LFrolov
__TITLE__ GLOBALProgress Publishers Moscow
Translated from the Russian Designed by Vadim Kuleshov
CONTENTS
H.
rjIOBAJIbHHIE IIPOEJIEMH H Ha
HEJIOBE1ECTBA
Page
Introduction
THE WORLD AT THE THRESHOLD OF THE THIRD MILLENNIUM. THE FUTURE IN THE CONTEXT OF GLOBAL PROBLEMS: MYTHS AND REALITY
Chapter 1
SOCIAL PROBLEMS AND THE FUTURE OF HUMAN CIVILISATION
29
1. The World in Conditions of Peace and Disarmament. Social Development and Economic Growth
29
2. The Social and Humanistic Orientation of Scientific
and Technical Progress. Education in the Year 2000 53
3. Towards an Integrated Humanistic Culture in a New Civilisation
93
«Hporpecc», 1982 English translation @ Progress Publishers 1982
Printed in the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics
Chapter II
THE PROSPECTS FOR MAN AND NATURE: FROM CONFLICT TO HARMONY
IQS
1. Man and Nature Today and in the Future: Problems
of Resources, Energy, Food, and tho Environment
109
2. A Dilemma Confronting Mankind. Global Models and Programme for Overcoming Crises in Man's Relations with Nature; ``Alarmism'' and "Technocratic Optimism"; a Scientific Approach
126
3. A Scientific and Social Strategy for Harmonising Man's Interaction with Nature
143
10501---761
40-82
0301000000014(01)-82
Chapter III
THE DEMOGRAPHIC PROBLEM TODAY AND TOMORROW
1. Population Growth as a Global Problem: Trends, Consequences, Prospects
2. In Search of New Approaches and Methods for Solving the Demographic Problem: Critiques of Malthusianism, "Demographic Nihilism" and Abstract Humanistic Optimism
3. A Scientific and Humanistic Approach to the Problem
of Population and to Its Regulation: a Demographic Policy Adapted to Mankind's Future
Chapter IV
MAN AND HIS FUTURE: HOMO SAPIENS ET HUMANUS
1. Genes or Socia? Man's Social Essence and His Biological Nature
2. Relapses of Anthropologism and Social-Biologism; the Establishment of a Scientific Approach to the Problem of Mankind's Future
3. Man's Prospects in the "Age of Biology": Problems of Health Care and the Possibilities and Limits of Biological Adaptation; Critique of Neo-Eugenic Projects for Producing an "Ideal Man"
Chapter V
THE NEW CIVILISATION'S NEW MAN: APPROACHES TO A SOCIAL IDEAL
1. The Ideal of Future Man: an Ail-Round and Harmonious Development of Personality
2. Socialism, the Revolution in Science and Technology, and the Molding of the New Man; the Further Moral Development of Personality
3. The New Humanism of Communist Civilisation's NewMan
Conclusion
THE PROSPECTS FOR MANKIND: A COMPREHENSIVE RESOLUTION OF GLOBAL PROBLEMS THROUGH SOCIAL, SCIENTIFIC, TECHNOLOGICAL AND HUMANISTIC DEVELOPMENT
158 158
158 177
192 192
207 241
273 274
283 298
Introduction
THE WORLD
AT THE THRESHOLD
OF THE THIRD
MILLENNIUM.
THE FUTURE
IN THE CONTEXT
OF GLORAL PROHLEMS:
MYTHS AND REALITY
One cannot imagine a man who does not reflect upon the future and associate his hopes with it. Today, however, and also over the long term mankind's global problems arouse concern on all continents. *
What will the world be like at the threshold of the third millennium? This question confronts both Englishmen and Russians, Americans and Chinese, Germans and French. It is being asked in India and in Mexico, in Japan and in Portugal---wherever there are men on our planet. Its emergence is not accidental. This is not merely because boundaries between millennia form a major landmark in human history that then operates as a psychological stimulus, arousing man's interest in glancing into the next millennium and encouraging futurological studies of various types. For mankind has always dreamt of a better future. This is why unresolved social problems and political contradictions, the increasing scope of economic processes, of science, and of culture, together with proportionally increasing difficulties in governing them and also the growing number of undesirable consequences of industrial, scientific and technical development are causing men to reflect on future prospects and seek radical ways to overcome both current and emerging difficulties. This shifts our attention to the future.
Global problems comprise a complex of problems that now confront all of mankind and concern both the world as a whole and its individual regions and countries. Above all they include: avoiding a worldwide thermonuclear war and establishing conditions that encourage the development of international relations on a peaceful basis; social develop-
307ment and economic growth throughout the world; the overcoming of the Earth's most blatant manifestations of social injustice---hunger and poverty; a rational and complex utilisation of natural resources; the development and implementation of an active demographic policy and of a strategy for preserving the environment; the development of international co-operation in the field of scientific research and in applying the achievements of the revolution in science and technology; and problems in education and health. An effective resolution of global problems calls for a concentration of efforts of representatives of many fields, including philosophy, which determines world-outlook and methodological approaches to the study of global problems and to their appraisal in humanistic terms.
While it is true that global problems are common to all of mankind this does not deprive them of a concrete social and class content, as is asserted by representatives of bourgeois ideology. For the success of even the most perfect scientific and technical framework depends on concrete dimensions of social reality. Similarly it will also fail if employed to justify wrong socio-political conceptions. It is this which explains the appearance of a wide variety of pessimistic forecasts in bourgeois societies, on the one hand, a "disappointment with progress" (R. Aron), as well as attempts to find ``optimistic'' solutions in ways that imply a suspension of humanity's further development, as in the case of D. Meadows and his coauthors for example. They use the conception of "limits to growth" to raise the issue of holding back the further development of production as well as population growth. When turning to an analysis of today's global problems in terms of theories and ideas, and also in developing a strategy for resolving them, Marxists, on the other hand, see their dialectical interconnection and their integral systems character. This points to a number of distinct aspects of global problems, including socio-political aspects (extending to issues of international law), as well as scientific and technical, cultural and historical, and moral-humanistic ones. Existing studies consider both their present formulation within the context of our age's major contradictions, i.e., those between socialism and capitalism, and the long-term task of the future, namely, communism. While Marxists clearly see the historical origins of global problems and the role that has been played
by the development of production and of science and technology in intensifying them, they also clearly recognise that by their nature these problems are neither fatal nor catastrophic, that they are fully resolvable. Their ultimate full resolution, however, requires an adequate social foundation, that is, a communist society.
Already today, despite their so far limited material as well as scientific and technical possibilities, socialist countries are doing their utmost to resolve global problems in ways that conform to the humanistic character of these new societies. Yet by their very nature global problems call for a concentration of efforts not only at the level of nations and of regions but at the international level as well. This is precisely why socialist countries are actively developing appropriate international co-operation, including co-operation with capitalist countries.
Today the scope and intensity of industrial development's undesirable consequences have greatly increased and the problems that they create have also become global. But the growing threats that result from failures to resolve them are increasing so rapidly that unless appropriate emergency measures are taken the further course of events may produce a catastrophe and a tragic outcome.
To envisage realistic prospects for mankind is becoming one of the necessary conditions for regulating the course of further progress and of mankind's existence. Both mankind's ability to overcome threatening prospects and ultimately its very fate and its future depend on the particular course of development that it will choose.
Many social, religious and international organisations in the bourgeois world are engaged in futurological forecasts of the best available courses of action. An important role is played by Papal Encyclicals and by reports to the Club of Rome.
For instance, already in his first Encyclical entitled Redemptor Hominis (The Redemption of Mankind) Pope John Paul II called on the church to respond with sympathy to the human ideals in man and in the modern world and to concentrate its influence on "concrete and historical" man as well as on mankind's predicaments. The Pope considers that in approaching the end of the second millennium it is necessary to establish why man finds himself increasingly in a state of fear and is subjected to dangers
that originate from the fruits of his own labour, both material and spiritual.^^2^^ One might expect that Pope John Paul II will then point to concrete socio-political causes; but he merely notes that the financial, currency, production and trade structures and mechanisms on which the world economy is based have been unable to overcome manifestations of social injustice inherited from the past and to meet new increasingly urgent problems and ethical requirements. Referring to the threat of environmental pollution, continually arising armed conflicts, the threat of self-destruction through atomic, hydrogen, neutron, and other weapons of mass destruction, Pope John Paul II calls for measures that will bring that tragedy to an end, and also terminate the inflation, unemployment and regression in moral norms that it produces. How can this be achieved? The Pope's answer is very diffuse. He mentions "principles of solidarity" as a source of inspiration in seeking the most appropriate institutions and mechanisms, rational and just planning, and a transformation of the foundations of economic life producing a "transformation of the mind and of the spirit''.
This programme, which is quite abstract in its socio-- political aspects, appeals primarily to the global humanistic ideas of Christianity and to a need to alter the "quality of man" as a prerequisite for all other social changes. Today this idea also has numerous secular variants and is reflected, in particular, in reports to the Club of Rome.~^^3^^ Being in many cases, however, merely a "humanistic accompaniment", at first sight well-intentioned and naive, this idea, in fact, is quite practical and effective as a future-oriented apology of capitalist relations. The same is most clearly evident in other social Utopias that are designed from the point of view of a "technocratic optimism" (such as the conceptions of a ``post-industrial'' and "super-industrial society of D. Bell and others, the book of a well-known American sociologist H. Kahn and his coauthors, entitled The Next Two Hundred Years. A Scenario for America and the World.~^^4^^ It is characteristic that the authors of that global forecast envisage only limited modifications of capitalist society in the future, and that they expect the entire world to follow the course that has been pursued by the United States. The same idea is reflected in the collective study entitled Europe 2000, which was carried out under the supervision of Professor P. Hall,^^5^^
An attempt to give a scientific forecast of the future global problems has been made in the 1980 report to the US President entitled Mankind 2000 prepared jointly by the Council for Environment Quality and the State Department. The report does not predict what will exactly happen, but describes the conditions which, in the authors' opinion, would arise in case no changes occur in government policies, in government institutions, or in the rate of technological development, and if there are no wars and other serious changes. At the same time, the authors of the report assume that a clearer understanding of the nature of modern tendencies could promote changes that would alter these trends and the anticipated outcome. Correspondingly, they trace the tendencies and prospects in the growth of the world's population, the economy of developing countries, production of foodstuffs in the world, production and utilisation of energy resources, man's influence on nature, etc.
The conclusions which the authors of the report arrive at are highly unfavourable and substantially correct numerous previous forecasts, in which, as the report notes, a slant was made towards excessive optimism. The authors maintain that actually more consistent and integrated forecasts would provide an even more vividly pronounced picture of increasing difficulties with the coming of the 21st century. The report underlines that available evidence leaves no room for doubts that the world, including the United States, would in the nearest decades encounter tremendous urgent and complex problems. Immediate and resolute changes are needed in the policy of states in order to avoid or minimise these issues before they become uncontrollable. Such is the principal conclusion of the authors of the report. New bold ideas and readiness to implement them are needed, they constantly reiterate, and say that " unprecedented co-operation and collective commitments" are extremely essential. Thus, everything would appear to be correct in form; however, at the same time the authors claim that the United States has possibilities and "very serious grounds" to be the guiding force; but this is already a direct way to justifying the hegemonist and expansionist aspirations of US imperialism. In this manner, due to a false social thrust, a seemingly objective, scientific prognosis appealing to humanistic motives turns into its opposite and leaves the ground of science, This also relates to the recom-
9mendations contained in the 1981 report of the Council for Environment Quality and the US Department of State entitled The Future of Earth: Time to Act. The report only concretises and develops, as it were, the content of the previous report Mankind 2000.
It cannot be said that this, as all the other similar forecasts, does not contain objectively motivated factual data that are of interest to Marxists as well. But the general conclusions to which bourgeois futurologists arrive conform to their class positions and are designed to serve as an apology and assertion of capitalism both today and in the future. It is true that they seek new arguments for finding a role for capitalism in the third millennium and much is said concerning necessary changes. But all this is guided by a dominant objective, namely to avoid the socialist alternative.
In bourgeois-reformist futurological conceptions scientific and technical progress appears as a remedy for all evils and a magical means with the help of which capitalism is presumed to be able to get its "second wind" without changing its nature. But at the same time, it is represented as some kind of demonic power threatening mankind, as a "Pandora's box" threatening the human race with all possible types of catastrophes.
These outwardly dissimilar futurological myths become sensations and bestsellers. They are reflected in the West's science fiction and in its films and television programmes. They impress individuals, instruct, raise hopes, or merely entertain.
Nevertheless, in spite of their seeming kaleidoscopic nature, such futurological myths serve a single social and ideological purpose, be it, for instance, the concept of `` technocratic'' optimism that relies primarily on scientific and technical progress (J. Fourastie, D. Bell, A. Toffler) and coexist so easily in the West with a "disappointment with progress" (R. Aron), "a critique of science" (C. Reich), ``technological'' pessimism (H. Marcuse), and abstract ideas relating to the "humanisation of science" (J. Habermas).
All of them serve a common purpose, namely to prove that---independently of existing social systems---scientific and technical progress places mankind before a common problem of survival, as a result of which differences between
10capitalism and socialism are asserted to vanish. This has been clearly stated by A. Toffler who asserts that
``What we are seeing is the general crisis of industrialism---a crisis that transcends the differences, between capitalism and Soviet-style communism."8 A number of positions that are similar in many respects but far from being identical have been expressed by members of the widely-known Club of Rome. But often without raising the question whether capitalist society does have a future at all, in following the objective logic of forecasts they provide answers to that question that are negative in varying degrees either in relation to that entire social structure or its individual essential traits.
Yet in these models as well the various crisis situations that are considered---such as the crisis of overpopulation, the environmental crisis, and the food, energy and raw materials crises---are viewed as component elements of a common crisis in world development; since the authors do not raise the question of the socio-economic nature of these phenomena, real socio-political possibilities and measures for overcoming them are also ignored.
For instance, the models of J. Forrester and of D. Meadows' group, who prepared the First Report to the Club of Rome,^^7^^ proposed a policy of "zero growth", that is, a limitation on levels of production and of material consumption as a means of avoiding a threatening situation. In the authors' view this would achieve a prolonged state of equilibrium. Such a state of equilibrium in the "world system" is viewed as a dynamic one, which does not preclude the further development of human activities in such areas as science, art, social relations, and sports. It is also assumed that in such a ``society'' man will be free from want and will possess sufficient leisure time for engaging in such activities. But it is evident that so long as such an objective is not embodied in a concrete socio-political programme capable of organising and guiding mankind in achieving it, it will remain a purely Utopian wish deprived of any practical foundations. Beside this, the models of the "world system" proposed by D. L. Meadows and his coauthors contain purely scientific limitations and shortcomings that have provoked criticism on the part of many non-- Marxist as well as Marxist scientists. In particular by proposing a policy of "zero growth" for the future "world system"
It
they in fact propose perpetuating existing inequalities, since they do not suggest any measures for overcoming differences in levels of social and cultural development both within capitalist society---among its classes---and especially between developing nations and industrial capitalist countries. It is this, together with their clearly pessimistic outlook on the future of mankind and their denial of possibilities for further progress, that has produced the sharp criticism of the said report from representatives of the most diverse ideological trends. In the course of many discussions their participants drew attention to the technocratic illusions of the authors of The Limits to Growth as well as a fetishistic attitude towards modelling techniques and a view of man as a mechanism fully subordinated to a system of external relations and unable to undertake autonomous initiatives.
The next global models of the Club of Rome were developed with due regard for the criticism of the first model. They include M. Mesarovic's and E. Pestel's Mankind at the Turning Point;~^^8^^ J. Tinbergen's Reshaping the International Order;^^9^^ the model entitled Global Constraints and a New Vision for Development-1 which was produced by a group of Japanese scientists under Y. Kaya;~^^10^^ a Latin-- American model designed to explore approaches to global problems of developing countries produced by a group under A. Herrera;1J the model entitled Goals for Mankind ( produced by a group under E. Laszlo) which expresses a need to restructure the system of objectives and norms of social progress;~^^12^^ and the model produced by D. Gabor and his coauthors, published in a book entitled Beyond the Age of Waste.^^13^^ In particular, they view the possibilities for human progress with less pessimism and do not deny the prospect of further growth in the economy, science and culture. They also take into consideration differences in levels of economic, political and cultural development of different countries, and apply a differentiated approach in defining prospects and tasks relating to their development.
In particular, unlike for J. Forrester and D. Meadows and his coauthors, for M. Mesarovic and E. Pestel the problem whether the "world system" should or should not grow does not arise. The question is merely how it should grow--- in an undifferentiated and unbalanced manner, or else in a differentiated way, or in their words, ``organically''. " Organic growth" is viewed by Mesarovic and Pestel as a process
13of structural differentiation that is essentially different from purely quantitative undifferentiated increases. They apply that concept to the growth of the "world system" by analogy with the growth (or rather development) of an organism, in which there is both a specialisation of different parts and functional interdependence among them. The need for such an approach follows, in their view, from the interdependence of crisis situations---the population crisis, the environmental crisis, the food crisis, the energy crisis, and the raw material crisis---which, it is asserted, become global and encompass the entire world, constituting a single global crisis syndrome of world development. This represents a clear step forward, since the conception of "organic growth" follows from a recognition of the diversity of parts and regions in the world that include national states. More specifically, Mesarovic and Pestel divide the world into the following regions: 1) North America; 2) Western Europe; 3) Japan; 4) Australia, South Africa and the remaining developed countries possessing market economies; 5) Eastern Europe including the USSR; 6) Latin America; 7) North Africa and the Middle East; 8) Tropical Africa; 9) South and Southeast Asia; 10) China. In analysing certain types of problems Mesarovic and Pestel identify still larger regions resulting from various combinations of the initial ten, for example that of "the developed world" ( regions 1, 2, 3, 4), "the socialist world" (regions 5 and 10), and "underdeveloped countries" (regions 6, 7, 8 and 9). Such a classification contains many inaccuracies.
But the model's important shortcoming is its abstract character and the occasionally Utopian nature of proposals that are intended to solve both current and future global problems. The authors believe that the general changes in social and individual relations that they recommend require the establishment of a new system of education that is appropriate to the needs of the twenty-first rather than the twentieth or nineteenth centuries, and that the principal object to be studied must be mankind and human experience. These purely educational measures essentially define the strategy that is proposed by the authors of the Second Report to the Club of Rome.
It is evident that in such a context that model for resolving global problems, too, represents still another utopia, in spite of the fact that it contains numerous positive aspects
13that characterise the project's authors as scientists as well as humanists who are seriously concerned with the future of mankind. The elements that make the strategy proposed by the authors unrealistic and distant from actual possibilities include a non-class-oriented approach to the problems that are considered, an abstract globalism and a deliberate abstraction from the concrete socio-economic, political, and ideological factors that scientific and practically effective solutions of these problems require. As a result, the optimism that the conception of M. Mesarovic and E. Pestel was intended to instill is eventually transformed into the very same type of pessimism against which the authors initially argued.
Essentially the same shortcomings are characteristic of the report produced by Jan Tinbergen, entitled Reshaping the International Order. While envisaging a number of measures for solving problems in international economic relations (such as the establishment of a world bank and of organisations for energy and natural resources, food supplies, and industrial investments), the author also abstracts from the concrete socio-economic realities existing in the world and does not consider the experience of socialist countries in solving these problems. There are, however, major positive features in the report, such as the fact that it considers measures for changing international economic relations, and also refers to the need for disarmament and for rechannelling military expenditures to peaceful purposes. In the model of a group of Latin-American scientists headed by A. 0. Herrera, the problems of the future are analysed in ways that recognise many of the complex factors that are currently present. But it divides the world into ``poor'' and ``rich'' countries. This has the effect of placing capitalist and socialist states together, thus misrepresenting the social realities that exist in the world today. The authors view their study as proceeding from a specific "ideological position". In proposing a conceptual model of an "ideal society" its Argentinean authors deliberatly do not consider specific mechanisms with the help of which the world might achieve the objectives that are proposed, even though they do assert that that society is "essentially socialist", and that it is possible to attain it (and in this way to get rid of underdevelopment and oppression) only through "radical changes in the world's social and interna-
14tional organisation". Moreover, in considering the capitalist and socialist models of socio-political systems, the authors view them together, even though they do note a number of advantages that developing countries may derive from socialism.
