development, that is, to determine the priority of that sector or line of economic development on a countrywide scale. The World Bank exerts its influence on the economic policy of the applicant state in the course of the work of its missions.
The second stage is meant to decide whether the projected investment will help to develop that branch of the economy, that is, to determine the priority of that particular line of development within the branch. The purpose of the third stage is to find the most effective technical solution of the problem.
The projects for investment are usually indentified in the course of the Bank mission's work in the host country before the signing of an official credit agreement. The missions can introduce changes in the projects prepared by the potential borrower. Where a developing country is itself unable to draw up a well-substantiated proposal on the project of financing, the whole preparatory work can be done by the Bank's experts. Only when the proposed project gets a favourable assessment, the Bank informs the potential borrower of its readiness to start official negotiations concerning a loan. To maintain its prestige, the Bank seeks to iron out beforehand all the contradictions that could arise in the course of official negotiations so as not to be obliged to turn down the country's request for a loan.
But before the negotiations begin, the project goes through three stages. In official IBRD language, these are identifica-
93tion, preparation and appraisal of the project (project cycle ).
At the stage of preparation, experts not only assess the technical feasibility of the project, but also suggest organisational and managerial measures, elucidate the commercial and financial aspects of its operation, and even point out ways to change the economic policy of the borrower country.
Nominally, the responsibility for preparing the project lies with the borrower country, but the Bank's own specialists "offer advice" on who could act as consultants in this work. The Bank also requires detailed information on the project, primarily a list of materials and equipment to be purchased under the loan. That condition enables it to influence the nature of the project in the direction it wants.
The third stage of the project cycle is an appraisal of the project's efficiency in two aspects: general economic and financial. The economic analysis is intended to determine the advantages and profitability of the investment in question as compared with alternative projects in the same sector of the economy or even on a countrywide scale. The financial analysis should specify the sources of financing at various stages in the construction and operation of the project, and determine the volume of cash returns as a result of its activity throughout its whole service life. What makes the appraisal period so important is that the Bank takes its final decision to finance the project only if the appraisal (from its point of view) is a positive one.
and circulating capital), and second, the benefits he receives in the form of products. These two flows as such can say very little about the profitability of the project and the investment. The point is to bring out the correlation between the corresponding sums in each successive year throughout the project's entire service life, and also their distribution over that period. In this way, the analyst determines the annual results of the project's operation (in the form of net income or loss), which are then reduced to their present value. If the resultant magnitude is a positive one, this means that a bank deposit equivalent to the investment would yield a smaller profit. In that instance, the project is considered to be economically profitable and is in principle worth carrying out. If it does not meet that criterion, it should be rejected. Such an approach is well in line with the logic of the private investor and the views of bourgeois political economists on capital investments.
The AID, in particular, recommends such a method for assessing the profitability of agricultural projects. The European Development Fund has also been using it in its practice. When this method is used to estimate profitability, the choice of a discount rate is very important, for it has a marked influence on the final result.
In the practice of capitalist credit institutions, the discount rate is usually established on the principle of a " marginal rate of yield", below which, from the standpoint of the private investor, the investment is senseless. That level is determined with a view to the ``price'' of capital on the money market, that is, the interest rate which an industrialist has to pay on a loan from a financial capitalist, or a bank, plus an extra charge for what they regard as "specific conditions" for capital investment in a developing country.
Here is an example to illustrate how profitability can be determined by discounting cash earnings. Supposing a project whose ten-year service period has run out is being sold for demolition at a disposal value of $2,000. The investments in its construction and operation, the value of its output, and the net benefits (that is, the difference between incomes and expenditures) at the end of each of the ten years are shown in Table 10. The disposal value of the project is added to the value of the output produced in the final year. The marginal rate of yield on financial capital is taken to be 10 per cent a year.
95Economic Appraisal of Aid-Financed Projects
Commercial profitability is the most important criterion used by the aid institutions of the creditor countries to appraise the advisability of financing this or that project in a developing country. That indicator is usually determined with the help of one of the three following methods:
1 discounting cash earnings;
2 calculation of average rate of yield on the investment;
3 estimation of the recoupment (payback) period of the investment.
The first method is based on a comparison of two flows of funds: first, capital expenditures by the investor (fixed
94Table 10: Calculation of Project Profitability, $
Number of years of
Present value of $1 discount-
Value of output
Investment
Net benefit
project's
ed at 10 percent
in current
present
in current
present
in current
present
operation
prices
value
prices
value
prices
value
10.909
3,500
3,182
3,000
2,727
500454.5
20.826
3,000
2,478
2,800
2,313
200165.2
30.751
3,000
2,253
2,800
2,103
200150.2
40.683
3,000
2,049
2,500
1,708
500341.5
50.621
2,500
1,552
2,000
1,242
500310.5
60.564
2,000
1,128
1,500
846 500282.0
70.513
1,500
7701,000
513 500256.5
80.467
1,000
467---
---
1,000
467.0
90.424
1,000
424-
-
1,000
424.0
100.386
1,000
386-
-
3,000
1,158.0
Disposal
value
---
2,000
772---
-
-
---
Total
-
-
15,461
-
11,452
-
4,009.4
Source: UNITAR. Manual of External Financing, Ex/15, January, 1970, pp. 108-109.