A step forward has been made in a special project entitled Food for a Doubling World Population (produced by a group under the Dutch researcher H. Linneman) where the world is divided into three groups of countries, namely, "those possessing free market economies" (capitalist), "countries with centrally-planned economies" (socialist) and "developing countries". It is also divided into ten regions which approximately correspond to those that are denned in Mesarovic and Pestel's model.
Similar ideas are expressed in an interesting study prepared by the Nobel Laureate, W. Leontief (USA), together with a group of coauthors at the request of the United Nations, and entitled The Future of the World Economy.il W. Leontief is more realistic than are the authors from the Club of Rome. The global model of the world economy that he proposes includes fifteen regions (three of them relate to socialist countries). Beyond this it is not only recognised that until now socialism has allowed for more rapid rates of economic development that make it possible to resolve many problems that are still outstanding in the West, but it is noted that the new social structures will continue to retain these advantages. The authors state that the share of socialist countries in world production will increase. Yet the economic and organisational measures that the authors propose in order to overcome, or at least substantially reduce the gap between developing and developed countries, are not related to a specific socio-political context. It is therefore not clear precisely who and what class forces will carry out the measures that the authors propose in order to solve the problems of world development.
Interesting ideas that are critical of capitalism are elaborated in the Club of Rome project that was carried out by a group under D. Gabor and published in a study entitled Beyond the Age of Waste. Its authors come closer than many others to the actual essence of the problem. They note that the difficulties of today's global development relate not to the possibilities of science and technology but to the ability of mankind itself, as well as of individual states, to
15develop political and social objectives, institutions and mechanisms that would channel the achievements of science and technology to a harmonious social development. In the view of the authors it is the shortcomings of social institutions and of socio-economic mechanisms that bring about an impermissible waste not only of the planet's natural resources but of material and human resources in a wider sense. Among the causes to which they attribute this waste is an excessive emphasis on economic stimuli that produce a limitless striving for increased consumption but do not contribute to social progress and to the harmonious development of society and of the individual. A rejection of such a course resulting in waste and a transition to a more balanced socio-economic development presuppose a substantial restructuring of national and international institutions, improvements in the system of decision-making and managing the use of material and human resources, as well as changes in life-styles and revision of socio-political objectives and priorities. Ultimately, the authors conclude, there must be a change in society's value system.
But how can this be achieved? The authors do not provide a clear answer to that question. They assume that the objective of new societies that will have been reformed in accordance with their project must be a continual improvement in the quality of life and a ``harmony'' among social classes, peoples, and individuals, as well as a ``harmony'' within each individual. While this is not described in concrete terms, it remains true that the authors draw attention to the role of socio-economic elements in solving both today's and future global problems. But they emphasise changes in the "quality of man", i.e., derivative factors that cannot be effected without fundamental socio-economic
transformations.
This is especially apparent in the Fifth Report to the Club of Rome, which is entitled Goals for Mankind. This was produced by an international research group under E. Laszlo (USA), who is a Professor of Philosophy. Its central conceptions relate to "internal limits to global development" and to "a revolution in world solidarity", whose realisation will represent, in the authors' view, the major mission of our time. They note that history confirms the proposition that revolutions in ideas have served as powerful stimuli to human activity. At the present time, they
view a "revolution in modern consciousness" stimulated by the development of communications and technology as the initial element in resolving global problems. In particular, they describe detailed scenarios of "epoch-making progress in human consciousness and understanding" in which a leading role at the national level is ascribed to religion and to science as well as to governments, and to science and business at the international level in producing a " revolution in world solidarity". They conclude that it is through a spirit of world solidarity that the world will transform itself from an arena in which economic and political conflicts take place, to a global society that is equally diverse but brought closer together through a collective self- reliance and a greater security and equality.
Inevitably, when the future of human civilisation is expressed in such an abstract form emphasising changes in the consciousness and moral norms of individuals rather than in real socio-economic processes, the resulting image is highly diffuse and Utopian. That is a major weakness of both this and other reports to the Club of Rome.
Unfortunately, in the most recent report to the Club of Rome, published in 1980 and entitled Road Maps to the Future (by Bogdan Havrylyshin, Director of the International Institute of Management^^15^^), the abstract approach to the world's socio-political realities that is characteristic of many of its earlier studies is being ``overcome'' in a highly questionable manner. For that study marks a transition from limitations in social perspective to direct attacks on socialism and on the Soviet system.
In the study's Introduction the author explains the grounds for his major analytical concern which is the effective functioning of societies. This is denned as the outcome of interactions between three components: a given society's system of values, its forms of political regulation, and its economic system. In the first chapter the author examines each of them more closely, and also their interaction. It is the latter, in his view, that defines the effectiveness of a particular social system in solving the problems that it confronts.
In turning to the systems of values on which different social systems are based, B. Havrylyshin distinguishes three major groups. But he does not state which one is decisive in determining a society's effectiveness. Instead he observes
162-01743
17that only their interaction determines the effectiveness of a particular social system.
In the second chapter the author presents a relatively detailed survey of the current state of affairs in individual countries and regions as they relate to the problem of effectiveness. His grouping of countries is one that has now become traditional for the Club of Rome. It includes countries representing the North (USA, USSR), the South (India, Brazil) and such countries as the People's Republic of China and Japan; and the members of the European Econ omic Community which arc viewed as a separate group.
The author relates his arguments to the idea of establish ing some kind of general "world order" whose framework will permit mankind to meet successfully both those problems that already exist and those that are certain to develop. This view is closely related to a report to the Club of Rome by a group of experts under the chairmanship of J. Tinbergen (Reshaping the International Order), and also to the view that global problems can be only solved through the efforts of ``non-governmental'' organisations, which is expressed in the report entitled No Limits to Learning ( Botkin, Elmandjra, Malitza).
The author believes that such a "world order" must be based on the principles of co-operation, a renunciation of the "worship of sovereignty" by individual governments, and a certain type of ``convergence'' of different societies (the author's frequent references to the works of D. Bell, the founder of that particular theory, are presumably not a coincidence).
In pursuing the problems of establishing a "world order" the author is led to express a number of sober and reasonable views (an appeal to abandon the arms race and to establish normal forms of co-operation between states with different social systems). But they also led him to express a number of views that can only be described as interference in the internal affairs of particular states.
Thus, in describing the situation in the USSR, the author calls for a ``modification'' of the existing social system. There are similar proposals to reorganise the social systems of other countries in the light of objectives inferred from the proposed "world order''.
In a chapter entitled "The Origins of Man and Ideologies", the author examines the role that is assigned to man
in various ideological theories from early Chinese theories to Marxism.
In briefly describing the merits and shortcomings of each he stresses the importance of both ideological systems and corresponding values for the functioning of different societies.
Forms of political regulation and of state administration as well as economic systems arc also analysed in a similar way.
The problem of measuring the effectiveness of particular economic systems is considered in some details as an annex. That analysis leads the author to conclude that currently existing measures are inadequate and that an integrated complex measure must be devised.
Of course, the reports to the Club of Rome contain a great deal of interesting material, and their general tenor differs from the openly apologetic ideas conveyed in a spirit of "technocratic optimism" in such a work as H. Kahn's W. Brown's and L. Martel's The Next Two Hundred Years. A Scenario for America and the World. That study is a report on research activities carried out at the Hudson Institute under H. Kahn, the widely-known American sociologist. It draws the attention of readers both through the factual data that it contains and a number of futurological forecasts relating to transitional as well as long-term problems.
At the same time this study is a relatively elaborated social utopia, designed from a position of "technocratic optimism". And even though many of the conclusions of its authors are based on an analysis of real tendencies in scientific and technical progress, their social approach remains far more narrow and one-sided than that of the authors of many other reports to the Club of Rome. Indeed while among the latter we find a recognition of the need for at least some social changes, at least in abstract form, H. Kahn and his coauthors completely ignore the fundamental social changes that are taking place in our time and that will no doubt greatly influence mankind's future prospects. They avoid altogether the analysis of factors operating in opposite directions that define the specific differences between scientific and technical progress in the socialist and the capitalist socio-economic system. And this feature plays a decisive role in determining the quality of their forecasts, for it
2*
19makes them abstract and deductive, and eventually transforms them into a specific type of defence of capitalist society.
Yet a growing part of mankind is becoming aware that global and comprehensive progress is no longer possible along the lines of bourgeois civilisation, even when it is somewhat reformed and renovated while still retaining private property relations. The capacity of capitalism to create hazards on a global scale is still another mark of its historical non-viability. Today the very existence of that structure is a global threat. For even the type of government economic regulation as it is carried out today has shown itself unable to alter the autonomous anarchic character of capitalist progress as a whole. That can only be achieved in the course of a transition of society to socialism and communism and of constructing a new communist civilisation. Engels wrote:
``By long and often cruel experience... we are gradually learning to get a clear view of the indirect, more remote social effects of our production activity, and so are afforded an opportunity to control and regulate these effects as well. This regulation, however, requires something more than mere knowledge. It requires a complete revolution in our hitherto existing mode of production, and simultaneously a revolution in our whole contemporary social order.''~^^16^^
Only then is it possible to govern social activities through planning, to anticipate the future and to show corresponding paths.
Marxists have provided a scientific answer to the question concerning mankind's prospects, one that takes into consideration both the novelty of the situation that has developed and the importance of solving global problems in the context of creating a new society. But these strategic objectives presuppose, rather than preclude, a search for joint solutions relating to mankind's future and also its development under conditions of a peaceful coexistence of opposing social systems---socialism and capitalism. It would appear that it is only by recognising that reality and perspective that it will be possible to construct models of the future and make concrete forecasts for the world at the threshold of the third millennium.
In this connection an essential role attaches to the Marx-
ist methodology of global modelling that is being developed. It includes a complex, systems approach to the object being studied that considers its change and development in historic space and time through contradictions and the struggling of opposites. Marxist methodology orients researchers towards the analysis of dialectical interrelations between the general and the specific, between the international (and in that sense global) and the national, and between aspects of global development at the threshold of the third millennium that are common to all of mankind and those that are class-oriented.
The Marxist approach to the essence and role of present and future global problems rests on an analysis of characteristic features of today's global development not only in the economic sphere but also in the sphere of socio-political relations and that of science and culture. These specific features result from the increasing scale of events, the growing internationalisation of processes and their tendency to become global, that is, to encompass the entire world and all of mankind as well as each of us individually. These historical trends were first identified by Marx, who pointed to the principal directions in which they would develop in the course of the global revolutionary transition from capitalism to communism. Lenin made these ideas of Marx more concrete, and in developing them further, emphasised the specific role that is played by the contemporary revolution in science and technology in the processes that bring about an internationalisation of social life and also the influences of existing socialism and of its economic and cultural achievements as well as of its ideology and policies.
It is thus objective internationalisation processes that have given a global character to many problems that had already existed earlier as well as to others that have developed since. Some of them derive from the deepening contradiction between the creative, transforming activities of man and the possibilities of nature: for the first time in history the problem of avoiding the negative consequences of human influences on the natural environment has emerged as an objective reality. Others have been placed on the agenda by mankind's increasing numbers: this creates a need for more rapid solutions to problems in supplying energy, food and other resources, and produces a concern for
^\
20utilising the riches of the ocean and for exploring outer space. But particular importance attaches to the problems that result from the existence of modern weapons of mass destruction capable of producing truly catastrophic consequences for the planet. Ultimately, the solutions of other fundamental problems will depend on the way in which the question of war and peace will be resolved, which has been a concern of men throughout their conscious history. We Marxists fully understand that historical progress is not a smooth highway or a wide avenue, but we believe that the time will arrive when, in the words of Marx,
``human progress ... will ... cease to resemble that hideous, pagan idol, who would not drink _the nectar but from the skulls of the slain".^^17^^
A Marxist philosophical analysis of global problems stems from the proposition that both their scientific and their practical solutions call for a high level of humaneness and responsibility that corresponds to their serious nature and to the complex situation in which a failure to resolve them places mankind. In particular this makes necessary a critical analysis of bourgeois-reformist conceptions of globalism, models of "the world system", ideas of "worldwide humanism", "unity of world consciousness", etc., that are now becoming numerous in the West and are offered as ``proofs'' of a presumed ``convergence'' of capitalism and socialism, and as arguments for "non-ideological approaches", hegemonism, cosmopolitism, and for assertions that global problems are ``supraclass'', ``suprasocial'', and ``supranational'' in character.
In short there exists a philosophy as well as a pseudophilosophy of these problems, and that in one way or another their essential traits reflect specific class interests and ideological positions. Indeed if we turn to what may be described as the "socio-political determinant" of the bourgeois interpretation of global problems, we will see that it is essentially a justification of the expansionist propensities of imperialism; its ideologists seek to create the impression that today that expansion is opening a path towards the creation of a "global community" that will resolve all such problems. In this way the extension of imperialist integration, which serves large-scale capital, is disguised as a contribution to "economic progress" and "social development". The expansion of transnational firms is presented as a reli-
able way to ``co-ordinate'' mankind's economic activities in the interest of "general prosperity", while attempts of U.S. monopolies to subordinate the development of the world's natural resources to their own interests are presented as a method for solving the world's energy and raw material problems. The transfer of technological processes that are especially dangerous for the environment of developed capitalist countries into the world's less developed regions is advertised either as a way to "overcome differences in levels of economic development" or else as a way to solve ecological problems. Finally, even the arms race that is stimulated by the Western world's major monopolist groupings is presented as a condition for creating general security!
Yet such propaganda tricks cannot succeed in masking the true meaning of international monopolistic capital's strivings and activities. Their actual outcome provides convincing evidence that far from offering solutions to global problems they aggravate them still further, thus operating as a component element and one of the manifestations of the general crisis of capitalism at its present stage.
Of course, the very way in which global problems and also attempts at their partial resolution are formulated in capitalist countries largely depends on a multiplicity of systems of relationships of different types and on historically evolved forms of mutual repulsion and interaction that are governed by highly complex positive and negative feedbacks that sometimes do not lend themselves to analysis. Finally, one should keep in mind that because of their novelty and exceptional character both the formulation and solution of many global problems depend inevitably on a struggle to reconstruct forms of awareness and to develop new modes of thinking. They presuppose a restructuring of established habits and conceptions that is difficult to achieve even when a genuine striving to clarify the problem exists. But studies of a number of contemporary crises show that the principal social factor underlying the growing urgency of global problems in capitalist countries is the presence of private ownership of the means and instruments of production. These have attained their most developed forms within structures associated with state-monopoly capitalism and govern both the theoretical and practical aspects of capitalist society's attitude to Nature and Man. Having become an end in itself, the striving for profits has
23become separated from those objectives that are most important for social progress, from truly human aspirations, reason, and any task that accords with a reasonable approach to social interests. As a result, while societies based on private ownership have shown themselves to be able to rapidly develop science and a powerful technology, they are unable to manage them. These are the societies, moreover, that have transformed science and technology into an awesome threat to both themselves and also to Nature.
The global problems of our times are made still more urgent by the contradictions that are inherent in bourgeois civilisation itself---namely social and national antagonisms. And the fact that these problems sometimes turn into tragedies is also a consequence of the aggravation of contradictions under capitalism---contradictions between the private interests of entrepreneurs and the interests of wide layers of workers, between the development of bourgeois economies and culture on the one hand and their increasingly numerous and far-reaching harmful consequences on the other, and ultimately between the needs of man's development and the anti-human and alienated nature of the stimuli and of objectives of bourgeois society. Similarly these contradictions account for the militarism that is inherent in bourgeois civilisation and which is the initial cause for the arms race and military adventures as well as for the predatory use of natural resources and pollution of the environment as well as the growing gap between increasing material consumption in developed capitalist countries and poverty in developing countries.
Today these initial contradictions are complemented by new ones, that are even more significant for the destinies of capitalist civilisation, namely contradictions between the political, economic, scientific, technical and spiritual possibilities that appear for resolving an entire range of global dangers and the inability of capitalism to make use of these possibilities. While large-scale measures are initiated in industrial capitalist countries with regard to a number of global problems, their scope is far more modest than are these countries' corresponding techno-economic possibilities. But above all they are not based on a general long-term programme of socio-economic development. For by its very nature capitalism does not and cannot h.ave such a programme.
This is why in developing strategies and tactical approaches aiming at a practical solution of global problems Marxists turn to the experience of existing socialism. They study both the current dimensions of global problems in the context of our age's basic contradiction, namely that between socialism and capitalism, and also their long-term dimensions, which relate to the future, communism.
While they fully appreciate the historical sources of global problems and the role that the development of production activities and of science and technology has played in intensifying them, Marxists do not consider these problems to be fatal and catastrophic in nature and view them as fully solvable. Their full and final resolution, however, is only possible in the presence of an adequate social basis, namely in the context of the communist social formation.
Still solution of such problems is made extremely complex by the historically unprecedented scope that they assume. For the first time their sphere of operation extends to the entire planet, to all countries and regions. None of them, moreover, may be solved independently of others: for example famine and poverty cannot be overcome without an increased production of material goods and of food products and also without an effective demographic policies; but the possibilities for solving these problems depend, in turn, on the success of the policy of detente and of disarmament which releases enormous economic resources, on changes in world economic relations, development of the riches of the ocean and conquest of outer space which extends the natural infrastructure of mankind's vital activities.
Problems that are qualitatively new cannot be solved through ``traditional'' means and methods that have already been tested in historical practice. This fact is a measure of the urgency of the need to develop new approaches that are adequate to the new problems. It is now widely accepted that global contradictions cannot be overcome through uncoordinated efforts of individual countries or groups of countries, and that a common integrated strategy is needed for all of mankind. Yet the development of such a strategy is proceeding in a situation in which mankind is heterogeneous in terms of social and class categories, and in the presence of continuing differences in economic, political and cultural development, as well as on the basis of different and often contradictory ideological and spiritual guidelines
that express the relevant interests and positions of various classes and social forces with regard to these issues. As a result, the search for an integrated strategy is becoming one of the major areas of struggle in the field of ideas and of theories, as well as of political struggle whose outcome will determine which ideological guidelines, social objectives and political priorities will govern the overcoming of global contradictions and identify the class forces under whose leadership this will take place, and which of the social and class alternatives being proposed in this vital area will in fact prevail.
The theoretical basis for such a strategy being proposed by Communists is their understanding of the essential nature and significance of global problems. This derives from the unity of their scientific and social aspects and organically combines scientific approaches to their resolution with practical political ones, thus describing the contours of this understanding and showing global problems in their dia lectical interconnection and interdependence, their systems, complex character and development in the historical perspective that determines the future of mankind. In doing this we base our approach on the proposition that in contrast to "projections into the future" applied from positions of bourgeois-reformist methodology (which often rests on the selection of an arbitrary set of parameters independently of their actual importance), Marxist methodology emphasises a certain hierarchical subordination of relevant parameters and of problems possessing a global character, depending on the nature of the cause-and-effect relations that exist among them within reality itself and also on the urgency and priorities attaching to their resolution.
In such a context it appears possible to identify certain groups of global problems whose nature and forms of resolution will largely determine the condition of the world at the threshold of the third millennium. These groups of problems concern:
the relations among the basic social entities of contemporary mankind (socio-economic systems and the states, classes and nations that comprise them), which conventionally may be called ``intersocial'' (the corresponding problems include those of peace and disarmament, social development and economic growth, labour and employment);
``man-society" relations, which will also develop, of
course, as strictly social ones, but at the same time are in many respects individualised, personal in nature (the humanistic problems of progress in science, in technology, education, culture, of population growth and of man's dev elopment and future);
``man-nature" relations (problems of natural resources, energy supplies, the environment, food supplies, and man's biological adaptation). This last group of problems, too, is not isolated from social factors. In fact it is only when the latter are considered that their correct understanding and solution becomes possible. At the same time many ``purely'' social global problems in the first and second group greatly depend on a diversity of natural factors, and it is this, strictly speaking, which explains why, when taken together, they form an organically-integrated system of dialectically interrelated and interacting problems, at the centre of which lies the global problem of man himself and of his future as he approaches the third millennium. Naturally, for purposes of exposition we will occasionally regroup them in ways that relate them more explicitly to the basic trends that determine the future of mankind.
~^^1^^ The word ``global'' derives from the French ``global''---general, comprehensive; and also from the Latin ``globus''---Earth.
~^^2^^ L'Osservatore Romano, March 15, 1979.
~^^3^^ Aurelio Peccei, The Human Quality, Pergamon Press, Oxford, 1977. The Seventh Report to the Club of Rome also deals with this. See: James W. Rotkin, Mahdi Elmandjra, Mircea Malitza, No Limits to Learning. Bridging the Human Gap. A Report to the Club of Rome, Pergamon Press, 1979.
~^^4^^ H. Kahn, W. Hrown, L. Martel, The Next Two Hundred Years. A Scenario for America and the World, New York, 1976.
~^^5^^ P. Hall, Ed., Europe 2000, London, 1977.
~^^6^^ A. Tofflcr, The Ecospasm Report, Rantam Rooks, New York, 1975, p. 3.
~^^7^^ J. Forrester. World Dynamics, Cambridge (Mass.), 1971; D. Meadows, et al., The Limits to Growth, New York-London, 1972.
~^^8^^ M. Mcsarovic, E. Pestel, Mankind at the Turning Point, New York, 1974.
~^^9^^ J. Tinbergen. Reshaping the International Order, Rotterdam. 1975.
~^^10^^ Y. Kaya, Y. Suzuki, "Global Constraints and a New Vision for Devclopment-1", in Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 6, 1974, pp. 277-97.
~^^11^^ A. 0. Herrera, H. D. Skolnik, G. Chichilnisky, et al., Catastrophe or New Society? A "Latin-American World Model", Ottawa, 1976.
~^^12^^ E. Laszlo, et al., Goals for Mankind. A Report to the Club of Rome on the New Horizons of Global Community, E P Button New York, 1977.
~^^13^^ D. Gabor, U. Colombo, et al., Beyond the Age of Waste: Science, Technology and the Management of Natural Resources Energy Materials, Food. A Report to the Club of Rome, E. P Dutton, New York, 1976.
~^^14^^ W. Leontief, et al., The Future of the World Economy, New York, 1976.
~^^15^^ B. Havrylyshin, Road Maps to the Future. Towards the Effectiveness of Societies. A Report to the Club of Rome Pereamon Press, Oxford, 1980.
cieties, A Report to the Club of Rome, by B. Havrylyshin Pergamon Press, Oxford, 1980.
~^^16^^ F. Engels, Dialectics of Nature, Progress Publishers Moscow, 1974, pp. 181-82.
~^^17^^ K. Marx, "The Future Results of British Rule in India" in Karl Marx, Frederick Engels, Collected Works, Vol. 12, Progress Publishers, Moscow, 1979, p. 222.
Chapter 1
SOCIAL PROBLEMS AND THE FUTURE OF HUMAN CIVILISATION
In turning to the system of global social problems and following their determining interaction with the development of human civilisation it is natural to consider so-called ``intersocial'' problems first. For it is they that largely determine the entire system of global problems and hence the future of mankind. At the same time they constitute a condition and prerequisite for man's very existence. New trends have appeared in this area in recent decades that will apparently greatly influence the world's destiny and configuration at the threshold of the third millennium.
1. The World in Conditions of Peace and Disarmament. Social Development and Economic Growth
The problem of peace and disarmament occupies a key position within the system of current and future global problems. This may even be called the "tragic syndrome" of human civilisation throughout the entire course of its development, and especially today when its very existence is threatened. Yet new progressive forces are also developing within it in the capitalist world, in developing countries and in socialist countries, that create new conditions and prospects for solving both that problem and also others that depend upon it. Because a solution of the overall complex of global problems requires the combined efforts of mankind a climate must be established on our planet that would make this possible. There exists only one way to achieve this,
29namely by proceeding further with the reduction of international tensions initiated by socialist countries, terminating the arms race and proceeding to disarmament, arid renouncing war as a means for solving international problems. It can be said without exaggeration that a return to confrontation and to a "cold war" that imperialist ``hawks'' wish'to see would be doubly perilous: not only would it increase the threat of war, but it would also greatly intensify all global problems.
The right of all peoples to a peaceful life forms the most essential basis of all other human rights. Without it the latter are simply unrealisable, and today protecting that particular right is becoming the most urgent need of man's very existence as a biological species. For because of the internationalisation of social life wars, too, have acquired a dangerous tendency to become worldwide and global at a time when unprecedented increases have occurred in the destructive power of thermonuclear weapons and missile technology. During the Second World War, when military operations were carried out on the territories of 40 states, 50-55 million persons were killed, while the number of wounded was even larger and included 20-25 million persons who became invalids. A world thermonuclear war can result in a full destruction of life on Earth and transform our green planet into a lifeless cosmic body contaminated by radioactive fallout. It follows that in the age of nuclear missile technology global wars are altogether inadmissible. Lenin envisaged such a possibility already in 1918. According to Nadezhda Krupskaya, he observed that "today modern technology contributes increasingly to the destructive character of wars. But there will be a time when war will become so destructive that it will become altogether impossible". Today mankind has reached such an historic boundary.
The formulation of the right to peaceful life in scientific terms and the identification of concrete forms of the corresponding basis is one of the major theoretical and practical achievements of Marxism-Leninism. It was the view of Marx, Engels, and Lenin that the historic mission of communism---namely to liberate people from social injustice, and all forms of oppression and exploitation^ is inseparably linked with the struggle to deliver mankind from the horrors of war, for establishing a stable peace. Already in
1870 Marx called for a struggle to achieve a foreign policy
that would constitute a component element of a general
struggle to liberate the working class. He described an
image of the future in which a new world would replace
the economic poverty and political madness of the old one.
``. . .A new society is springing up whose International
rule will be Peace, because its national ruler will be
everywhere the same---LabourV i
Even at a time when the world was ruled entirely by capitalism, which in its search for profits, for new markets and spheres of influence involved the peoples of its countries into wars intended to make possible the exploitation of foreign peoples, Engels protested against an uncontrolled arms race in an article entitled "Can Europe Disarm?" and called on peoples to struggle for disarmament.
Before Marx philosophers, historians, economists and political scientists were not in a position to identify the actual causes of wars and hence to point out ways to overcome them. Marxism represented a basic shift in this regard, and it was Lenin who provided the most comprehensive analysis of the class sources of wars in the age of imperialism. It was he who made peace one of the major slogans of the socialist revolution, and produced the classical formulation of the idea of peaceful coexistence. In identifying and clarifying the socio-economic, class and historic roots and conditions of war, Marxism-Leninism also pointed to the real possibility of eliminating its immediate sources and causes as well as to the possibility of constructing a stable peace.
The problem of a peaceful coexistence of states with different socio-economic systems emerged in international politics following the victory of Russia's October Socialist Revolution in 1917. At that time the contradictions between socialism and capitalism constituted not only the basic content of the class struggle within the capitalist system but also the leading problem of international relations. In an article entitled "The Tasks of the Revolution" Lenin emphasised that
``The Soviet Government must straight away offer to all the belligerent peoples ... to conclude an immediate general peace on democratic terms. . ."2 It was in accordance with this principle that one of the first actions of the Soviet Government was its Decree on Peace, adopted October 26 (November 8), 1917. Lenin repeatedly
30 31emphasised that socialism represents the peaceful interests of mankind and that it defends these interests against the military initiatives of militarists and imperialists. Through a detailed analysis of the concrete historical situation Lenin was able to show that for a final victory of socialism on Earth under existing conditions its peaceful coexistence with capitalism is indispensable and possible.
The principles of peaceful coexistence have become an integral part of the programme of Soviet Communists and of the USSR's foreign policy. They were further developed and specified at congresses of the Soviet Union's Communist Party. In that connection the 24th Congress of the CPSU was especially important. It adopted a comprehensively substantiated realistic Peace Programme. It took into consideration contemporary realities and factors determining international relations, as well as the current needs of mankind's historical development. It provided for a number of important measures in the field of foreign policy designed to strengthen peace and international security.
The criterion of any programme's realism and effectiveness is practice itself. Today it is already possible to state without reservations that the Peace Programme has fully met the test of practical developments. All the positive changes that have taken place in the 1970s in the development of international relations are closely associated with the implementation of the Soviet Peace Programme.
The Programme of a Further Struggle for Peace and International Co-operation and for the Freedom and Independence of Peoples adopted by the 25th Congress of the CPSU is a continuation and a further development of the Peace Programme. Basing themselves on that Programme the Soviet Union and other socialist countries are engaged in active and consistent activities aimed at reorganising international relations in such a way that they may create appropriate structures and forms for resolving urgent global, continental, regional, multilateral, and bilateral problems. A separate chapter has been included in the USSR's new Constitution that gives new force to the peaceful character of the Soviet Union's external policy. It emphasises once more the decisive commitment of our people to follow a course of peace designed to free mankind from the horrors of war as well as from the material deprivations and lethal dangers associated with the arms race.
This foreign policy line of the CPSU and the Soviet state was very forcefully and convincingly shown in the beginning of 1981 at the 26th Congress of the CPSU.
``To safeguard peace---no task is more important now on the international plane for our Party, for our people and, for that matter, for all the peoples of the world" was how the 26th Party Congress noted the principal strategic target of the foreign policy of the USSR.
"Not war preparations that doom the peoples to senseless squandering of their material and spiritual wealth, but consolidation of peace---that is the clue to the future"~^^3^^
emphasised the 26th Congress of the CPSU when it put forward several new concrete foreign policy initiatives for eliminating the threat of war, for strengthening international security.
Today the whole peace coalition is carrying out a struggle to strengthen peace, for disarmament, and for detente. Aside from the socialist states and also the international communist and working-class movement which constitute its main force, this includes the national liberation movement, the movement of non-aligned states, democratic and progressive social trends, and realistically thinking forces in various countries. The further development and strengthening of the communist and worker's movement serves to increase its role in establishing peaceful coexistence, and in achieving detente and security for nations. Already at the first International Conference of 64 Communist Parties in Moscow in 1957, its participants adopted a Peace Manifesto containing the thesis that it is possible to prevent war and maintain peace. At the conference of 81 Communist Parties in 1960 a Message to the Peoples of the World was adopted that called for combined efforts in struggling to strengthen peace. The International Meeting of Communist and Workers' Parties in 1969 confirmed that communist movement views the safeguarding of mankind from a nuclear cataclysm as its historical mission. The growing conviction that Europe's Communists must adopt a common position in relation to the key problems of our time was expressed at the other conferences of European Communist and Workers' Parties.
The policy of detente and the conception of peaceful coexistence developed by the world communist and working-
323-01743
33class movement and implemented in the practical activities of socialist countries constitute a far-reaching programme for achieving security and peace for all mankind. A new socio-political map of the world has developed in our time. We are now facing the need for a further strengthening of the material foundations of peace. This refers to the political, economic, and defence capacities of the socialist system, as well as to the influence of the ideas and practical activities of socialism in the sphere of ideology.
In following the principles of scientific socialism the socialist countries have transformed peaceful coexistence into a real and dominant force in the further development of international life. Today it is they who initiate fundamental proposals concerning ways to strengthen peace, stop the arms race, and disrupt the aggressive plans of imperialists. In particular the following proposals and initiatives have been especially important: the draft European treaty concerning collective security; the reduction in the size of the armed forces of member states of the Warsaw Treaty by 3,796,500 men between 1955 and 1960; the plan to establish a nuclear-free zone in Central Europe; the proposal of countries of the socialist community to conclude a non-- aggression pact between members of the Warsaw Treaty and members of NATO; arid the proposal of the Political Consultative Committee of the Warsaw Treaty members to call an all-European conference on problems of security and the holding of such a conference in Helsinki in 1975.
Following Helsinki the socialist countries proposed a variety of new measures. These include an obligation by all states who signed the Final Act not to be first in applying nuclear weapons against each other; a proposal to conclude a World Treaty concerning the non-use of force in international relations; to avoid a widening of existing militarypolitical groupings in Europe; to stop the production of all types of nuclear weapons and to gradually reduce their stocks until they are fully liquidated; to educate peoples in the spirit of peace; to establish equal overall levels in the size of the armed forces of NATO and the Warsaw Treaty in Central Europe---900,000 persons each; to refrain from transferring nuclear weapons to the territories of countries that do not possess them; to conclude an international convention designed to strengthen the guarantees of security of non-nuclear states; and finally, the signing of a treaty be-
tween the USSR and the U.S. to limit strategic weapons used for offensive purposes (SALT-2) as well as an associated protocol and a number of other documents. A full implementation of the terms of that treaty would create new possibilities for stopping the continuing growth in nuclear missiles and for ensuring effective quantitative and qualitative limitations on their development. A solution of that problem would open the way towards a substantial reduction in arms and a realisation of the higher objective, namely, a full cessation in the production of nuclear weapons and a liquidation of existing stocks. This would represent a major contribution to maintaining peace and achieving a secure future for all mankind. I should like to stress that the fate of strategic arms limitation talks (SALT) is also a global problem, rather than a problem of Soviet-U.S. relations. In this connection, it would appear quite interesting to cite excerpts from the final document approved by the Independent Commission on Disarmament and Security Issues (Palme Commission), which was in session in Vienna in February 1981.
The Commission members voiced the opinion that although successes in the process of limiting strategic arms were thus far modest, a collapse of the process would be a calamity. The talks on limiting strategic arms in the present world is something greater than simply an attempt to impose quantitative and qualitative limitations on nuclear weapons; they have acquired political significance beyond the framework of the potential effect of the talks on the arms race. The SALT talks are the principal symbol of seeking ways towards Soviet-American co-operation, the central factor in the diplomatic efforts aimed at containing U.S.-Soviet rivalry in the most important and, hence, most dangerous fields. Detente in Europe would be threatened if the process of limiting strategic arms reaches a deadlock. Besides, Soviet-American negotiations on strategic armaments have in general become the central element in the efforts towards restraining proliferation of nuclear arms.
The members of the Commission maintain that failure of the strategic arms limitation talks would most directly affect programmes for devising new weapons in the U.S.A. and the USSR. Uncontained by the terms of both SALT-1 and SALT-2, both countries would most probably take immediate measures to quicken modernisation of their nuclear
343*
35forces. One may expect that both sides would make additional efforts to increase the number of nuclear warheads on existing intercontinental ballistic missiles. Each side could in all probability also additionally step up deployment of ballistic missiles on nuclear submarines and maybe of even new models of manned long-range bombers.
The Commission members warn the world public of even more serious consequences. Termination of strategic arms limitation talks would lead to sharply increased demands on revising the 1972 ABM Limitation Treaty. This agreement is to be automatically revised in 1982, and already today demands in the West for abrogating or essentially revising the treaty are quite insistent because new achievements in technology have presumably rendered anti-missile defence capable of providing protection for offensive missiles.
Having at one time agreed not to deploy arms systems capable of creating an illusion concerning the presence of a potential for defence against a nuclear strike, the USSR and the U.S.A. had officially recognised the probability that in case of a nuclear war each side would be subjected to unprecedented destruction. The 1972 agreement was an official recognition of the common necessity to avoid confrontation that could be conducive to the appearance of a real threat of nuclear war.
Without the landmarks set up thanks to the strategic arms limitation process, without minimum co-operation stipulated by the agreement on anti-ballistic missile system, each side would anticipate the most terrible action from the other. And while further improvement of defensive ABM systems would support the illusion that one side could wage nuclear wars and survive to an extent that would not make life meaningless, the threat of the use of nuclear weapons would rapidly grow.
The effect of the changes in U.S.-Soviet political relations that would accompany the failure of the strategic arms limitation process would be very directly felt in Europe, where East-West relations have for over a decade been based on relative co-operation. In Europe, ties between the two camps are becoming more developed, and so far the general worsening of East-West relations are not affecting them too much. However, it will be difficult to preserve this relatively stable situation in Europe under strong escalation of the Soviet-U.S. political conflict, an escalation
that would occur in case the strategic arms limitation process fails.
In the political situation that would in this case arise, demands for West European governments increasing their military spending would possibly become more insistent, and this could lead to various kinds of instability. This, in turn, could create a threat to the previous agreements and to mutually advantageous political and economic exchanges. Both in the East and the West, stoppage of the dialogue and loss of economic, technological and other dialogue-related advantages would signify that neither side would possess any tangible stimulus for curbing rivalry in the field of armaments; efforts in controlling conventional weapons, particularly the Vienna talks on mutually balanced reduction of armed forces, would be doomed to failure. Finally, as it always happens when political relations worsen, the threat of war in Europe could increase. Failure of the strategic arms limitation process would virtually inescapably mean a return to the cold war and a real threat of armed conflict in Europe that could momentarily develop into a world war.
The Commission members also analyse the possible consequences of the failure of the strategic arms limitation process for other areas of the globe and come to the following conclusion:
``There is every reason to criticise the strategic arms limitation process. It is slow and unwieldy. Its achievements are limited. Yet, this is the only means for fighting with the most urgent threat to the existence of mankind. If the process comes to an end, the insignificant progress achieved in the sense of containing the threat of a nuclear war would be thrown immeasurably far back.''
In terms of politics, failure of SALT would signify further aggravation of controversies, increased instability, and weakening of peaceful ties and exchanges literally all over the world. It would signify a further switching of many countries' resources for military needs with all the ensuing economic problems and negative political consequences. This could lead to a greater threat of war in Europe, increased tensions in East Asia, and more frequent cases of confrontation in other areas of the globe. And this would mean increased danger of proliferation of nuclear weapons in most of the areas of the world.
36 37The Commission hopes that the United States and the USSR would at the first opportunity continue their twelveyear-old efforts to reach an agreement on limiting nuclear weapons. This would be in the interests not only of the United States and the Soviet Union, but of the whole world.
As for the USSR, it always was and is an active advocate of reducing armaments, and not only strategic, and had invariably striven and is striving for negotiations on these and other questions of major importance for the cause of world peace. This was also stated with full definiteness at the 26th Congress of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union.
Although for a number of reasons the international situation has lately aggravated, the 26th Congress of the CPSU put forward new proposals for strengthening peace and international security: on extending the scope of measures for promoting mutual trust; on curbing and reducing strategic armaments; on a moratorium on deploying new NATO and Soviet medium-range nuclear missiles in Europe; on creating an authoritative international committee from among the most prominent scientists from different countries that would show the vital necessity for preventing a nuclear calamity, and so on.
Naturally among these extremely important initiatives contributing to a strengthening of the cause of peace and a reduction in international tensions the proposals and practical activities to curb the arms race initiated by imperialism are particularly important.
According to U.N. statistics, global military expenditures since 1900 have increased thirty times. At present they amount to over 500 billion dollars a year, which is close to 1 million dollars a minute. Now, if the current tendency continues, by the year 2000 the figure may have reached 1 trillion dollars in present-day prices. But today not only the industrially developed countries, but developing states are involved in the arms race. The military spending of all these nations have over the past two decades quadrupled in real figures. World trade in military equipment, which now constitutes about 20 billion dollars a year, has also sharply increased. In 1978 alone, leading weapons, such as tanks, warplanes, missiles and warships, were imported by 118 countries, of which 90 are developing nations. Accord-
ing to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, the cost of basic armaments for developing countries had increased from 3 billion dollars in 1970 to 14 billion dollars in 1978. On top of that, a number of Third-World countries have themselves become suppliers of weaponry.
From 1945 to 1978, 1,165 nuclear blasts were conducted, chiefly for testing weapons, and 667 nuclear explosions were conducted already after the signing of the Treaty on Banning Tests of Nuclear Weapons in the Atmosphere. As the arsenal of nuclear armaments grows, the danger of accidents that may occur as a result of transportation, military exercises or intentional subversive activity, becomes increasingly high. Fears are also growing in connection with the proliferation of nuclear technology associated with energy production and possible switch-over to non-peaceful uses of nuclear materials.