The profitability figure is obtained by dividing the net benefit (present value) over the project's entire service life by the present value of the investments. In this instance, it makes up 4,009:11,452=0.35 or 35 per cent. This means that the production investment is 35 per cent more profitable than a similar bank deposit at 10 per cent per annum. If the calculations are based on a lower interest rate, the resultant profitability goes up (thus, at an interest rate of 6 per cent, the profitability in this instance goes up to 40.2 per cent), while a higher interest rate on the borrowed capital invested in the project makes the latter less attractive for the investor. So, this method establishes direct links between the ``price'' of capital on the money market and the profitability of the project built with that capital. Theoretically, the interest rate on the loan capital could be pushed so high that profitability would sink to zero. This happens when the lending rate equals the whole rate of profit on the investment, that is, when the investing capitalist has to give away his entire profit in interest payments on the borrowed capital.
But such a hypothetical case lies at the root of the second method of appraising the profitability of a project, known as the "internal rate of return" or "average yield on investment" method. Under that method, the analyst selects a rate of discount at which the net return on the investment equals zero. So, the average yield on investment in a project amounts to that rate of discount.
This method was used, in particular, to appraise the profitability of IBRD investments in the building of a hydroelectric power complex in Ghana with varying capacities of an aluminium plant and differing tariffs on the electric power it was to use. After that, the Bank took part in financing the construction of the Acosombo hydroelectric power station on the river Volta.
Here is a calculation based on the aluminium plant's capacity of 120,000 tons a year and a tariff on 3.5 mills (0.35 cents) per 1 kwh of electric power.^^1^^
The counter-flows were reduced to a single net flow, show-
1 John A. King, Jr., Economic Development Projects and Their Appraisal. Cases and Principles from the Experience of the World Bank, The Economic Development Institute, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, The John Hopkins Press, Baltimore, 1967, pp. 154-155.
7-404
97
Table 11: Calculation of Average Return on Investment
from the standpoint of the creditor rather than the borrower country. For the latter, it is important not only that the project's "internal rate of return" should exceed the lending rate, but also that the investment should be particularly advisable in economic terms from the standpoint of the country's national interests. That is the weakest point of this and other methods. When a project for investment is being chosen in the conditions of limited resources, use of the "internal rate of return" method could result in far from the best choice. Nor does the "internal rate of return" or "average yield" method answer the question of how the income on investment is distributed in time or, consequently, how long is the recoupment period. It is very important for a weak economy to have the investment fully recouped as soon as possible so as to be able to use the funds for new investments and for repayment of the credit. Nor does this method take into account the distribution in time of the outlays of material resources on the building of the project. Since the outlays and incomes differ from one year to another, the actual profitability of the project can markedly differ from its average profitability.
In many instances, this method of calculation ignores the benefit from larger investments as compared with smaller ones. Thus, when an analyst compares two projects, one of which costs $10 million and yields a return of $12 million in its first year, and the other costs $15 million and yields a return of $17.7 million, he will give preference to the former, because its rate of profit is 20 per cent, while the latter's is only 18 per cent. Meanwhile, in using loan capital at an interest rate of 10 per cent, it pays to invest it in the larger project (naturally, provided its capacities can be fully loaded), for the additional investment of $5 million increases the income by $0.7 million. So, its profitability is 14 per cent, that is, it is higher than the ``price'' of loan capital.
To decide whether capital investments in industrial projects in the DCs make economic sense, analysts often use a third method: estimation of their recoupment, of the payback period, or the number of years it takes to recoup all the outlays in the form of profit (usually minus taxes) and amortisation write-offs. The sum total of profits and amortisation write-offs divided by the advanced capital is called the "capital-output ratio''.
This method also enables foreign investors to determine
7"
99
Years of
Years from
Present
Net cash
Net cash
construc-
basic year
value of
surplus (+)
surplus (+)
tion and
GJE- at
or deficit
or deficit (-),
service
7 per cent
(-) in cur-
present value
life
annual
rent prices
discount
1959 01.000
-418
-418
1960 10.935
-3,237
-3,027
1961 20.873
-10,349
-9,035
1962 30.816
-11,220
-9,156
1963 40.763
-5,074
-3,871
1964 50.713
-4,651
-3,316
1965 60.666
-4,068
-2,709
1966 70.623
-1,620
-1,009
1967 80.582
-1,632
-950
1968 90.544
+304
+ 165
1969 100.508
+ 1,661
+ 844
1970 110.475
+1,942
+922
19852015 2016
26 56 570.172
0.023 0.021
+6,056
+9,183 +9,183
+ 1,042
+211 + 193
Total
+552
Source: J. A. King, Op cit.
ing the annual volume of cash surpluses or deficits in the construction and operation of the project. After that, the trial-and-error method was used to select an interest rate at which the net surpluses and deficits reduced to the basic year cancelled each other out (or nearly so). Seven per cent a year proved to be such an interest rate (Table 11).
The average rate of return on investment in the project (7 per cent ) turned out to be higher than the World Bank's lending rate (6 per cent) and Ghana's income on its deposits at the Bank of London (5 per cent). On these grounds, the IBRD deemed it worthwhile to finance the buUding of the hydroelectric power plant.
This seemingly simple method of calculation has a number of essential shortcomings. First of all, similarly to other methods used by the industrial capitalist countries, it answers the question about the project's economic efficiency
98