The importance of a possible cessation in the arms race for resolving the many urgent global problems confronting mankind is clearly evident. For even a partial reduction in the intensity of global problems---a reconstruction of basic technological processes in industry in the course of several decades for example, development of new sources of energy, and the solution of other problems arising in the sphere of relations between man and nature---will require enormous means that can be obtained only by withdrawing them from military objectives. The only way in which this may be achieved is a realisation of the principles of peaceful coexistence, a strengthening of the foundations of peace and a cessation of the arms race. United Nations experts have estimated that the reassignment of a major part of the world's military spending to additional capital investments in other sectors could increase the rate of economic growth by 1-2 per cent. In particular, a programme of economic and technical assistance to developing countries for boosting food production and bringing an end to hunger would cost three billion dollars. This is less than one percent of the resources that the arms race is taking away from mankind each year at the present time. Assistance in food supplies to developing countries to meet the normal food requirements of children would require four billion dollars each year.
A cessation of the arms race and disarmament will also help reduce the intensity of the entire range of social prob-
38 39lems facing the working people in capitalist countries. At the present time preparations for war reapportion enormous resources away from important social programmes and measures to improve living conditions. In the last analysis arguments by bourgeois ideologists to the effect that the arms race is helping solve the problem of employment have proved to be unfounded. Gus Hall, General Secretary of the Communist Party of the U.S.A., has stressed that
``The short-sighted and opportunistic argument that war orders mean more jobs has had the rug pulled from under it. The billions of our tax dollars that the government spends for war orders do not result in a corresponding increase in jobs, since the new engines of mass destruction do not depend to the same extent on the job-making materials and processes called for in earlier wars.''~^^4^^
Today even bourgeois economists admit that military expenditures create far fewer job openings than do the equal expenditures invested in civilian sectors of the economy. American specialists have calculated that the implementation of the measures in SALT-2 could increase the number of employed by 1,800,000 persons.
Disarmament is thus not only an insistent imperative of our age. As one of the most important global problems it ultimately determines the extent to which the intensity of other global problems is reduced. Socialism, for whom, as Lenin emphasised, disarmament itself is an ideal, is playing a leading role in that struggle. This is as it should be, for the most important thing in socialism is the interests of man's free and many-sided development, which can be made possible in the sphere of social progress.
This is why the social development of countries and peoples under conditions of peace and disarmament constitutes still another major global problem facing mankind both currently and in the perspective of its historical development. This includes both a transition from capitalism to socialism and an overcoming of the state of backwardness that has been inherited from the colonial past and of the gap that exists between industrial and developing countries. There is a close cause-and-effect dependence between this problem and the problem of world economic growth.
By bringing to an end the exploitation of working people and creating the real prerequisites needed for establishing
social justice, genuine freedom and equality of people, and the development of true democracy, socialism thereby initiates a new stage in the historical progress of human civilisation and is the principal condition for progress in the culture of all mankind and a prerequisite for the further development of civilisation.
Above all socialism provides for high rates of economic development and of growth in the standard of living of the working people. In the USSR the basic production assets of all economic sectors increased 34 times between 1913 and 1977. During these years the country's overall national income increased by nearly 68 times.^^5^^ As charted by the 26th Congress of the CPSU, by 1990 the national income used for consumption and accumulation will have increased by at least 40 per cent.
Under socialism the development of production is guided to serve a continuing increase in the peoples' material and cultural level. Accordingly, nearly 3/4 of the USSR's national income serve consumption. But if one takes into account the fact that very large sums are assigned to the construe tion of housing and also buildings providing social and cultural services the share expended directly on the population's welfare is approximately 4/5 of the country's national income. During the 60 years of Soviet power the real incomes of workers in industry and construction increased by an average of 9.7 times per worker, while the incomes of farmers 14.1 times. In 1976-1980 alone, the real per capita incomes increased by 18 per cent. The average wages of workers and office employees grew almost by 16 per cent and those of farmers by 26 per cent. In the 1980s, it is planned to raise the real per capita incomes by yet another 16-18 per cent; the average wages of workers and office employees by 13-16 per cent; and those of farmers by 20-22 per cent.
Reliance on the achievements of the revolution in science and technology has led to increases in the asset-- intensity, machine-intensity and energy-intensity of labour activities, and the scale of activities associated with the introduction of new equipment and of improved technological processes has greatly increased. There have been fundamental qualitative changes in the technical basis of production under the influence of science through an increasing mechanisation and automation of production activities. In 1976,
40 41for example, our country's increase in industrial output as a whole made up 50 per cent as compared with 1970. The production of means of production increased by 54 per cent, including an increase of 80 per cent in the production of means of labour. During the eighth five-year plan (1966- 1970) 675,000 units of production equipment were modernised; this figure rose to 732,000 during the ninth five-year plan and attained 154,000 during 1976 alone. The number of mechanised production lines in industry increased from 42,947 in 1965 to 114,108 in 1975, while the number of automated lines increased from 5,981 to 17,072.^^6^^ In 1978 an increase in labour productivity by 3.6 per cent accounted for more than 3/4 of the additional output and made it possible to economise the labour of 3.7 million persons. In 1976-1980 alone, labour productivity in the USSR grew by 17 per cent. This accounted for 75 per cent of the increment in industrial production; 100 per cent in agriculture; and 95 per cent in construction.
By stepping up scientific and technological progress, it is planned to increase the productivity of social labour in the 1980s by 15-20 per cent, which will account for at least 85-90 per cent of the increment in national income. The technical equipment of labour will appreciably improve, as will comprehensive mechanisation and automation of production processes.
The achievements of socialism in the social and economic spheres show a realistic path to developing countries at a time when their situation continues to be very difficult, and their lag behind industrial countries is continuing to increase.
Specialists have estimated that 78 per cent of the planet's population will live in regions of the world that are insufficiently provided by the year 2000, while in 1950 that figure was only 68 per cent. According to the latest estimates of the International Labour Organisation (ILO) as much as 40 per cent of the able-bodied population of developing countries suffers from either full or partial unemployment even though those countries account for 60 per cent of currently known natural resources, 70 per cent of the world's arable land and 2/3 of the world's active population. But they account for only 7 per cent of the world's industrial production and approximately 1/3 of its agricultural output.
Unfortunately, far from declining, the urgency of these problems increases as we approach the threshold to the
third millennium. Current trends in the world's economic social and cultural development are leading to a further deepening of discrepancies in levels and ways of life of different parts of mankind. The trend towards a less rapid growth in the standard of living and of material welfare in developing countries will continue in the foreseeable future. Similarly the transition of a growing number of persons in developing countries from traditional to urban ways of life will continue to be accompanied by substantial social costs (increased unemployment, poverty, and inhuman living conditions that are dangerous to health).
A good illustration to what has been said above is the conference "Regionalism and a New International Economic Order" held in May 1980 in New York by UNITAR, the Club of Rome and the Centre of Economic and Social Studies. The participants in the conference emphasised that a global discussion of the problems of the world economy which has been under way for several years has still produced no practical results. In the face of ever growing difficulties and ever increasing problems in the world economy over the past decade, a variety of suggestions has been put forward. These were: to revise the objectives of development; to first of all satisfy the requirements of the poorest sections of the population; and to work out a programme that could at least help mankind survive. However, all these appeals remained but words. The participants in the conference put forward proposals of an absolutely different kind: they said there should be no more rhetoric concerning the necessity of political freedom and economic upsurge for the Third-World countries as a whole and their poorest strata in particular, and also that an end should be put to advancing utopian alternatives or creating salvation programmes. The only viable strategy was the strategy of regionalism, which should become a constituent component of the new international economic order.
It was absolutely evident to the participants in the conference that today political unity alone was insufficient for developing countries. Taking into consideration the growing inflation and unemployment in industrial countries, political unity of developing countries should bo supplemented by their economic unity, which should arise as a result of a common approach to the problems of international financial policy, to the activity of international corporations, to
42 43policies in the field of science and technology, and to problems of raw material and energy resources. They should have a common view on the problems of social development as a whole, and of each individual in particular.
There is hardly any need to explain to the reader that to achieve such a unity of the Third-World countries, so different both in economic development levels and social development orientations, is if not an insoluble, then undoubtedly a long-term task. In this sense, the hope for regionalism is probably no better than the ways for eliminating the gap between developed and developing countries which were criticised at the conference.
However, it is not this that is important here, but the thought distinctly expressed by representatives of developing countries that in resolving their problems they can no longer rely on transnational corporations, international banks or developed capitalist countries. The relations existing between them and the Third World today should be revised and supplemented by broad and intensive co-operation between developing countries themselves, naturally with due regard for both their differences and common elements in the socio-political and economic fields. And in order that this co-operation be effective, it should be rooted in the actual economy. The participants in the conference maintain that this process could begin with an agreement between two or more countries with similar features both in geographic position and in the social, economic and cultural fields; between countries with mutual interests or stands towards other countries or even entire regions. This cooperation can develop in the line of ascent: from intraregional to interregional co-operation to end up at global level.
For a deeper study of these and other similar suggestions proposed at the conference, a working group was set up to include all principal UN bodies and agencies connected with regional and interregional co-operation.
In his message of greetings to the participants in the conference, the former UN Secretary-General Kurt Waldheim noted that the current discussions at various forums indicated that, in the near future, a further impetus would be given to economic and technical cooperation between developing countries, both at intra- and interregional levels.
The dangerous influence of capitalism produces a crisisforming intensification of the entire complex of today's glob-
44al problems. Naturally, industrial capitalist countries and developing nations following the capitalist path experience various global problems with varying degrees of intensity. But there is a close interaction and interdependence among them that derives from the general principle governing the world capitalist economy and its continuous trend towards instability and permanent proneness to declines in activity in spite of all the artificial measures to avoid this that have been taken in recent years.
The state of crisis of the capitalist economy has led to a substantial reduction in economic growth rates and has increased the number of unemployed. In 1980 alone the army of unemployed numbered 19 million. For purposes of comparison let us note that between 1951 and 1977, when the volume of industrial output of the member countries of the Council for Mutual Economic Assistance increased 11 times, it increased only 3.6 times in industrial capitalist countries. At the same time this growth in the economic potential of the socialist community was accompanied by socialist integration. As for the world capitalist economy even those forecasts that are intended to be reassuring contain many pessimistic elements. In particular this is evident in forecasts of its rate of growth. It is expected that there will be new disturbances and increasingly serious difficulties during the next two decades. Its reduced rate of growth is attributed, among other factors, to a declining rate of profit resulting from increased prices for energy supplies, especially petroleum. An extremely urgent problem is developing for the bourgeois world, and there are no limits to fantasy in proposed solutions. But none of the many projects based on science and technology can be of help so long as the capitalist mode of production itself is retained, for it continues to undermine the very foundations of a reasonable mode of human existence. Accordingly the problems of economic growth and employment, will acquire even sharper forms in the future, and unemployment will grow.^^7^^
Even when one considers factors contributing to economic growth (of course, this relates primarily to progress in science and technology, which has raised the yearly increment in the industrial output of capitalist countries from 1.8 per cent in 1913-1937 to 5.4 per cent between 1950 and 1973), the capitalist economy will continue to develop in a
45cyclical fashion between now and the year 2000, with deep crises, declines, and recessions. At the same time its rate of growth will be substantially lower than in the 1950s and 1960s. The gross domestic product of industrial capitalist countries is therefore expected to increase by approximately 2-2.3 times between 1978 and the year 2000, while their industrial output is expected to increase by 2.5 times. Differences in rates of development of individual countries will increase, leading to a deepening of both interimperialist contradictions and contradictions among developed and developing countries.~^^8^^
Nor is there an end in sight to the tendency towards a dehumanisation of labour activities and ways of living in capitalist society in spite of attempts at "social engineering". Such phenomena as an intensification of nervous and psychological pressures in labour activities and a growing alienation of labour activities from man that produce an inner emptiness and a loss of guidelines to meaningful values and are unavoidable in societies based on private ownership, preclude capitalism as a prospect for mankind, even though the bourgeois propaganda machine seeks to present it as such as it tempts developing peoples with the image of the high material standard of living that has been attained in industrialised countries in part through a prolonged exploitation of these very same peoples.
Western specialists also confirm the correctness of our evaluations of the prospects of development of the capitalist system. In an article published in Blatter fur deutsche nnd Internationale Politik (Nos. 1,2, January-February 1981), R. Kiihnl notes that since the early seventies the capitalist system has been in throes of a serious and, probably, highly protracted economic crisis, the end of which is impossible to foresee. It is indeed the most serious crisis since the world economic crisis that began in 1929. Inflation rates in the seventies more than doubled compared with the sixties. In the first half of 1980, unemployment in the United States attained 7.8 per cent; inflation exceeded 15 per cent; and economic growth stopped altogether.
In October 1980, the number of jobless in the EEC countries was 7.4 million, i.e., it reached its highest level since 1957, the year when the organisation was founded. In Japan, unemployment has actually increased to 3-4 million, and inflation to 7 per cent. A similar picture is observed in
West Germany: at the end of 1980, the number of unemployed topped 1 million and inflation was more than 7 per cent; at the same time only 80.5 per cent of the production capacities were in use in September 1980.
All available forecasts indicate that in the coming years unemployment and inflation will increase. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) maintains that in 1982 inflation in all the 24 member-- countries will amount to an average of 8.75 per cent, and the number of unemployed will increase to 25.5 million. According to OECD assessments, in West Germany, for instance, the unemployment rate will rise from 4 to 4.75 per cent. On the other hand, the Munich Institute of Economic Studies estimated the number of unemployed in West Germany would reach 1.2 million in 1981, and the real national product would decrease by one per cent.
Kiihnl goes on to say that capitalism thus again shows that it not only creates large-scale poverty and hunger in developing countries (where 50 million people, including 12 million children, die annually of hunger), but cannot provide full employment and social security for all (despite the vast social wealth and highly developed productive forces), not to speak of reasonable distribution of available resources and their utilisation for the benefit of working people.
There is a great number of paradoxical situations in the capitalist world: on the one hand, millions of people want to work, but lack this opportunity; on the other, there are unutilised production facilities. At the same time there are tens of thousands of unemployed teachers and overcrowded classes, since lessons have to be cancelled because of a shortage of teachers; there is also a tremendous need in housing, though there is a large number of vacant houses and apartments. All this clearly shows to what extent the capitalist economic system has become outdated and has outlived itself.
In periodically occurring crisis situations, capitalists make energetic efforts to shift all the hardships onto the shoulders of the working people, the unemployed, the pensioners, and the students, being guided solely by the consideration that the crisis should not affect their profits.
In addition to this force which actuates critical develop-
46 47ment and aggravates social conflicts in capitalist society, there is yet another force acting in the same direction. That force has resulted from the loss of power by the capitalist world compared with socialist and even developing countries. Socialism has become a world system, and the success of national liberation movements has given many Asian and African countries political and certain economic independence. Developing countries are firmly intent on increasing their share in world industrial production till the end of the century from the present 9 per cent to 25 per cent.
This process of liberation of former colonial and semicolonial countries was successful only because of the existing system of socialist states, which rendered economic, ideological and military assistance to liberation movements, and after the respective countries had gained political independence continued to help them free themselves from economic exploitation.
The consolidation of the economic independence of the Third World countries and the growing self-consciousness of their peoples signifies that raw material resources and manpower in those countries are becoming markedly more expensive (both at present and particularly in the future) and the guarantee that they would be available in desirable proportions is disappearing altogether. The fact that in some developing countries this process is being countered by establishment of military dictatorships whose function is exclusively in opening the country to foreign capital and suppressing the political and trade union rights of working people, changes nothing in the historical trend of our epoch, since those dictatorships lack firm ground under their feet. Thus, the gaining of economic independence by developing countries, a process taking place when capitalism is, as it is, experiencing a deep crisis, challenges its very existence as a social system in the more remote perspective as well.
The significance and influence of capitalist countries is diminishing also because the socialist countries have developed their economies more rapidly and have achieved a higher and considerably more uniform rate of economic growth. The share of the leading capitalist countries (West Germany, Britain, France, Italy, Japan and the United States) in world industrial production has reduced from
R9.C per cent in 1937 to 41.7 per cent today; at the same time the share of the USSR and that of the other member states of the Council for Mutual Economic Assistance has increased from 10 to 33 per cent, respectively.
Against the background of capitalism's current contradictions the socialist mode of production and way of life is becoming an increasingly apparent alternative. Of all contemporary socio-economic systems only socialism solves effectively the problem of employment, and provides to each person an effectively guaranteed right to work. Similarly it is only under socialism that changes in the structure and substance of labour activities deriving from the influence of the scientific and technological revolution do not turn against workers, since the problem of humanising labour activities is also formulated in a way that transforms them Lo one of the spheres of man's creative development. This is a stable trend whose influence on the general processes of world development at the threshold of the third millennium will apparently be increasingly pronounced. As it proceeds (without, of course, precluding contradictions and difficulties) the ability of the socialist world to solve the fundamental problems of man and society will continue to increase in effectiveness, including problems whose scope is truly global.
As we see globality is inherent not only in problems of peace and disarmament and of social development, but also in those of economic growth, which in fact relate to a world economy as a single whole rather than to isolated national and regional economic systems. Within that world economy, in spite of the qualitatively specific properties that characterise the functioning of its major components and derive from difference in their social organisation, there does nevertheless exist a growing interrelation and interdepend ence. The formation of the world economy derives from processes relating to an international division of labour, the internationalisation of production activities, and the development of the world market. It proceeds through a growing interdependence of national economies possessing similar social structures and their growing interaction witli countries of the opposite system.
All this produces urgent problems relating to the further development of international economic intercourse on the
484-01743
49basis of principles of equality and mutual advantage as well as of a democratisation of the world economy. Today both developing nations and socialist countries participate in the struggle for such a world economy.
A Declaration on the Establishment of a New International Economic Order and an Action Programme were adopted by the 6th Special Session of the United Nations General Assembly on Raw Materials and Development, held in May 1974 on the initiative of both these groups of countries. Subsequently, in December 1974, in elaborating the principles contained in the initial documents the 29th Session of the United Nations General Assembly adopted a Charter of Economic Rights and Duties of the States. This related primarily to the sphere of economic relations between developing countries and industrial capitalist countries. It defines a programme for a New International Economic Order that presupposes that each state possesses full and permanent sovereignty over its natural resources and its entire economic activities, including an unconditional right to nationalisation. This envisages the development of mechanisms of international exchange and co-operation that could compensate for the changes in world market prices that are unfavourable to developing countries and provide for stability in terms of trade, and facilitate the transfer of new equipment and technologies needed to modernise the production facilities of economically underdeveloped regions; measures of economic assistance to developing regions so as to reduce existing disproportions in the world and help accelerate the economic development of newly liberated states; and the establishment of effective control over the activities of transnational corporations.
Socialist countries hold a positive view of that programme which serves anti-imperialist objectives. They support the just demands of developing countries that seek to restructure international economic relations on a just and democratic basis.
The following was declared on behalf of the Soviet Union at the 26th Congress of the CPSU:
``In the mid-seventies, the former colonial countries raised the question of a new international economic order. Restructuring international economic relations on a democratic foundation, along the lines of equali-
ty, is natural from the point of view of history. Much
can and must be done in this respect. And, certainly,
the issue must not be reduced, as this is sometimes
done, simply to distinctions between the 'rich North'
and the 'poor South'. We are prepared to contribute.
and are indeed contributing, to the establishment oi'
equitable international economic relations.''~^^9^^
The fact that the positions of socialist and developing
countries on fundamental issues relating to a democratic
transformation of world economic relations are either close
to each other or identical was also shown by the 5th United
Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD),
held in Manila in May 1979.
Communists in general hold a positive view of all proposals for actions contributing to a progressive development of the world economy on a democratic and just basis. They view this as an objective historical trend expressing a general process of internationalisation that ultimately serves the perspectives of communism. In analysing the trend towards an internationalisation of mankind's economic life and describing the conditions that relate to the working class' revolutionary struggle and the implementation of its historical mission, Marx and Engels observed:
``Moreover, the mass of workers who are nothing billworkers---labour-power on a mass scale cut off from capital or from even a limited satisfaction [of their needs] and, hence, as a result of competition their utterly precarious position, the no longer merely temporary loss of work as a secure source of life---- presupposes the world market. The proletariat can thus only exist world-historically, just as communism, its activity, can only have a `world-historical' exist-
ence.''~^^10^^
In elaborating that thought, Lenin indicated that this trend leads to its logical completion beyond the conditions of capitalist society in which it originates, i.e., in the context of a communist social formation:
``... a tendency towards the creation of a single world economy, regulated by the proletariat of all nations as an integral whole and according to a common plan . . . has already revealed itself quite clearly under capitalism and is bound to be further developed and consummated under socialism".J1
504*
It is the position of Communists that national components are not dissolved by international ones but are complemented by them. It is precisely in addition to the community of economic life as an attribute of a nation that there forms the community of economic life as an attribute of mankind. At the same time the internationalisation of economic life can serve mankind only if there develops a co-operation among all countries and peoples based on equality. A gradual solution of global problems confronting mankind also becomes possible, above all those that we have called `` intersocial'', namely, problems of peace and disarmament, of social development and of economic growth throughout the world.
It is not difficult to see that all these problems are dialectically interconnected, and that they have an internal cause-and-effect subordination. It has already been noted, however, that they merely form a subsystem of a more complex hierarchy of global problems, determining the functioning of all other subsystems, and in particular those that develop in relations between man and society and between man and nature. Let us consider those aspects of the first group of global problems that interest us and relate them to the prospects of development of human civilisation. At the same time, since, as has already been noted, the problems of that group are individualised and personal in many respects, we will consider separately those aspects relating to interactions between man and nature that are clearly present in the second group of global problems. This will be the subject of the concluding Chapter, which is concerned with man's prospects within an integrated framework relating to both his social and natural-biological aspects. Strictly speaking, of course, it is not possible to fully abstract from the "human factor" in discussing relations between man and nature and between man and society. This is especially true of the social and humanistic problems of scientific and technical progress, which greatly influences, as we know, the general course of development of human civilisation, and especially tendencies in the fields of education and culture. Let us now consider these problems and the prospects for their resolution at the threshold of the third millennium.
2. The Social and
Humanistic Orientation
of Scientific and Technical
Progress.
Education in the Year 2000
Today science and technology exert an altogether exceptional influence on the life of modern man, on his consciousness and emotions. They have inverted many of our conceptions concerning the world and concerning ourselves. But aside from revealing new horizons and directions to which human activities may be applied they have also created many complex global problems and raised urgent issues concerning man's future and that of mankind. A new social and spiritual environment has developed within which many questions relating to the future of mankind are now posed and solved. Whenever that is mentioned there are growing appeals to the latest achievements in science and technology. And answers depend on specific views of these achievements and of science itself.
One observes with regret that current attitudes towards science vary greatly, and that many of its discoveries and technical applications not only perturb our imagination and create confusion, but sometimes simply frighten modern man---particularly when the future is considered. And the point here lies not only and perhaps not so much in the insufficiency of information concerning the achievements of modern science. Rather it is because today they are so unusual and occasionally bear no comparison with what we formerly viewed as familiar and normal, that they are often perceived as something strange against which our human consciousness, our sense of self-- preservation and our ethics protest.
It is a strange feeling today to read and hear about many problems that literally did not exist yesterday and that have arisen from the rapid course of the revolution in science and technology. And the further we proceed, in the words of Alice in Wonderland, it is "curiouser and curiouser". Today possibilities that only yesterday were viewed as the product of fantasies far-removed from Mm world of science are becoming either everyday reality or else the visible reality of the not loo distant future. The term "Pandora's Box"
52 53is employed to describe many new phenomena that have been created by the development of science and that are already exerting a considerable influence on man and on mankind, their present as well as their future. This is why the relation of modern science to man's life and labour activities and to his prospects as a bio-social being---in short, the humanistic significance of scientific and technical progress---is itself becoming a major global problem of our age.
While this topic is the subject of heated discussions throughout the world, these often present science as an anti-humanistic force. Alternatively its significance for man's life is often presented as self-sufficient. This is true, in particular, of the various ``technocratic'' conceptions that present science as a determinant of human destiny while its universal nature is regarded as a force transforming society directly, by-passing social factors. As early as 1948, J. Fourastie published a work entitled The Great Hope of the Twentieth Century.^^12^^ Subsequently this came to represent the position of bourgeois-reformist technocracy. In the opinion of Fourastie, intensive technological and scientific development makes it possible for mankind to evolve in the direction of establishing a so-called "scientific society" that is free from the burdens of political, social, religious and other antagonisms. In that future society science and technology will become the basis not only of the vital activities of the social organism as a whole, but also of individual persons within it. The "computerised utopia" proposed by J. Fourastie was presented as "the twentieth century's greatest hope''.
In his most recent works J. Fourastie asserts that it is the task of science to make impossible the existence of an obsolete system of values and to construct the foundations of a new one. This, he believes, will be associated with the development of a new, cosmic religion that will permeate the entire fabric of the future "scientific society", and serve as a health-restoring element. Fourastie expects that such a reconstruction will be brought about by representatives of science, or more specifically by theologians committed to the spirit of scientific experimentation and familiar with science's major achievements. 1:!
Such a conclusion, while seemingly unexpected, is nevertheless logical for ``technocratic'' thinking, which easily
shifts from excessive optimism to pessimism, from exaggerated hopes to disappointment, and from an absolute emphasis on science to doubts concerning its possibilities and even to religious faith. Here again, as we see, extremes meet.
Actually J. Fourastie's views are the source of many other ``technocratic'' views that are often conveyed indirectly, through a "complex of ideas". This is apparent in later examples of ``technocratic'' thinking, such as those found in the works of D. Bell, a Professor of Sociology at Harvard University.^^14^^ He asserts that the growing social role of science and technology and the increasing utilisation of computers as well as the cyberneticiYnh'on of production activities and of life automatically produce a "new society" that is based not on the production of goods but on " intellectual technology", and in which the principal actors arc no longer businessmen and entrepreneurs but scientists, mathematicians, economists, and sociologists.
D. Bell assumes that in such a society, which lie calls ``post-industrial'', it is ultimately not production relations that play a determining role, and not property relations, but the specific types of scientific knowledge that are employed in the economy, and that it is therefore the " organisation of science" that emerges as the major problem. Accordingly, Bell characterises such a "post-industrial society" as a new social structure that is based not on property relations but on knowledge and skills. The new social structures are made up of specialists that, in his view, are divided into three classes: a creative elite (scientists and higher level professional managers); a middle class (engineers and professors); and a proletariat (technicians, junior service personnel and assistants).
Although Bell, like other proponents of the conception of a "post-industrial society", constantly refers to science as opposed to an incorrect conception of ideology, the `` technocratic'' utopia that they advocate is by no means as ideologically ``innocent'' as it may appear at first sight. Behind it one finds the very specific positions of social reformism. This is clearly apparent in the study entitled The Cultural Contradictions of Capitalism. K There the ideas presented earlier are ``elaborated'' up to a full rejection of determinism and a break between the economy and culture in accordance with the conception of "disjointed spheres''.
£4
This does not, of course, mean that the line of " technological determinism" is altogether abandoned; it has numerous adherents and apologists who believe that the influence of science and technology on man and society is becoming the major source of contemporary changes, particularly in the world's more developed countries. In his book entitled Between Two Ages. America's Role in the Technetronic Era, for example, Z. Brzezinski writes that the "post-- industrial society", too, is turning into a "technetronic society" as a result of the direct influence of technology and electronics, and in particular of computer technology, on various aspects of social life, including its norms, its social structure and its cultural values.^^16^^ While, like many other proponents of ``technocratic'' ideas, Z. Brzezinski continually refers to social changes of a global character, in fact the references to the development of science and technology in his futurological model are merely used to argue that capitalist society is able to retain its essence in the new conditions that are developing in the world.
The misleading and non-viable nature of the `` technocratic'' interpretation of the revolution in science and technology derives from an incorrect understanding of that revolution as a phenomenon that is partly isolated from social factors, or in any case that is not inherently and organically linked to social factors. By placing an absolute emphasis 011 scientific and technical progress, ``technocratic'' conceptions place man in the position of a slave to an alien and inimical force whose control is the task of a highly specific elite standing over most of mankind. Accordingly such conceptions are not only anti-democratic but also anti-human: they dehumanise science by depriving it of its link with man, which is present in both its objectives and the means that are employed to attain them.
An elitist approach to science and to its social significance is clearly expressed in D. Bell's study entitled The Coming of Post-Industrial Society. This introduces the concept of ``meritocracy''---an hierarchy based on merits and skills. This expresses the principle of "equal results" rather than of equal initial opportunities, which presupposes a compulsory quota for women, Blacks, and small groups at all levels of secondary and higher education. Bell views the latter as unacceptable, since in his opinion the principle of "equal opportunities" ignores genetically and culturally
conditioned differences in the intellectual and spiritual potential of persons and is inimical to the development of personality. As for the principle of "equal results" lie postulates that it implies the encouragement of those whose con tribution to the collective stock of society is most significant. "Instead of the principle 'from each according to hi;- ability, to each according to his ability' we have the principle 'from each according to his ability, to each according to his need'. Arid the justification for need is fairness to those who are disadvantage^ for reasons beyond their control.''~^^17^^
Thus, Boll seeks to make use of the communist principle, while essentially attributing to it an opposite, elitist connotation that justifies social inequality and excludes revolutionary changes in capitalist arrangements and social development in the direction of communism. He considers that all the changes that are taking place in a "post-industrial society" are ultimately changes in human consciousness whose outcome is the realisation of the Utopia of individual freedom. It is therefore not surprising that critics of D. Bell's conception (and not Marxist critics alone) define it as a "technocratic utopia". For it is a fact that while Boll refers to the decisive role of the "knowledge elite", such critics as N. Birnbaum correctly observe:
``The scientists and the educated are no doubt important and indispensable. But on Bell's own evidence they nowhere command our societies, they are employees of political and economic elites." 18 Bell himself admits that the "knowledge elite" is insufficiently linked through common interest to form a class, Referring to the role of scientists in creating the atom bomb and the hydrogen bomb he shows that each time it was political and military leaders who made the principal decisions. Subsequently, in analysing the position of science. Bell notes that the scientific community itself considers interference by the government to bo inevitable, and also that scientific quest is increasingly bureaucratic in nature. At the same time he counlerposcs the "ethos of science" and the "principles of disinterested devotion to Truth" to "soulless technology". He declares the former to be the "transcendental ethics of a new society". These ideas of Bell have met with criticism by many of his opponents. and not only Marxists.
56 57A seeming antipode of such ``technocratic'' conceptions is today's so-called "critique of science", which hases its position on a mythical conception concerning the ``demonic'' character of science, i.e., its ability to threaten mankind and to be a force that is inimical to life, increasingly uncontrollable and beginning to exist independently as it were. Accusations directed against science and technology, which are stated to have merely created the illusion of human power while in fact enslaving man to an industrial ``Moloch'' that is also destroying the natural environment, producing a degradation of culture and morality, and threatening to destroy mankind itself, are usually joined to conceptions that view any form of scientific and technical progress, independently of the social conditions within which it takes place, as inimical to the development of an " integral personality". In particular, such an approach is characteristic of representatives of tbe social philosophy of the Frankfurt school. In their view the dominance of "technical rationality", which subordinates all of social life to its own norms, is predetermined by the very conception of a " technical mind". In his book entitled One-Dimensional Man, whose subtitle is Essays on the Ideology of Progressing Industrial Society, H. Marcuse writes that in the medium of technology, culture, politics and economics merge into an all-encompassing system that absorbs or else rejects all alternatives and technical rationality becomes political rationality.~^^19^^ It is thus asserted that it is not the application of technology, but technology itself that dominates nature and individuals in a methodic, deliberate and scientifically-- calculated way. As it encompasses all spheres of modern `` industrial'' society scientific and technical progress produces a specific type of thinking and of behaviour which, according to Marcuse, make it possible to describe their vehicles as "one-dimensional men". There is nothing substantive in his works concerning the possibility of avoiding such a state.
In seeking to overcome this deep social pessimism another representative of the Frankfurt school, J. Habermas, seeks to resolve the contradiction between scientific and technical progress and man's requirements by contrasting "technical rationality" with a hypothetical possibility of integrating the development of science and technology with man's needs and achieving, through a number of reforms in the regulation system, their correspondence to the inter-
58ests of individuals.^^20^^ Such a reformist programme, which does not presuppose qualitative social changes as a prerequisite of a ``humanisation'' of science and technology, is, of course, at best still another Utopia and a purely intellectual attempt to gloss over the extreme positions of "techno cratic optimism" and scientism.
This problem is formulated in a different manner in the philosophical anthropology of P. Teilhard de Chardin. In his works science is recognised not only as a means but as an objective which implies a scientifically constructed future society in which science is placed at the service of man. Teilhard is opposed to any other kind of utilisation of science (militarist, egotistical, etc.). Beyond this it is his view that at the present time science is employed inadequately---merely as a
``new means of providing more easily the same old things. We put Pegasus between the traces. And Pegasus languishes---unless he bolts with the waggon! But the moment will come---it is bound to---when man will be forced by the disparity of the equipage to ad mit that science is not an accessory occupation for him, but an essential activity, a natural derivative of the overspill of energy constantly liberated by mechanisation.''~^^21^^
This is, of course, a very deep thought and even though Teilhard does not identify the social essence of science, he clearly shows its essential mission and its lofty humanistic function. According to Teilhard, man is inevitably moving towards
``a human era of science, it will be eminently an era of human science. . . . Man, the knowing subject, will perceive at last that man, 'the object of knowledge', is the key to the whole science of nature. . . Man is the solution of everything that we can know." 22 In a certain sense such an approach is present in many contemporary Utopias relating to the relation of science to man. And romantic "critiques of science" address themselves more to man's emotions than to his mind. In effect Iheir appeal to overcome the ``deformation'' experienced by man as a result of scientific and technical progress and of industrial development and to restore ``hi-dimensionality'' as an alternative to "one-dimensional man" (II. Marcuse) is linked to Utopian hopes that certain shifts will take place in
59culture itself and in man's consciousness and moral norms. As a result, it becomes apparent that in fact such conceptions of man's relation to contemporary progress in science and technology serve to detract his attention from a scientific solution of that problem and from identifying the actual contradictions that are inherent in the social conditions within which science functions and that are characterised by antagonistic class relations; they emphasise factors that accompany scientific and technical progress and represent them as ``universal'' and ``fatal''. At the same time the future is often patterned on existing negative examples and is presented as an inevitable and inescapable fate of all of mankind.
As a result romantic and nostalgic conceptions merge with openly apologetic ones, for both share a common theoretical point of view concerning the relation of developments in science and technology to man as well as concerning an abstract understanding of man's essence. Marx had observed that
``just as it is ridiculous to yearn for such a primal completeness of the person, so it is ridiculous to believe in the necessity of stopping at the present state of complete emptiness. The bourgeois view never grows beyond the opposite of such a romantic view, and as a result that romantic view will accompany the bourgeois view as its rightful opposite to its very end." 23 This anticipation of Marx's has now also been confirmed in the case of the ideological evolution of leftist radical "critics of science", and in particular of the interaction of the "New Left" with bourgeois-technocratic conceptions. Thus H. Marcuse, the New Left's leading ideologist, selected from the antinomy that he proposed in One-Dimensional Man the thesis that a developed industrial society might restrain tendencies towards qualitative social transformations. Earlier he held the opposite view, namely that there was a social force that was able to change the existing social structure in a revolutionary manner. But lie came to believe that the ``counter-culture'' had exhausted itself and that an "emancipation of feelings" was insufficient without an "emancipation of mind".^^24^^
Marcuse's revised ideas, as they relate to our problem, are elaborated by P. Goodman in a study entitled New Reformation: Notes of a Neolithic Conservative.^^25^^ Unlike the
60traditional counter-culture conceptions concerning the pro position that ``technological'' knowledge and the `` technocracy'' that controls it constitute a force that is inimical to man and must therefore be completely uprooted in establishing genuine and humane relations among individuals, Good man recognises the vast role of technology and merely calls for its reformation: it must be transformed, in his opinion, into a branch of moral philosophy rather than of science and must be fully placed at the service of human needs and requirements.
In such a sharp confrontation between ``technocratic'' and anti-technocratic utopia concerning the humanistic orientation of science and its future, it is the task of scientists who recognise their responsibility towards others to free that problem from various myths, ``purify'' it from pseudoscientific admixtures, clearly identify its purely scientific rational meaning and seek to persuade world public opinion to consider it with the full measure of seriousness that it deserves in view of the situation in which mankind has found itself through the ambiguous perception of science and its consequences. It would appear that world opinion must listen to the voice of scientists more closely, and in spite of difficulties seek to understand the causes of their discussions and what real conclusions and recommendations follow from them. But above all they must base their views on an adequate perception of science and see its essential powers and its humanistic orientation.
The Marxist conception of science provides such an understanding. It explains science as a force that is becoming increasingly social and widespread. Within such a framework it also becomes clear why until very recently (the turn of the century) science functioned in ``parallel'', as it were, with processes that developed in the sphere of production, without influencing the vital activities of persons in any substantial measure and without attracting the attention of broad public opinion. It is true that the absence of such wide attention does not yet imply that social life was not in fact influenced by the activities of scientists. But such influences were sporadic, and in spite of striking individual achievements in the natural sciences that revolutio nised production activities, scientific research was generally viewed as an occupation that could not be systematically included into the sphere of "business interests", even though
61its unexpected power and importance could be fully recognised. The activities of scientists therefore continued to be viewed in a traditional manner, namely, as a mysterious "effort of solitary individuals" isolated from social life, contemplating nature's phenomena from some kind of "ivory tower''.
This situation changed very substantially after the first atomic device was detonated at Los Alamos, while Hiroshima further strengthened this ambivalent notoriety of science. It became apparent that even the most abstract branches of science, such as nuclear physics, are closely linked to the socio-economic life of individuals and to politics. A sensationalist press transformed science from a modest labourer of no great interest to the public into a fatal and all-powerful ``demon''.
But the unprecedented direct role of science as a major force influencing the course of human events does not, of course, concern military uses of its discoveries alone. While these have created a threat to the very existence of mankind, it is not only through nuclear explosions that the voice of science reaches public opinion. Its direct influence is also felt in a variety of constructive applications and in the daily lives of the populations of the industrial countries. There is no need for a refined analysis to know that something radically new has begun to take place since the 1950s, when science, which had traditionally been an abstract and intellectual pursuit, became an important element in the national policy of modern states that are increasingly engaged in financing, organising and planning it.
The pace of scientific and technical progress is continually increasing. Available estimates suggest that a doubling of all scientific knowledge occurs every ten years; and that it occurs every five years in biology, every two years in genetics, and every 1.5 years in physics and space science. In addition, lead times between the scientific discovery of some principle or law of nature and its practical application are continually decreasing. As a result science promotes material production increasingly transforming it by first establishing theoretical foundations relating to principles and laws of nature, rather than operating as an external influence on production activities that have themselves developed independently of science on an empirical basis. The economic effectiveness of capital investments in scientific
research activities is now widely known. The transformation of production activities through applications of science has now become a powerful force.
It is important to recognise that the social sciences, too, have begun to contribute to that process. This expresses a real trend, produced by the further development of the social character of labour activities, towards a merging and mutual interweaving of the natural and social sciences. Such an interaction has become an inherent requirement of both. As the scope of social production-oriented applications of the findings of natural science is extended (for example in projects concerned with applications of nuclear energy, the transformation of desert lands, space exploration activities, and the complex automation of production activities), a greater need is felt for specific forms of social knowledge concerning the conditions under which such applications anpossible, and also concerning their consequences. Simultaneously the availability of such knowledge influences the development of the natural sciences themselves in their role as a productive force. Today large numbers of economists, sociologists, and psychologists participate in the development of scientific projects and in their practical realisation, and the nature of their activities, as well as the criteria of scientific reliability applied in evaluating them, must increasingly approximate the precision of natural scientific knowledge.
These clearly observable facts and tendencies alone make it apparent that today the problem of science is a major social and socio-political problem, whose resolution inevitably influences very large numbers of persons, and in the case of class societies, the interests of its various groups and classes. But if one considers current developments more closely one may also see symptoms of a deeper and longer-term process of social change that encompasses both science itself and its influence on society.
What, then, is the nature of that deep-going process? In Marxist theory it is generally described as the transformation of science into a direct social productive force. In ana lysing its socio-economic essence and consequences Marxism has shown convincingly that such a transformation is by no means an immanent development of scientific knowledge, but is merely an aspect and manifestation of the further socialisation of production activities and of human
62activities more generally; in such a context co-operation it self and also the social character of labour activities are becoming a powerful productive force. In particular this is true of the sphere of scientific knowledge which acquires the form of socially-developed labour activities and is utilised by society in new ways.
It is significant that Marx viewed changes in the social role of science as one of the elements of a radical transformation of society that also includes such processes as liquidation of private property, the overcoming of contradictions within production that derive from the law of surplus value, the establishment of collective control over the production process at the level of society itself, a transition to a polytechnical education for the greater part of workers, a merging of physical and mental labour, and the transformation of free time, and especially the time devoted by individuals to their scientific education, into the principal measure of social wealth.
The further development of the social potentials of contemporary production activities finds expression above all in a transformation of the general structure of labour acti vities within the sphere of material production, that is, in a transformation of the very structure of that sphere. That process is proceeding in a direction already noted by Marx, who observed that as a socialisation of production activities occurs, an increasing influence on the labour process is exerted by the embodied power of knowledge.
``The implements of labour, in the form of machinery, necessitate the substitution of natural forces for human force, and the conscious application ol' science, instead of rule of thumb.''~^^26^^
The most visible outcome of the twentieth century's revolution in science and technology, especially in such characteristic manifestations of that revolution as the complex mechanisation and automation of production activities which is today extending to the sphere of social management and accounting as well, is an increasing reduction in the share of live labour in direct production activities together with a growing influence of factors associated with a specific level of development and application of achievements in science and technology. Long before the truly revolutionary changes in production activities that characterise the present stage of progress in science and technology
t>4
took place, Marx spoke of the influence on labour productivity of
``. . .the progressive improvement of the Social Powers of Labour, such as are derived from production on a grand scale, concentration of capital and combination of labour, subdivision of labour, machinery, improved methods, appliance of chemical and other natural agencies, shortening of time and space by means of communication and transport, and every other contrivance by which science presses natural agencies into the service of labour, and by which the social or cooperative character of labour is developed." 27 But this implies that changes are also taking place in the character and structure of live labour itself. As the prevailing tendency in development is the transformation of material production activities into man's dominance over the forces of nature through the means of science, the role of human labour---of the developed subject of social production activities---centers on a preparation of general conditions governing production and on the management and control over production processes. Such labour activities acquire a specific scientific content that no longer relates exclusively to the role of machines but must also encompass the personal capacities of workers as comprehensively developed human personalities.
Already today new technology produces an increased need for persons in whose activities mental labour plays an important role. Outwardly this finds expression in a growing number of workers engaged in intellectual labour. The proportion of mental and mechanical physical labour at the level of production activities is changing sharply in favour of mental labour. In particular the volume of scientific research activities and experimental design activities is increasing rapidly, while that of production activities proper is declining. Generally the new types of specifically modern production activities that are appearing and that are especially promising in terms of their role and their growth possibilities require engineering, technical and scientific labour activities as a dominant form of productive labour. Projecting that tendency into the future many researchers believe that in the next century as much as 20 per cent of the entire adult population may serve society in the capacity of scientists.
5-01743
65But the structure of material production activities is not only characterised by an increasing volume of scientific and engineering design activities (and of the corresponding number of persons). There is also an important tendency that is transforming labour in the mass production activities that must continue to be performed by workers in direct contact with objects and implements of labour. Production activities that under the influence of science are now based on automatic devices, telemechanics, electronics, and cybernetics require unprecedented levels of skills among workers that correspond to those of engineering and scientific labour. An increasing proportion of their energy must be expended in the form of mental labour activities that precede mass production or else lie outside its direct sphere. As it combines with the live labour of workers, science transforms it and creates a new type of producer of material wealth possessing the qualities of a worker, engineer, and scientist. Active and creative initiatives play an increasing role within such labour activities, since standardised, routine operation characteristic of mass production activities are increasingly assigned to machines.
But scientific labour activities themselves also experience deep changes. Under the influence of the scientific and tech- < nological revolution they change their social form and draw closer to the labour activities of workers engaged in the productive sphere. While remaining an intellectual activity that is specifically concerned with the acquisition of new knowledge, scientific labour activities are becoming production activities in the form and conditions of their implementation. These conditions become a part of the conditions governing production itself, and are thus `` embedded'' in production. Scientific labour has industrial research equipment and is carried out collectively, involving a large number of workers at a time and in one place and establishing a division of functions between them; it is also embodied in material output. Within such an intrusion of production forms into the experimental and technical basis of scientific activities as well as their organisation, which endows them with the traits of a socialised production process, one may clearly discern the following motive forces.
First, the labour activities of scientists and science itself experience an industrialisation (in connection with the changing character and forms of the instruments that are
employed in achieving the experimental influences of modern science on nature). In fact it is precisely those findings that constitute the most fundamental and most revolutionary scientific discoveries in the twentieth century, particularly in its fundamental branches, that were made possible by the construction and experimental application of highly complex, costly, and occasionally grandiose machines and devices, such as atomic reactors, atomic particle accelerators, space rockets and artificial satellites, computers, aerodynamic and hydrodynamic facilities, the most delicate recording devices, and systems of space telecommunications. It is no longer possible for an individual scientist to rely on his own means and his own efforts in constructing laboratories, designing scientific instruments, and employing them in experiments that relate to the current state of his scientific discipline. While many theoretical scientists continue to require only a pencil and paper in performing their work, the data concerning nature whose interactions are recorded with the help of a pencil are obtained with the help of large-scale physical research equipment. Everything else has already been described by science, and the boundaries of the unknown are now too distant from the sphere of direct observations and of the range of the modest experimental devices that science has employed in the past.
Secondly, there has been a change in the role of individual scientific work in scientific progress: research activities have acquired a collective, large-scale character. Today's large-scale research equipment designed to facilitate scientific experiments bring together large collectives of scientific workers, engineers, technicians, laboratory assistants, and skilled workers, and require their co-operation within a complex division of labour. But independently of the most modern forms of industrial experimentation the achievements of modern science are largely produced not through the efforts of individual outstanding scientists working as members of liberal professions, but through applications of various forms of organised labour activities of members of large research collectives whose individual efforts are co-ordinated within a framework designed to solve a common problem. A new type of scientist has appeared, namely, a collective scientist.
Third, the very nature of many research tasks has become such that in terms of the required human and mate-
665*
67rial resources only large social funds and the efforts of an entire society can succeed in carrying them out, following their mobilisation in a conscious and planned manner.
But all these underlying processes that are associated with the transformation of science within modern societies into a direct productive force exist and express themselves within specific systems of socio-economic relations. At the level of reality science operates as a social institution that depends on these relations. Accordingly, in order to determine the conditions, forms and consequences that attach to the functioning of science in relation to a particular society it is insufficient to have in mind merely the internal processes of modern industrial production and the corresponding possibilities of science itself. It is here that one finds the essence of the Marxist approach to the analysis of such a complex and contradictory phenomenon as modern science. And it is here that one finds the key to a correct understanding of the mechanisms that govern its social ^ functioning and its influence on the life and future of man and of mankind. This is why the Marxist-Leninist view of the world emerges today as a spiritual foundation for scientific and technical progress and for asserting man's integ- ' rity and the lofty principles of humanism, which refer to ; a harmonious merging of ends with means, and of noble aspirations with practical activities that rely on science.
Thus unlike ``technocratic'', scientistic, and abstract humanistic anthropological conceptions, the Marxist-Leninist theory of scientific and technical progress makes it possible to identify the major and essential tendencies in the development of human knowledge that are becoming clearly evident today. In such a context it becomes possible to understand the specific traits that characterise its functioning within different social systems and to explain the resulting aberrations and deviations of science from its basic orientation on mankind, and even anti-human applications that are harmful to man. From the point of view of the MarxistLeninist conception of science as a social institution that may not be reduced merely to the sphere of pure knowledge, isolated from other human factors, the true essence of science, while always remaining deeply humanistic, may become hidden and even be distorted in particular social conditions, and express itself more freely and fully in others that correspond to its nature.
While in its origins and development modern science is closely linked with industrial production, it finds an adequate expression of its nature as a direct productive force within a pattern of development of social conditions that corresponds both to higher levels of scientific and technical development and to a full and all-round development of man. We refer to such a perspective as a communist one, in which, according to Marx, genuinely human relations will prevail. Accordingly, all other social forms governing the functioning of science, including the one that corresponds to the present stage of socialist development, may only be viewed as stages in its emergence which are limited in content, no matter how remarkable some achievements of science may be in relation to concrete types of knowledge and to individual specialised disciplines.
Such is the Marxist perspective on the development of science as a social institution. But there is also a specific internal logic in the development of scientific knowledge itself that leads it unavoidably to an increasing realisation of science's essential powers.
In that connection it is characteristic that a reorientation in the problems being posed is taking place not only in the social sciences but in the natural sciences as well. Moreover, it is precisely problems relating to man's development as it relates to biological, psychological and genetic factors as well as to social factors that are receiving particular emphasis. Modern science is developing a new research situation in which man is considered in the context of his relations to the system associated with scientific and technical progress, that is, not merely as its subject or its object, but in a dialectical interaction of both. The interrelation and mutual interaction of these two aspects of a single process, namely, the subjective-objective relations of individuals associated with scientific and technical progress---form the basis of a perspective that shifts the reasoning associated with the overall problem to a new plane, as it were: it is no longer limited to an analysis in terms of a single relation or a single trend of either the isolated influence of man on processes relating to scientific and technical progress or of the influence of these processes on man, to which a positive or else a negative sign is then attached.
Such an understanding of the interaction of processes relating to scientific and technical progress and to man's
68 69development presupposes more than the latter's active adaptation in terms of forms of social responses that alter ( attenuate or fully neutralise) impacts of certain phenomena of scientific and technical progress that are negative from the point of view of man's biology, psychology and genetics as well as that of the natural environment within which he exists. A purely emotional attitude towards these phenomena, which sometimes camouflages itself through the use of ``anti-scientistic'' terminology and is ``humanistic'' in that negative sense, represents an approach that is social only at the level of words that are deprived of real substance. In fact, however, it is in the opposite approach, namely, in turning to these processes themselves in order to develop them more intensively and more comprehensively in ways designed to serve man, that one finds the greatest social content in man's adaptive responses to processes taking place in scientific and technical progress.
Such an approach, which takes into account the internal logic of science's development in its self-realisation as a humanistic social force serving man and constituting a sphere in which his creative possibilities unfold, is also able to show that certain negative human aspects of scientific •. and technical progress whose overcoming is sometimes linked today to radical transformations in the social sphere, may apparently be attenuated (although not fully removed) through a further development of scientific and technical progress. As in the case of new possibilities for the further development of productive forces this creates a certain `` selfinduction'' that extends to ever wider spheres of human existence. We must be prepared to see new and unexpected consequences of that ``self-induction'' in order to distinguish those that are inherent, as it were, in scientific and technical progress itself from those that are social in the narrow sense of that word, and which are directly governed by differences in the social conditions within which scientific and technical progress takes place.
Today new possibilities for solving those human aspects of scientific and technical progress that are relatively autonomous and partly independent of social factors as they operate within different social systems appear largely in the form of a scientific embodiment of the requirements of industrial production activities, which make unprecedentedly high psycho-physiological demands on man, his profes-
sional training, and his ability to assimilate and process the enormously increased volume of information required by Ins labour activities. This also poses new problems before science itself, which is increasingly turning towards man himself and his existence and development in the context of scientific and technical progress. It makes it necessary for scientists to study more closely the "human dimensions" of scientific and technical progress and of everything that it brings to men and that it requires from them, both at the social level and in a biological sense. An exploitation of science and of man's theoretical progress produces new contradictions and collisions in the social form of the functioning of modern science within which, in spite of achievements in serving man, its alienation from man becomes more pronounced, the alternative of scientism and anthropologism becomes ever shaper, and elitist and technocratic conceptions circulate widely, accompanied by the left-- radical and romantic-utopian ideas containing a "critique of science" as a Weltanschauung principle.
In such a context an important and fruitful role is played by the Marxist-Leninist conception of the unity of science and humanism, in which science appears as humanised science and includes man in its point of departure and final outcome, while humanism becomes scientific and presupposes the study of man and of his development in close association with social practice. It is precisely in such a concentration of research efforts and of the entire complex of sciences and of scientific and technical progress as a whole on the problem of man that one clearly sees its humanistic meaning and its genuine mission as a force at the service of man and of mankind. The advantages of that conception derive from the fact that it makes it possible not only to provide a correct explanation of the development of science and technology, but also to regulate them, and in particular to achieve their socio-ethical regulation in serving the future of man and mankind. One frequently meets assertions to the effect that a regulation of scientific and technical progress is either altogether impossible or else produces only negative results because it suppresses the Freedom to pursue any scientific research activities and thus impedes the development of science and technology. But one can only arrive at such abstract and general conclusions when science and technology are viewed in isolation from the social condi-
70 71tions within which they function and from the humanistic orientation that determines that development under socialism.
A certain measure of socio-ethical regulation of science develops even under capitalism, as it becomes increasingly necessary. But it meets with substantial impediments deriving from private ownership and from a selfish striving for profits that is insufficiently limited by socially instituted norms. Under socialism a coinciding of the research objectives of scientists with their humanistic objectives is asserted as a matter of principle, together with a dialectical mutual interrelation between the freedom to carry on research activities, which is guaranteed constitutionally, and full social responsibility. Of course, contradictions and problems in carrying out these principles are not fully overcome under socialism. But the attempts of bourgeois writers to present them as "fatally inevitable" are groundless.
A socio-ethical regulation of science deriving from its humanistic orientation and its development as a science serving man implies a goal-oriented regulation of scientific activities not only at the national level but at the international level as well. It presupposes the development of specific ethical codes as well as of international legal agreements regulating the acquisition of scientific knowledge in areas that affect vital interests of present and future generations. Today, however, in the opinion of many scientists, the main problem is to exercise a more effective control over the implementation of socio-ethical and juridical regulations, codes and agreements that have already been adopted. A socio-ethical regulation of science towards which science and society on the whole are moving for reasons of vital necessity, may become a humanistic basis for a new type of development of science that is more free than earlier.
All this has become especially apparent in recent years, particularly in connection with discussions of the socio-- ethical problems of genetic engineering. The events and facts relating to this field are widely known. Serious steps have been taken in developing a specific set of rules to govern activities in genetic engineering. Acceptable instructions were developed on the basis of the principles formulated at the Asilomar Conference of 1975, that would make it possible to control applications of methods for manipulating the genes
of living organisms, and in particular the utilisation of weakened micro-organisms for many types of experiments.. A number of physical safety measures were established, ranging from a simple use of standard microbiological methods to the use of specially designed equipment operating under reduced air pressure, isolated by air chambers and showers at each exit. Three thresholds of biological safely were also defined for certain types of experiments.
In the present context there is no need to describe the highly specialised problems that relate to safety procedures in genetic engineering. They will, of course, continue to be perfected thus increasing possibilities for experiments with recombinant DNA molecules. Such experiments are facilitated by the development of mutant micro-organisms that lend themselves to laboratory research but cannot survive outside laboratory conditions. (They are not able to survive within man's intestines or his sperm and are easily destroyed through detergents. This removes one of the basic obstacles to research activities based on the recombining of DNA).
Yet it cannot be said that the situation that lias currently developed in the field of genetic engineering is clear and well defined. There continue to exist problems calling for urgent solutions. In the words of many persons who are concerned with the dangers of research activities involving recombinant DNA molecules "the genie has been released from the bottle". Numerous sensational articles and statements by journalists and commentators to the effect thatnew monsters of the Frankenstein type will soon emerge from laboratories have created concern among world public opinion and have also encouraged greater caution among a number of scientists. More recently, however, they have been less active in discussing matters relating to genetic engineering because of their concern with another important problem, namely, the possibility that public pressure and legislative decisions will reduce the funding of such activities. In the view of scientists this would generally impedethe development of science. This is why intensive efforts are being made to find acceptable forms for continuing activities in the fied of genetic engineering at the same time as there is a growing movement for stopping dangerous experiments in that area altogether. An important role is played by juridical aspects of the problem.
7272-
In addition, certain doubts have arisen concerning the true motivation behind the establishment of a moratorium and ~the decisions of the Asilomar Conference, particularly if one considers what occurred in subsequent years. It is difficult to arrive at a conclusive answer. For in the present world situation, which is characterised by an extremely intensive political and ideological struggle, there is probably no issue, no movement and no measure that would not be •employed one way or another by reactionary social forces under certain conditions. Even the most lofty and most humane intentions are often perverted and placed at the service of altogether different objectives.
But in noting that negative aspect of this question we only refer to a specific evaluation of the political situation, •of the actions of governments and of propaganda bodies, but not of the movement of scientists as such. One cannot •question the original intentions of those scientists who initiated the movement for establishing a moratorium on certain types of experiments with recombinant DNA molecules. The fact that their subsequent behaviour conforms to a specific pattern is another matter.
This state of affairs is different under socialism where alternatives that are often disturbing to scientists and dangerous for mankind are avoided as a matter of principle, since a real and many-sided social control is provided over research activities, including activities in the field of genetic research. In one of his recent articles Academician A. A. Bayev, a leading Soviet specialist in genetic engineering, has recently stated:
``We, in the Soviet Union, do not experience either fear in facing the future or doubts concerning some kind of powerful and blind forces that are able to steer scientific research activities in the genetic engineering in evil directions despite the intentions and wishes of individuals. We are convinced that common sense and good will will prevail in this area, at least in our own socialist country.''~^^28^^
The philosophy and moral norms of a socialist society, as •well as its structure, preclude manipulative approaches to man, including those associated with the application of methods of genetic control. It is on such a basis that socialist countries develop co-operation with all countries in the field of biological and medical research activities relating to man.
Being aware of the dangers of an absence of controls in that area, and of the global character of many problems that arise in this connection, socialist countries participate in many international legal agreements relating to the regulation of research activities concerned with man. They struggle actively against the possible utilisation of findings in this area for military purposes and for a prohibition of activities designed to create new biological weapons that are even more threatening than nuclear weapons and which may in principle rely on applications of genetic engineering.
To sum up it seems to be possible to state an important generalisation, namely, that in modern science socio-ethical problems arise both in relation to each individual scientific discovery and each individual scientific problem and also in relation to the overall objectives of science itself. It is therefore not possible to view current discussions on problems associated with the regulation of research activities in the field of genetic engineering as something that is temporary, transitional, and accidental in the development of science. They are becoming an inherent trait of scientific activities, and this indicates that we have reached a new stage in the development of science and that its role in the life of society and of each individual person has increased.
The acute socio-ethical problems that have arisen in connection with the prospects of genetic engineering must, of course, be resolved on a wide humanistic basis that presupposes that priority will be accorded to human welfare, even though unfortunately this is often defined in uncertain ways. At the same time that solution must not impede the development of new approaches to understanding Nature, for such an understanding ultimately also serves human welfare and constitutes one's major hopes for the future. But in order that this hope for the future may be realised science and mankind must now ascend to a new level in their social and moral development,
We thus base ourselves on the fundamental and integral unity of scientific research activities and humanistic ideals. This also implies a unity between the social objectives that are pursued by the acquisition of scientific knowledge and mankind's ethical values, which also centre on serving human welfare. It must, of course, be emphasised that such a unitv of research activities and humanistic
ideals, and of social objectives in acquiring knowledge with mankind's ethical values exists only as a principle and as a prospect for true science. In reality, as we know well, science in its contemporary forms is often still very distant from such a state.
Just the same we must constantly recognise that an organic combining of science with humanism and its assertion as a force serving the progress of mankind is one of modern development's most vital problems. An awareness of its importance helps in arriving at a better evaluation of research activities and of their outcome from an ethical point of view, thus helping overcome an ethical relativism and nihilism that is dangerous for mankind as it preaches the ``dimensionless'' and ``irreversible'' character of knowledge as a presumed higher criterion of its human essence and a self-sufficient source of science's ethical values. It is becoming clear that it is no longer sufficient for scientists to wave "Galileo's flag", and that science cannot develop in a " social vacuum" and be separated from its Weltanschauung, socio-philosophical and ethical principles. Moral and ethical problems are not something external to science, but are interwoven in its very ``body''. The one-sided position that emphasises ``pure'' research independently of its applications is becoming increasingly obsolete. It is becoming increasingly apparent that unless the social responsibility of scientists grows at a geometric rate it will not be possible for the role of moral and ethical principles in science and for science itself, as well as mankind, to grow at even an arithmetic rate.
It should be recalled that special recommendations concerning the status of scientific workers were adopted at the 18th Session of UNESCO's General Conference (November 20, 1974). These list the following major ethical and social principles that must be taken into consideration by scientific workers of any state and serve as guidelines: intellectual freedom to search for scientific truth and express and defend it as one conceives it; participation in the definition of objectives and of the course of programmes that they serve, as well as of methods that should be adopted in the light of humanistic, social and ecological considerations; freedom to express one's view concerning humanistic, social and ecological aspects of specific projects and a possibility for refusing to participate in individual projects if their
consequences make this necessary; an obligation to contribute to the development of science, culture and education •within one's own state in accordance with the international ideals of the United Nations, as well as of requirements in solving national problems.
Today the growing self-awareness of scientists expresses itself in a variety of forms. In particular, it has found a coherent expression in the Pugwash movement that was initiated by the famous Russel-Einstein Manifesto. At the 28th Pugwash Conference, which took place September 1-5, 1978 in Varna, Bulgaria, it was again emphasised that aside from their individual responsibilities for scientific activities, scientists also bear a wider responsibility that derives from their knowledge and their technical possibilities as well as their international ties. In their own countries they have a responsibility to disseminate truthful information concerning such facts as the consequences of applying modern weapons systems; the consequences of industrial development, urbanisation, agricultural development, and the development of social structures; the situation relating to resources available for mankind's future development and also alternatives for utilising such resources, together with their advantages and disadvantages. The Declaration of the Pugwash Council states that such activities on the part of scientists, which presuppose both the existence of stable relations between themselves and political leaders and socio-political activities on their own part, are necessary in order to overcome misunderstandings, ignorance and hatred, and hence to preserve international peace.
Today science is increasingly becoming a major productive force that is called productive precisely because it is intended to create rather than to destroy and to serve man and mankind, both today and in the future. Clear, unambiguous statements to that effect have been made by scientists of many countries, in particular at the 28th Pugwash Conference in a special resolution entitled "Global Aspects of Disarmament and Security''.
To an increasing extent scientific and technical progress is acquiring a global character, and that presupposes a close and active international co-operation among scientists on a global scale, an intensification of scientific and technological development, and at the same time a balanced regula-
76 77tion of science and technology in serving humanistic objectives of social development and the interests of the future of mankind. This idea is becoming increasingly widespread throughout the world and is meeting with the growing support of many national and international organisations. In particular, this was seen in Vienna, in August 1979, at the United Nations Conference on Science and Technology for Development, where special attention was given to the problem of regulating science and of its significance as a guarantee of the future, including the possibility of solving a complex of global problems.
This raises a number of problems of general theory that are currently widely discussed by scientists throughout the world and that appear to play an increasing role in determining the direction of scientific and technical progress both today and in the future. This concerns the need to recognise not only science's vast possibilities in solving today's global problems but also its limits. In other words, more realism and more care is needed in designing projects and formulating hopes that rely on science in solving global problems. It is important to emphasise more clearly that science does not constitute a universal force, and that scientists therefore cannot and do not accept obligations that exceed their actual possibilities. This is because global problems are not ``purely'' scientific. They are, above all, social problems, and their solution presupposes specific social and not ``purely'' scientific conditions. One can therefore say, for example, that by the year 2000 it is possible to find scientific solutions to many global problems. But as for their social resolution, such statements cannot be made with any degree of certainty.
It follows that in the case of global problems we must also place greater emphasis on the heuristic, stimulating and catalytic role of science. Science not only provides specific solutions to global problems but it also stimulates their social formulation and resolution. In addition, it provides authoritative ``warnings'' relating to specific threats that may confront mankind if solutions to global problems are not achieved. It is precisely as current threats that most global problems exist today. Unfortunately in many cases these threats do not vanish even when we consider the prospects for the year 2000, viewed as a reference boundary whose meaning is primarily psychological rather than objec-
tively motivated. The basis for its influence continues to be a certain riddle. But this is another matter which need not be pursued at the present time.
It is probably far more important to emphasise the thought that solutions to global problems involve an entire complex of sciences (including the social sciences and philosophy) . While science is interested in the outcome of solutions to global problems, it is not indifferent to the way in which such outcomes are achieved. Yet if one considers the natural and technical sciences, they are primarily concerned with the outcome itself. As for the social sciences they are primarily concerned with the design of strategies and social forms for resolving global problems. Philosophy, as it considers the methodological and Weltanschauung aspects of global problems, largely emphasises the ways in which such solutions are achieved. In such a context we are interested not only in the outcome but perhaps in a still larger extent in the relevant scientific discussions and dialogues. Perhaps in this particular case the manner in which scientists influence each other's thinking in the course of these discussions is the most important element. And it is in this sense that we refer to the loading, stimulating, and catalytic function of philosophy in solving global problems.
Science must always contain humanistic ideals. A genuine basis for a boundless progress of science both today and in the future can only result from a continuing humanistic evaluation of science from the point of view of its ability to serve man, subordinating its immanent objectives to the overall goal of mankind's social development. And this presupposes a society in which the realisation of the essential forces of man becomes an end in itself. And it is no accident that Marx said: "Society, that is, man himself in his social relations.''~^^29^^ But according to Dostoyevsky, the "law of ego merges with the law of humanism". Naturally we know that the same Dostoyevsky (whose views are today shared by many "critics of science"), like Lev Tolstoy, was often apt to represent scientific knowledge (by opposing it to ``wisdom'' in the evangelical spirit) as a force alien to man, for which he had to pay an exorbitantly high price.^^30^^
And so, the question arises not only about the value of truth, but about its price, the "reference point" being Man and his good. True, the latter was never determined exactly
7879-
and always was relative in character, filling with a concrete •historical content depending on a diverse complex of conditions, including socio-class and other conditions. Yet, it nonetheless came out really as a certain universal value, .and that is how it is also interpreted today, when we determine the interests and objectives of communism as common to all mankind, at least in perspective. Hence, at this starting point let us not allow for any relativism, since it undermines the very foundation of humanistic ethics. The choice may lie not between the ethical (humane) and the relatively ethical (expedient, necessary). As A. Schweizer had well emphasised, the latter must in all cases be clearly realised as at least a partial violation of certain initial principles of ethics and humanism.
These, at first sight, possibly somewhat general arguments have a quite concrete content, determined in particular by the situation existing in modern science in its relation with man and society. Probably as never before, today the price that mankind should (or should not) pay for a .given truth discovered, say, in nuclear physics, molecular biology, etc., is a very urgent issue since these are pure, not applied sciences, on which (like on technology) it is easier to shift the entire burden of moral responsibility, and it is even easier for them to shift this responsibility on society, whose requirements they are reckoned to satisfy, guided solely by the principle of necessity, expediency, ``optimum'' (effective) need, etc., in given conditions. Nobody can avoid the issue of ethic choice, and an assessment of given essential decisions, in case they even in the least do not coincide with ethical, humanistic norms, as a violation of these norms (and consequently as maybe an inevitable evil, but nevertheless an evil), makes it possible to maintain the development of negative processes at a strictly definite level .and counter them with a clear perspective in view. This distinguishes my stand not only from ethical relativism and nihilism (scientism), but from the "critique of science'' which comes out from Rousseauist positions and suggests that scientific and technological progress, for one thing, be slowed down (recall the concepts of ``counter-culture'', " zero growth", and so on). It is clear to us that precisely only still deeper, all round, and harmonious development of that progress for the benefit of man could lead to a ``removal'' of the negative consequences of science and its applications;
.80
however, this can only be achieved under social conditions also oriented to man's welfare as the supreme goal.
In operating as a comprehensive influence on the future of human civilisation---both its material and spiritual aspects---scientific and technical progress contributes to the solution of many social and humanistic global problems. But it especially influences and is itself influenced by the development of education in the world.
In connection with the so-called information explosion (the sharp increase in both the overall volume of information that is produced and in the volume of information required by the socialisation of the personality and its educational and cultural training), some futurologists refer to a crisis in traditional forms of education. Attempts are made to find new forms and methods of education, to develop new guidelines for education (the encouragement of creative thinking instead of memorisation, a reduction in the num ber of basic types of knowledge, in view of the impossibility of further increasing the number of required courses, etc.). These extremely complex problems will begin to be solved within the next two decades, although it is not very likely that they will meet with optimal or final solutions during that period.
Difficulties in this area derive from the fact that when defining a conception of education for the year 2000 and beyond, many futurologists invent an idyllic future that is disconnected from realities, especially those of capitalist society, even though they provide competent discussions of specialised problems. In the research project entitled Education in the Year 2000, for example, prepared by a group of Swedish scientists under the leadership of T. Husen, one of the forecasting models indicates that by the year 2000 everyone between the age of six to eighteen will attend school, while 40 per cent of young persons between the ages of nineteen to twenty-four will also be able to study in universities and in specialised post-secondary institutions. It is added that this last figure can be 100 per cent if corresponding funds are made available.^^31^^ Of course such a forecast does not take into account the specific characteristics of capitalist reality and the actual situation relating to education throughout the world. In particular, it is well known that in developing countries today as well as among exploited classes in developed capitalist countries a significant lev-
0-01743
81I
el of illiteracy still exists. It thus appears that mankind will enter the third millennium with many millions of illiterate or semi-literate persons. Unquestionably that problem is of a social nature and is associated with the social inequality that exists in the world's non-socialist zone.
Turning in this context to the Club of Rome's report No Limits to Learning, I should like to dwell on it in somewhat greater detail since precisely this report must, according to the men from the Club of Rome, signify a certain turning point in its activity.
To begin with, it is necessary to note that, like the previous reports, the report No Limits to Learning~^^32^^ was a peculiar result of almost two years of work on Learning Project. For the first time in the history of the Club of Rome, the work on the Project was headed by representatives from developing and socialist countries, and this to a large extent was conducive to attracting additional attention to the report. It should be noted that the direct initiator of the work on the Project was A. Peccei, whose ideas, expounded in his book The Human Quality were also reflected on the pages of the report.
Analysing the results of the now ten-year-old discussions going on around global problems, the authors of the report arrive at the conclusion that "small signs of a shift are evident in the debates... A preoccupation with the material side of the world problematique has limited their scope and effectiveness" (p. 4). In this connection, they insist on the need to put the human being in the centre of the discussion of world problems, to shift the accent from problems of physical nature to human problems proper, to the life sustaining system as a whole. This appears to be a promising thesis, albeit it is expressed in a somewhat vague form. In this case, one should note that the vague wording, the abstract interpretation of and approach to resolving the problems at issue are characteristic features of the activity of the Club of Rome as a whole, this having been noted time and again in the Soviet and foreign press. One can say in advance that the report No Limits to Learning also proved to have these shortcomings.
Arguing about the absence of an "accent on man", the authors arrive at the conclusion that the so-called "human gap" was the result of this situation, and they characterise it as "the distance between growing complexity and our
capacity to cope with it" (p. 6). In specifying their idea, the authors of the report claim that today the issue is not so much in our inability to cope with global problems, as in our ability and possibility to realise the current problems and to take relevant measures, while envisaging and forestalling the problems that may confront mankind in future, and assuming responsibility for them. As we see, the authors of the report deliberately ``gnoseologise'' the problems facing man, thus regarding man per se only as a cognising creature. This approach also affects the objective proposed by the authors of the report, and the range of questions they discuss.
According to the authors of the report, the purpose of the Learning Project was to study how with the aid of "learn ing" one could bridge that very "human gap" mentioned above. In other words, the Project puts forward purely educational objectives, and this, in our view, permits us to characterise it as a peculiar step backward (philosophically, at least).
The authors of the report emphasise that they understand the concept ``learning'' in a broader context than others did before. By ``learning'' they imply an approach to knowledge and life that stresses the significance of human initiative; this concept includes the "acquisition and practice of new methodologies, new skills, new attitudes, and new values necessary to live in a world of change. Learning is the process of preparing to deal with new situations" (p. 8).
In addition to individual learning, the authors distinguish the so-called "societal learning", by which they imply learning that involves societies. Similarly they speak of "societal learning capability, and whether a society has the ability to learn quickly or slowly, effectively or ineffectively" (p. 9). Thus, the problem of learning acquires a truly global character with the authors of the report. Moreover, among global problems it becomes one of the principal ones, since the absence of suitable learning restricts, as they write, our ability to cope with all the other global issues. To answer this question, the authors first of all suggest that two types of learning be distinguished, namely "maintenance learning" and "innovative learning''.
``Maintenance learning" or "conventional learning", as the authors also call it, was named that way because it is intended "to maintain an existing system or an established
826*
83way of life". It is indispensable, they say, "to the functioning of stability of every society". This concept includes "the acquisition of fixed outlooks, methods, and rules for dealing with known and recurring situations" (p. 10). Precisely the predominance of this kind of learning has caused, according to the authors of the report, various kinds of mankind's shock states. And if formerly Nature was the source of such shocks, today Man himself and the results of his activity may become the sources of similar shocks, which may assume an irrevocable nature (an atomic war). All this, as the authors of the report would have it, serves as evidence that conventional learning does not suit the complexity of the problems facing man.
The authors suggest searching for a way out of the situation in changing the nature of learning, both individual and societal. They call for the problem to be solved through " innovative learning". Denning "innovative learning" more accurately, the authors distinguish two principal objectives to be achieved with its assistance, these objectives being simultaneously its basic characteristics. First and foremost, it is the ability to anticipate events, an ability which must replace simple adaptation to their external expressions, orienting people to a conscious, preconceived choice of alternatives. The authors think that this ``anticipation'' must provide work for imagination and put an accent on the difficulties awaiting us in the future rather than on the experience which we had acquired in the course of preceding development.
Another important feature of "innovative learning" is ``participation''. This principle implies participation of individuals and societies in taking decisions on the international level as well as at national, regional, and other levels (p. 13). In other words, the authors come out against the established practice in many countries whereby major decisions, upon which the destinies of whole regions largely depend, are made by so-called ``experts'' who had turned into a peculiar "elite group". The authors of the report think that the accent on so-called "expert assessments" engenders issues of a dual nature: first, in their evaluations experts are never guided by the interests of the broadest strata of society and, second, the broad social layers are deprived of opportunities to effectively control the experts' activity.
The authors query: "What are the purposes and values that underlie innovative learning?", and give the following answer.
On the other hand, it is quite obvious that real problems, which indeed require immediate solution, stand behind all the talk about ``survival'', "preserving human dignity", and so on. It is also evident that the authors of the report intuitively sense these issues but cannot word them adequately; hence they wander about a labyrinth of various kinds of ``participation'', "societal learning", etc. This becomes especially striking when, having outlined the objectives of the report and laid down the concept of innovative learning, they go over to discussing the obstacles to this learning.
Such, in short, are the objectives of the report No Limits to Learning inasfar as they were outlined by the authors. As we see, the objectives themselves and the way they are grounded follow the tradition of the Club of Rome involving the same old abstract wording of the problems and the same old abstract-humanistic approach to their solution. In our view, precisely these shortcomings also explain the fact that after having read the report it still remains unclear what this "innovative learning" is and, what is even more important, how do the authors imagine a real process of replacing conventional learning by "innovative learning''?
To begin with, "innovative learning" cannot be "value free". Moreover, precisely a conscious accent on value criteria is in what "innovative learning" essentially differs from conventional learning, since the latter is oriented at passively maintaining the existing system of values and completely ignores all other systems. The report puts forward the issue of "mankind's survival" as the principal value and objective of "innovative learning". The authors are not speaking of survival at "any cost"; they pose and immediately answer the questions as to what would be the conditions of such survival by saying they would essentially be in people maintaining their human dignity. However, inasmuch as various people understand this concept differently, the authors of the report suggest the following more accurate definition: "we have taken it to mean the respect accorded to humanity as a whole, the mutual respect for individuals in culturally diverse societies, and self-respect" (p. 15).
85 84The authors divide them into ``conceptual'' and `` practical'' impediments. They start examining ``conceptual'' or theoretical impediments to "innovative learning" with a critical review of various interpretations of learning, dwelling, in particular, on the interpretation suggested by F. George,33 who proposed regarding learning as a process of adaptation to changing conditions. Having noted the wide spread of this understanding of learning (especially today, in the "age of biology", which gave rise to the concept `` adaptation''), the authors stress that this interpretation reduces the process of learning to passive adaptation to environmental conditions. They say (in particular referring to the works of K. Lorenz, B. Skinner and others) that the wide currency of various kinds of biological doctrines has resulted in the emergence of "biologising concepts of learning", whose meaning is precisely in that they regard learning as a process that "follows" certain changes in environmental conditions and is unable to explain anything when the issue is concerned with changes, whose source is Man per se. As a result, the authors arrive at the conclusion that it would be wrong to apply the laws of biological evolution to the process of learning (p. 48).
They consider equally unacceptable the ``classical'' interpretation of learning as "change in the pattern of behaviour on the basis of past experience", at one time suggested by Norbert Wiener. To argue against this interpretation of learning, the authors of the report pose the question: "Why not learn from the future as well?''
Both above-mentioned views on the process of learning emphasise the passive role of man, something that does not suit the authors of the report and something to which they oppose an accent on the active role of the subject in the process of learning, the accent contained in their concept of "innovative learning''.
Further, the authors note the frequent use of the concept ``learning'' in relation to so-called "intelligent machines". In these cases, learning is interpreted as ``self-regulation'', and this, in their opinion, may serve as a splendid illustration of what they call "maintenance learning". The wide spread of various kinds of computers and relevant interpre tations of learning is, according to the authors of the report, connected with two dangers, of which they warn: the firs! one is in the anthropomorphisation of computers, and the
86second in machinisation of the human brain. Both concepts, they claim, are actually directed against ``anticipation'' and ``participation'' as the guiding principles in solving global problems, and that is precisely where the danger lies (pp. 50-51).
In characterising the "practical impediments" that inhibit the spread of "innovative learning", the authors point to two particularly important varieties. The first one is a "misuse of power", and the second is so-called "structural impediments''.
Having specially mentioned that the scope of the report does not permit them to dwell in detail on all types of power, the authors indicate that they will limit themselves to examining only two examples of "misuse of power" or, to put it simpler, the negative consequences of the interference of the authorities in the process of learning. The first example refers to the "societal level" and shows that an unchecked arms race is "an obstacle to innovative learning". They mention the fact that the intellectual and financial resources of society are diverted from resolving major problems (p. 53) as the primary and most obvious consequence of the arms race. In their opinion, the other less obvious but no less widespread and dangerous result of militarisation is "the secrecy and mystique of the military" research. This atmosphere impedes free exchange of information between countries and inhibits international co-operation in a variety of fields, without which one cannot imagine effective participation of the people of the world in solving global problems (p. 54). Regrettably, the authors of the report do not pose the question who then is imposing this arms race on the world; neither do they seem to be aware of the fact that the danger of militarisation is not so much in its negative influence on the spread of "innovative learning" as in that it may one day confront mankind with a nuclear catastrophe. Nor do the authors of the report concern themselves with the question as to who then hinders development of international co-operation, particularly on such important issues as limitation of the arms race and disarmament. And the fact that the authors of the report pose no such questions because they wish to remain within their ``academic'' structures "above the combat" cannot eventually but tell on the scientific value of their concepts; this becomes evident on examining the same old concept of "innovative learning''.
87However, let us turn back to the text of the report. A second example of "misuse of power", this time relating to the individual level, is the one showing misuse of opportunities provided in using the mass media for learning. Having dwelt in detail on the opportunities which mankind now possesses thanks to television, the authors of the report bitterly state that these opportunities are often used not to the benefit, but detriment of mankind. This situation is due to the commercial character of television in most countries. The so-called "educational programmes" (if any) are, as the authors put it, directed at spreading traditional "maintenance learning". However, they do not go further than state this fact.
Turning to the so-called "structural impediments", the authors emphasise that the "examples of the arms race and of television reinforce the view that, in general, the impediments to innovative learning are deeply imbedded in the structure of society" (p. 60). It should also be noted that the report does not specify precisely what society it refers to, and only from the examples cited by the authors it becomes clear that they are speaking of capitalist society.
To illustrate the thesis on "structural impediments", the authors again use two examples. The first one speaks of the inequality of educational opportunities for the urban and rural populations, and the second deals with the disproportion between global and local problems existing in school curricula. The authors rather at length and in detail discuss the conservative nature of school education, which, in their view, is a reflection of conservative social structures as a whole. At the same time, they touch on problems of interdisciplinary studies to note the urgent need to develop them in the face of global problems. As a practical proposal, they suggest the necessity of including interdisciplinary studies in existing school curricula. This is, mildly speaking, a strange proposal, since the matter is concerned with structural impediments, which may be eliminated obviously only by changing these very structures. But the authors of the report do not set such a task; hence, all their arguments concerning impediments hang poised in mid air. This becomes especially noticeable when, as if summing up these arguments, the authors come to the conclusion on the need to turn mankind's thinking towards the prospects of " innovative learning" and that only non-governmental organi-
sations possess real perspective in implementing this process (pp. 80-81). It is not accidental that they choose precisely non-governmental organisations, since they cannot but be aware that neither governmental nor inter-governmental organisations in capitalist society would agree to change the existing structures. It is because they understand this that the authors of the report decided to limit themselves to calling for a "turn in thinking". It appears that under capitalist society this call will be the voice in the wilderness. We shall again return to this question, but meanwhile let us see how after all the authors of the report imagine the use of the concept of "innovative learning" in order to solvo global problems. They cite three examples of this.
In analysing the state of the energy problem, they note that, until now, industry has developed near energy sources, i.e., occupied a definite niche in the ecosystem, and that the entire history of development of energy utilisation systems is a vivid example of adaptative learning, which for most people came out as an unrealised process (p. 104). According to the authors of the report, today the question is: what would require more time, to change the structure of energy sources or the process of learning how to manage alternative energy sources? (p. 105). Briefly dwelling on the essence of the projects for utilising new sources of energy (thermonuclear and solar), the authors note that all of them are being developed within the framework of " maintenance learning", i.e., do not exclude the arrival of a new energy shock. The use of the principles of "innovative learning" implies greater scope for discussing the energy problem; the need to take it outside the competence of "expert groups", and to take account not only of the technical, but also of the social aspects of the problem. It should be noted that the authors do not specify what they actually mean by social aspects; hence, the essence of their practical suggestions remains unclear. On the other hand, they admil that in itself the use of the principles of anticipation and participation would not solve the energy problem, since it is difficult to imagine how a specific state could balance these, often opposite principles (p. 107).
The other example is connected with utilising the achievements of science and technology. The report notes that problems connected with science and technology may bo formulated as problems of disproportion and wrong orienta-
80tion (p. 108). To confirm this idea, it cites the following figures: industrial countries spend 95 per cent of their funds on research in science and technology, while developing countries spend 5 per cent. At present, about 35,000 scientific and technological journals are published in the world; they annually carry about 2,000,000 articles written by 750,000 authors in fifty languages. The information contained in these papers is incomplete from the viewpoint of innovative learning, since only very few of them are results of interdisciplinary studies. The report notes that the other aspect of the problem of disproportion is the absence of sufficiently broad contacts among the scientists and engineers of different countries. But, write the authors of the report, the most important is the problem of incorrect utilisation of the achievements of science and technology. Here the authors revert to the issue of huge spending on the arms race, to the use of the achievements of science and technology for destructive purposes, and reiterate their call to put an end to this (p. 110).
They emphasise that science is a "process of obtaining knowledge", not its result, and that since this is so (and we wish to use this process for solving global problems), it is necessary to learn to suitably direct this process. Scientific studies should be directed at cognising what should be and what is necessary, not at what may be and is possible, maintain the authors of the report (p. 111). And this process of reorientating and utilising the achievements of science and technology should, in their view, start by solving such vital issues as food, water supply, education and employment.
The third example of using the principles of "innovative learning" is the solution of the problem which the authors call the issue of "cultural identity". In their view, it has two aspects: on the one hand, there is the danger that a homogeneous world culture may arise (the authors call it "cultural homogenisation"), and on the other, the danger of "cultural and psychological disintegration", which, they maintain, threatens both individuals and societies (p. 113). The authors of the report voice the opinion that the problem of "cultural identity" is a source of national and international conflicts, since "conventional learning" has taught us to approach this problem oversensitively and regard it as an impediment to internation-
90al co-operation. In their view, the use of the principles of "innovative learning" could help in resolving this problem both in this specific case and in other above-cited instances.
Such is the principal content of the report No Limits to Learning. I would think that it presents a sufficiently vivid illustration of the positions of anthropologism when discussing the set of issues that has been called a "global problematique''.
The experience of existing socialism has shown that in the social conditions that exclude inequality and man's exploitation by man, illiteracy can be fully overcome. In the USSR, where illiteracy has been fully overcome there were 95 million persons in 1978 engaged in acquiring some form of education (among them 44.7 million persons were studying in schools of general education; 1.9 million persons were studying in secondary vocational schools; 4.7 million persons were studying in secondary technical schools and other specialised secondary educational institutions; and 5.1 million persons were studying in institutions of higher learning). In recent years a number of new directives have been adopted in the Soviet Union that are intended to develop public education still further. They include "Completing the Transition to a Universal Secondary Education for Young People and the Further Development of Schools of General Education", "Towards a Further Improvement in the System of Vocational Training", "Measures to Achieve a Further Improvement in Higher Education", "Measures to Achieve a Further Improvement in Rural Schools of General Education". In 1973 the USSR Supreme Soviet approved the Fundamentals of Legislation of the USSR and Union Republics on Education. Both these and other programme documents are concerned with the training of specialists who will be able to solve the problems of communist development at a high level of professional skills. Both in the Soviet Union and in other socialist countries considerable efforts are devoted to achieve a transition to universal secondary education, raise the level of vocational training, and extend higher education.
The 26th Congress of the CPSU noted that in recent years the USSR had achieved an important gain in completing the transition lo compulsory universal secondary education. During the past five years, the Soviet system of
higher and specialised secondary education has trained 10 million skilled specialists for the national economy; 12.5 million young people acquired professions in vocational schools. In 1981-1985 it is planned to train about 10 million more specialists with higher and specialised secondary education and 13 million skilled workers, among whom the number of those with secondary education will be 1.6 times more than at present.
The Soviet education system is constantly confronted by tasks of improving the quality of teaching and instruction.
There are, in particular, wide-ranging and comprehensive research activities that are based on the general Marxist-Leninist conception of education and real requirements and prospects of social development. These emphasise that education and training must be oriented towards the future. The prospects that are associated with the year 2000 presuppose rapid shifts in types of knowledge and skills and a continuing orientation on new developments. This implies that beginning with secondary schools persons must be trained in such a way that they may match the increasing rate of progress in science and technology. But this is not possible, however, without stimulating further the process of education itself and without encouraging the development of a genuine interest in acquiring knowledge. At the same time socialist society also recognises that education and its further development cannot be separated from the nature of the human purpose that it is intended to serve. It is one thing to train individuals as "personified functions", and quite another to educate creative persons who can actively contribute to the construction of a new society, who are well equipped with knowledge and prepared to engage in communist labour activities, that is, labour activities that do not subordinate man to themselves but liberate him. Because the full development and dissemination of communist labour is a real historical prospect for the Soviet Union, it serves as a basis for solving specific problems of education. This calls not only for an intensification of the process of accumulating knowledge in the course of education, but also for the development of creative abilities among persons engaged in studying. In formulating the problem of changing teaching methodology as one of the conditions for
increasing its effectiveness, specialists in pedagogics in socialist countries have in mind the organisation of mental activities themselves rather than what has been called the "scientific organisation of mental labour", which merely refers to the corresponding external conditions. And it is precisely in schools that this may be achieved effectively, with allowances made for changes that may take place in the development of education. This is why we view as deeply mistaken the idea that is found in the studies of some bourgeois educationalists, sociologists and philosophers considering the prospects for the year 2000, that schools are destined to vanish in modern society.
The theory and practical activities of existing socialism thus show its very considerable advantages in the sphere of education. But this means that in this field the prospects of mankind coincide with those of socialism and communism: a transition to a new civilisation appears as a condition for new major achievements of science and technology worthy of the human mind and that provide a humanistic orientation to scientific and technical progress and to an overall human culture that today is torn in many directions through the operation of a multiplicity of classantagonistic factors but must be integrated and unified in the future. In turning to a closer analysis of these questions let us consider primarily their social-humanistic aspects.
3. Towards
an Integrated Humanistic
Culture in a New Civilisation
In defining briefly the situation that has arisen today in the field of culture it may be said that one finds in developed capitalist countries in that sphere a conflict between elitist culture and so-called mass culture which is, as a rule, a surrogate for culture. Unquestionably the deepening rift between two types of culture---one for the ruling elite and a surrogate culture for the masses---is a sharp social problem. Under socialism such a division of culture on the basis of class attributes does not exist and that defines the determining tendency governing its development at the threshold of the third millennium. Already today impressive results have been achieved in this field
93in socialist countries, and as time proceeds workers in these countries will actively assimilate mankind's highest achievements in spiritual culture. That deeply social process is closely linked to the overcoming of the divergence between the "two cultures"---scientific and artistic---which is also based, of course, on social causes. But they reflect deeper processes and tendencies as well, which derive from the specific characteristics of human activities in the spiritual sphere.
Over the course of centuries thinkers pursuing the most diverse approaches have sought to clarify the cause for the frequent state of contradiction between science and art and their respective roles in man's knowledge and development. The fundamental major conclusion that appears to follow inevitably from prolonged searches in the history of science and of art and of associated philosophical discussions is that in the perspective of man's development science and art are "mutually complementary" elements of an integrated and mutually-interacting whole.
It is becoming increasingly apparent that science is not all-powerful; or more precisely that its power is not universal and absolute. Even in the perspective of its development science must remain silent with regard to a number of unanswered questions concerning man's spiritual and emotional world that escape its power. It cannot fill the human soul completely, fully; for otherwise through that very fact science would cultivate a ``one-dimensional'' man. But in turning to art man moves beyond the boundaries of rational unambiguity; art opens to him a world of unanswered questions that do not lend themselves to rational scientific cognition and accordingly man needs art as an organic part of that which exists within himself as well as in the world that he perceives and which is a source of pleasure. In the words of Niels Bohr
``The enrichment which art can give us originates in its power to remind us of harmonies beyond the grasp of systematic analysis.''~^^34^^
Let us also recall how deeply Darwin regretted, towards the end of his life, the loss of higher esthetic tastes, stating that if he could have lived his life anew he would have tried to preserve the activity of those parts of the brain that are associated with esthetic tastes.
94``The loss of these tastes is a loss of happiness, and may possibly be injurious to the intellect, and more probably to the moral character, by enfeebling the emotional part of our nature.''~^^35^^
It is because of that constant concern of art with " harmonies beyond the grasp of systematic analysis", with "the emotional part of our nature", and with man's moral world that it is precisely in art that moral-philosophical problems and the humanistic problems of life and death, of good and evil and of man's freedom and integrity are most sharply defined. And like man himself, these problems do not change as rapidly as do scientific discoveries. In a certain sense they are as ``eternal'' as is the art that expresses them.
Naturally all this does not turn art into an auxiliary instrument of science, and there is no thought of a simple utilisation of its achievements for the sake of objectives that lie outside its own sphere. Being a deeply social phenomenon art is polyfunctional: it performs an active function of social transformation, appearing as a type of human activity; it possesses an important cognitive-- heuristic function in defining one's view of the world; it is able to anticipate much that relates to man and to the world in which he lives; it possesses an immense educational as well as axiological, value-creating function; finally, art plays a unique role as a means of esthetic pleasure (a hedonistic function). This has been expressed eloquently by A. Einstein:
``Personally I find the greatest feeling of happiness in works of art. There is no other source from which I derive a comparable spiritual fulfilment... I find more in Dostoyevsky than in any scientific thinker, more than in Gauss.''~^^36^^
One could cite many other statements of prominent scientists (some of which may, of course, be debatable) concerning the enormous role that art has played in their life and creative activities, and concerning the beautiful and mysterious world that it opens to man. Similarly many leading writers and painters have emphasised the enormous inspiring influence exerted on their creative endeavour by science, beauty and the grandeur of the truth that is born in the course of scientific research and discoveries. M. Gorky, for example, referring to the common traits of
95creativity in science and art, noted that
``... in both cases observation, comparison, and study play a fundamental role; like scientists artists must possess imagination and an intuitive capacity to guess at the truth".^^37^^
On the other hand one could probably cite an equal number of opposite statements on both sides. Strictly speaking while such statements do not at all undermine the idea of a possible harmony between truth and beauty, they merely emphasise that there is a problem on this issue that is unlikely to lend itself to an unambiguous solution.
While originating and developing from a common root--- namely, the labour activities of persons associated with production, science and art rely on different forms in expressing man's universal capacity for creating new things. In ancient times this capacity was viewed as integrated. Subsequent developments have produced a sharp distinction between science and art within the sphere of cognition, in which science relies on logical rational forms, while art relies on intuitive and irrational ones. At the same time it was denied that art possessed any cognitive function. Such an extremely negative position concerning the possibilities of art has contributed to the development of equally extreme forms of anti-scientism in which there is an absolute emphasis on intuitive and irrational actions of artistic and other types of ``enlightenment'' and which assign to art the role of opposing science. This type of antiscientism continues to be widespread today in various forms of irrationalism, and in existentialist concepts. Nevertheless, the scientistic tendency prevails, since it refers increasingly to the current revolution in science and technology, which appears to many to be able to conquer everything and bring about an absolute triumph of scientific and technical rationality while dehumanising and deideologising art.
Yet the ideas that art must ``dissolve'' in science and abandon its humanistic orientation harbour a threat not only to the development of art itself but also of science. For art also possesses an enormous axiological significance with regard to the regulation of values. This expresses itself through the esthetics of scientific cognition, just as we also refer to the ethics of science and the sociology of science.
Since pessimistic forecasts concerning a displacement of art by science have not come to pass, the problem of a separation of science and art lias become current. It is the view of some contemporary authors that this separation results in the development of two autonomous cultures, namely a ``scientific'' culture and an ``artistic'' one. In recent years this issue has been formulated quite sharply, especially in the 1960s and 1970s in the works of Charles Snow, an English writer educated as a physicist. In 1959 he delivered a lecture in Cambridge (U.S.A.) that attracted much attention, entitled The Two Cultures and the Scientific Revolution.3S In it he formulated the conception of "two cultures", and sought to demonstrate that the spiritual world and the practical activities of Western intellectuals are becoming increasingly polarised and increasingly divided into two opposing parts: the artistic intellectuals at one pole (who simply refer to themselves as intellectuals, as if no other intellectuals existed), and scientists at the other (particularly physicists, who were their leading representatives in those years). In Snow's opinion they are separated by a wall of misunderstanding and sometimes of antipathy and enmity. They view the same things in such different ways that they cannot find a common language, even at the level of emotions. Artistic intellectuals consider that scientists do not represent genuine life and are characterised by superficial optimism, while scientists are inclined to think that artistic intellectuals lack the gift of foresight, express a surprising indifference towards the fate of mankind, and that everything relating to reason is foreign to art.
Snow asserts that scientists represent a culture that is new not only in an intellectual sense, but also in an anthropological sense, namely a culture created by science. Artistic intellectuals continue to remain within the framework of ``traditional'' culture, whose non-scientific character borders on being anti-scientific. In Snow's opinion this polarisation of culture is an obvious loss to all of us, whether in practical, moral or creative turns, and that, he concludes, is not only regrettable but also tragic, since as a result a great wealth of possibilities for intellectual and creative activities are lost.
``The clashing point of two subjects, two disciplines, two cultures---of two galaxies so far as that goes---
967-01743
I
ought to produce creative chances. In the history of mental activity---that has been where some of tho break-throughs came.''~^^39^^
We continue to place our creative hopes primarily on tho clashes, but today, Snow concludes, we have unfortunately lost our hopes.
Snow points to the extremely superficial character of twentieth-century science's influence on contemporary art, and concludes that science must be accepted by art as an inseparable part of our entire intellectual experience, and be employed as readily as any other material. Yet, in Snow's opinion, intellectuals, and especially writers, have shown themselves to be Luddites in relation to the current scientific revolution. At the same time an excessively specialised education system in the West makes it difficult for scientists to acquire a broad range of interests in the field of spiritual and material culture. In that connection Snow points to the experience of the Soviet Union, where in his opinion that problem is being resolved more successfully.
It cannot be said that in his book Snow succeeded in explaining the causes for the development of "two cultures"; he does understand that these causes are relatively deep and complex: some of them are associated with general principles governing historical development, while others are associated with specific circumstances that exist in the history of particular countries, and still others with the specific characteristics of the internal dynamics of intellectual activity. It would also be an exaggeration to say that Snow has indicated how the polarisation of the "two cultures" may be overcome: for the origin of a particular system of education lies in more general factors of social development. Nevertheless he has stated a number of sensitive issues sharply and has drawn wide attention to them.
Snow's book has led to heated discussions throughout the world. Many of its propositions have produced indignation among some Western intellectuals (particularly among artistic intellectuals), while others have met with approval. In any event it has produced serious thoughts concerning the very complex problems of cultural development in the age of the revolution in science and technology.
Although this was not directly related to Snow's book,
98essentially the same questions were discussed at the same time in the Soviet Union. That discussion was initiated by the newspaper Komsomolskaya Pravda on September 2, 1959, in connection with an article by I. Khrenburg entitled "Reply to a Letter". In the course of that discussion, which continued to December 14, 1959, and also of subsequent discussions (beginning in I960 and later) concerning the significance of science and of art, the participants included both ``physicists'' and ``lyricists''---prominent Soviet scientists, writers, painters, representatives of broad public opinion. Of course, when seen from the perspective of the present time, many of these discussions seem to be relatively superficial, concerned with secondary issues, and distant from an analysis of real problems. Nevertheless they represented an important stage in the social perception and understanding of problems of culture in the context of the revolution in science and technology.
Subsequently attempts were made to apply a deeper scientific analysis to the problems being debated. In particular one should mention the symposium "Scientific and Technological Progress and Art" that was held in 1970.40 Similarly a "round table" discussion sponsored by the journal Voprosy filosofii was quite fruitful. This was concerned with the mutual interactions of science and art in the context of the current revolution in science and technology.~^^41^^ In addition a lively exchange of views on the substantial aspects of the same subject took place at a joint "round table" meeting of the journals Voprosy literatury and Voprosy filosofii held in May, 1976.^^42^^
The scientists, writers and representatives of the arts who participated in the discussion emphasised that the traditional contraposition of science to art, of the exact sciences to the humanities is coming to an end. Mathematical methods are finding application in literary studies, the theory of music, and so on. At the same time unfamiliar disciplines are emerging at boundaries between the exact sciences and the humanities, such as for example ``artometry''. Computers are able to ``compose'' music of acceptable quality and to write poems (still quite mediocre) as well as to create original works in the decorative arts. At first it may seem that this penetration of the humanistic sphere by the exact sciences is one-sided. But in fact this is by no means the case. What is occurring is
7*
99